Category: Currencies

US$$

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – Up against the prior week’s highs. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Still in the move up of the 95.58 long entry. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are mixed neutral to bullish.

The uptrend support line at 95.25 held. The 96.98 high is the next target up.

A close below that uptrend support at 95.25 would signal lower.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ18

Weekly – Continues the consolidation at the 137-20 level. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the down trend. Trade pressures are down but turning up. Volumes are bearish. The October retracement move up has given way to a new move down. at 137-24.

The next target down is 136-16.

A close above the 25×5 moving average at 138-03 would signal higher.

US$$

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – In the same move up since the beginning of 2018. Trade pressures are up just out of the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the new move up from the 95.58 level. Trade pressures are up and rolling over. Volumes are bearish to bullish.

The late in the week tariff talk drops the dollar futures back below the August highs of 96.40 and enters a short term short trade at 96.25.

The next target down is 95.07.

A close above 96.64 would resume the move up and act as the stop for the short trade.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_  USZ18

Weekly – Remains in consolidation at the 137-20 downside target. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the new move down at 137-24. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is , first the old low at 136-16, then 135-16.

A close above the 137-15 level would signal a resumption of the move up. As theses two level are close together, watch the hourly for over-bot and oversold conditions.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – Continues to new highs thru out October. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the move up from the new long entry at 95.58. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish to bearish.

The next target up is 97.77.

At the old high of 96.47. A close below the 25×5 support at 95.13 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USZ18

Weekly – The equity markets’ drop brings in some safety buyers. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 137-15 long entry level. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 140-18.

A close below 137-24 would signal lower.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – In consolidation around the 94.33 level. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. the 137-14 weekly target has been met.

Daily – Still in the trade down from the 94.93 short entry level. Trade pressures are up out of the neutral zone. Volumes are  bearish.

The next target down is 92.43.

95.58 is the new long entry which was touched two weeks ago and was tested again this last week, but failed to break thru. The test was on a lower trade pressure, so some divergence suggesting lower before higher.

The Dollar futures do react to geo-political events; and those events are increasing in number.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_  USZ18

Weekly – Consolidating at the 137-20 downside target. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Flat. In the move up off the 137-15 new long entry. Trade pressures are flat in the middle of the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish to bearish.

A the 139-00 target and consolidating. Any stops should be at the breakeven.

A close below the 136-27 level would signal a resumption of the move down.

US$$

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – A two week move off the highs. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are remain bullish.

Daily – After the August move down, the US Dollar futures rallied up to the new long entry level, but then stopped. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Midway in between the low pivot at 93.39 and the high pivot at 96.45. Each of these is the next target, high or low.

 

US 30 Year Treasury Bond_ USZ18

Weekly – The “FED” comment volume is up which may mean we are at some inflection point. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. In the retracement move up from the 137-15 level. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 139 which was touched briefly last week. The next target is 140-18 and is likely the completion of the retracement.

A close below 136-27 would signal the resumption of the move down.

 

 

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – Momentum has flattened out. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Entered the move down in August at 94.93 and retested the June – July lows at 93.90. Now a retracement move up inside that down move has triggered a new long entry at 95.46.

The 2017 high was over 101. But the August 2018 prior high is 96.47 and would likely stop any further short-term move up.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_  USZ18

Weekly – Broke the recent lows and went quickly to thew weekly 137-20 target. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Continuing the move down from the 144-03 short entry on August 28th. Trade pressures are down but showing some divergence. Volumes are bearish at the close of the week.

Now at multiple targets around the 137-138 level. Expect consolidation and a possible retracement here.

The next target down is 135-16.

A close above 137-26 would signal that retracement.

US$$

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – Has traded down to the 93.05 new short entry and stopped. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish to bullish.

Daily – The 93.35 down side short target was touched and acted as support. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

The FED decision to raise the rates another time created the week’s rally up to the downtrend resistance line. The next target down is 92.43.

A close above 95.46 would signal another move higher.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USZ18

Weekly – Remains in the downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Stopped out of the short trade at the 140-16 retracement entry price. Trade pressures are down but turning up. Volumes are bearish.

Wait for volume signals to confirm any new move up.

The next target up is 142-01.

A close below the 139-17 pivot would signal a resumption of the move down.

US$$

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – Retracing in the uptrend. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – In the downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The late in the week break down below 94 has sparked rallies in the metals and the bonds.

The next target down is 92.43.

A close above the 25×5 moving average would signal a resumption of the move up.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USZ18

Weekly – Four weeks down. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the 143-12 break of the 25×5 moving average. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

At the 140-21 downside target. The next target down is  137-28.

A close above 140-22 would signal a retracement up.

This 140-22 is now the stop.

[9-26-18: FED day. Lower the stop to 140-16]

 

US$$

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USD_ DXZ18

Weekly – Still in the move up. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Moving down in a retracement from the 94.93 short entry after meeting the 96.36 upside target. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are mixed , bearish to bullish.

The next target down is 92.43.

The weekend closed on an up-note. A move above the 25×5 at 94.91 would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_  USZ18

Weekly – A close below the weekly 25×5 moving average. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the break below the 25×5 moving average at 143-12. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 140-21.

A close above 142-16 would signal a new short term move up.

Use this 142-16 as the new stop for the short trade.

[9-17-18: lower the stops to 142-06.]

[9-19-18: Lower stops to 141-04.]

[9-21-18: Lower stops to 140-22.]

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USD_  DXZ18  (new contract)

Weekly – In the move up from the 89.74 level. Trade pressures are up but rolling over. Volumes are mixed nutral to bullish.

Daily – In the new move down. Trade pressures are down in the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral to bullish.

The next target down is 92.43.

A close back above the 95.62 downtrend resistance line would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_  USZ18

Weekly – Remains in the downtrend. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. The Friday trade down thru the 25×5 at 143-12 triggered the short trade. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are Bearish.

The next target down is 142-12, then 140-21.

A close above 143-12 would signal higher. Use 143-12 as the buy stop.