Category: Currencies

US$$

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – Still tracking above the 25×5 MA. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are bearish to neutral.

Daily – Remains in the move down after the close below the 95.65 level. The week’s rally has price now up against the 25×5 MA. The next target down is the 94.11 level.

The 95.65 level remains the pivot between the up move and the down move; at equilibrium.

Volumes do not suggest any significant moves in either direction.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_ USH19

Weekly – The weekly 200 MA has acted as resistance to any move up. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the 146-22 short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 143-07.

A close above 147-11 would signal higher.

Stops should be at the entry price.

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – The weekly remains in the 2018 uptrend. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – The new short entry level was signaled on Monday and the dollar has been down all week. This dollar move down allowed the equity markets to rise.

The next target down is 94.11.

A close above 95.65 would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH19

Weekly – Now above the 200 week MA. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. In a new move down from the 146-22 Level. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 144-07.

A close above 148-00 would signal higher.

Multiple rate increases don’t seem too likely.

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – This long dollar rally looking toppy. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – In the uptrend but testing support. Trade pressures are rising in the neutral zone. Volumes are now bearish.

In the move up from the 95.25 October long entry. The next target up is 97.64.

A close below 95.59 would signal lower.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_ USH19

Weekly – In the move up and crossed over the 200 week MA. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 137-22 long entry level. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are now bearish.

At the 147-08 upside target and beginning some consolidation. The next target up is 150-05.

A close below 146-22 would signal a further correction down.

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – Continues the weekly move up to the 98.42 target. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Stalled in the move up since November and consolidating in the 95-97 channel. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

A short term down move began at 96.30 with a downside target at 95.13.

Support for the uptrend is at 95.35.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH19

Weekly – In a new weekly move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the second leg up from the 144-06 long entry price. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 147-06.

A close below 143-31 would signal lower.

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – Market down US Dollar futures up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are Bullish.

Daily – The Dollar has traded down and out of the upward sloping channel. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are mixed bearish then bullish.

The next target down is 95.13.

A close above 96.36 has signaled higher. The next target up is the old high pivot at 97.03.

Uncertainty drives these volatile moves which in turn affect other markets that are dollar related.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH19

Weekly – Triggered a new long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Consolidating at the upside targets of 144-19. Trade pressure are up and trending. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 147-06.

A close below 143-31 would signal lower.

 

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – New highs in the dollar futures are not good for the US equity markets. Trade pressures are up but still showing divergences. Volumes are neutral to bearish.

Daily – Moving up along the lower median line of the Andrews pitchfork and the 25×5 MA. Trade pressures are up, but at lower highs while price is at higher highs. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 97.23.

A close below the 25×5 MA would signal lower. Support is at 95.41.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH19

Weekly – In a new uptrend. Trade pressures are up just out of the neutral zone. Volumes are thee weeks bullish.

Daily – Flat. Thru the 142-14 upside target and consolidating just above that level. Trade pressures are still up and trending. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is the 144-04 just above the upper median line of the pitchfork.

A close below 141-31 would signal lower.

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – Remains in the uptrend. Trade pressures are up but showing divergences, Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – In the move up. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target up is the 97.03 high pivot.

However, closed the week below the 25×5 MA. A first sign of a break down into a short trade. Support is at the 95.40 level.

 

US 30YRT-BONDS_ USH19

Weekly – A break up thru resistance starts a new week uptrend. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Moved quickly up to the 142-14 upside target. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are bullish.

At the upper median line of the pitchfork. The next target up is the July high of 144-31.

A close below 141.25 would signal lower.

 

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – Retesting the recent high. Trade pressures are up but still showing divergence. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Remains in the move up after the breakout in October. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

If the old highs at 97.53 are broken then the next target up is 98.48.

A close below the recent low of 95.93 would signal lower.

 

US 30 YR T-BOND_ USU19

Weekly – Moving up slowly off the 137 downside target. Trade pressures are down but rising to the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Still in the downtrend with resistance at 140-29, the 25×5 MA.

Daily – Flat. At the full move target of 139-30. The next target up is 142-14.

A close below the 138-10 level would signal lower.

 

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – Remains in the uptrend. Trade pressures are up but still showing divergence. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In a retracement down. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

The 25×5 MA has acted as support for four days.

The next target down is 95.62.

A close above 97.53 would signal higher.

 

US 30 Year T-BONDS_ USZ18

Weekly – A small move up off the congestion area of 137-20. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 137-26 level. Trade pressures are up and extended. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 140-18. But seeing some resistance levels at 140-17 and 141-04.

A close below 138-16 would signal lower.

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – Strong dollar futures. Trade pressures are up but showing some divergence. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – The trade down thru the 96.80 triggered a retracement. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Still in the longer cycle move up, but having a retracement down within that move up.

The next target down is 94.62, which is just above a confluence of the uptrend support line, a prior low pivot, and the 25×5 moving average.  These multiple levels should provide support.

A close below 95.33 would signal lower.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_ USZ18

Weekly – Remains in the consolidation at the 137-20 level. Trade pressures are down but turning up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Flat. Breaks thru the 25×5 moving average and continues the rally to the downtrend resistance. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

At the upper median line of the downward sloping pitchfork. The next target up is the double top at 139-25, then 140-18.

A close below 137-24 would signal lower once again.

Set the stop at the 25 x 5 at 138-10 for any long position.