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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. Breaks out of  channel at 99.27 on 6/3. Yields rise, OB level declines. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target up is 100.13. The expected overbought level rises to 99.64.

A close below 99.36 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels declines to 98.84.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. Met resistance at 113-01 and is pulling back. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 110-28. Oversold levels decline to 110-25.

A close above 112-09 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 113-12.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields rise to 4.53%. The overbought level declines to 4.62.

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. Moving sideways in a tight channel. Yields decline, OB level declines. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 98.79. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.87.

A close above 99.23 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 99.51.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down, but rising.  Volumes decline neutral.

Daily  – Flat. In a move up off the 109-01 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 113-06.  Overbought levels decline to 113-30.

A close below 111-16 would signal lower. Oversold levels rise to 111-06.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

10yr yields down to 4.43%. The overbought level is at 4.68.

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 98.07 breakout on 5/12. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

Meeting resistance at 99.45 The expected overbought level rises to 99.85.

A close below 98.93 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.70.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes reverse to bullish.

Daily  – Flat. In a move up off the 109-16 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 112-12.  Overbought levels decline to 111-22.

Reached new lows at 109.50. Oversold levels decline to 106-06.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields hold at 4.55%. The overbought level is at 4.69.

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 98.07 breakout on 5/12. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 99.44. The expected overbought level rises to 99.45.

The next target down remains 97.20. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.43.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In a second move up off the 112-00 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 113-03. Oversold levels decline to 110-13.

A close above 113-28 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 113-14.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields rise to 4.58%. off the 4.42% OS.

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Consolidating. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down remains 97.20. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.48.

A close above 98.07 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.54.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

Inflation worries drive rate concerns higher.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In a second move up off the 112-00 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 113-03. Oversold levels decline to 111-13.

A close above 113-28 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-19.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields decline to 4.35%. and near the 4.32% OS.
[OS suggest a rate rise. So, no trade.]

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Stopped out of the short trade at 97.90. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 97.20. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.80.

A close above 98.23 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.96.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 112-11 lows. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

A close above 113-16 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 115-00.

A close below 112-22 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline to 112-22.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

10yr yields rise to 4.37%. and near OB.

 

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. After a corrective rally to 98.77, a short entry triggered at 98.43. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 98.00. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.90.

A close above 98.57 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.99.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

[4-30-26: Close the short dollar trade.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Stopped out at 113-25. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 112-28. Oversold levels rise to 112-26.

A close above 114-15 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 115-22.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

10yr yields rise to 4.30%.

[4-30-26: 10yr yield rises to 4.9 near the OB level. May buy  the 30 T-bond above 113.00.]

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the new March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down to the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. from 99.73 on 4/06. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 97.62. The expected oversold levels decline to 98.51.

A close above 98.77 98.21 would signal higher  The expected overbought level rises to 100.51.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down, but rising.  Volumes are neutral.

Daily  – Flat. A new long entry at 113-07 on 3/30. (After retest of the lower median line parallel at 111-23 on 3/27.) Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 115-04. Overbought levels rise to 114-28.

A close below 113-09 would signal lower.  Oversold levels rise to 112-26.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

10yr yields decline to 4.30% and near OS.

[4-11-26: Set the SL at 113-07.]

[4-14-26: Raise the SL to 113-.25]

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the new March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Long. finding resistance at 100 on 3/19. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 101.68   Overhead resistance nearby. The expected overbought level declines to 100.36.

A close below 99.48 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 99.03.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing.]

[3-27-26: Narrowing could presage a breakout. up or down.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Down to retest the lower median line parallel. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Met the 112-00 target. The next target down is 110.54  Oversold levels decline to 112-01.

A close above 113-07 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-16.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yield near 4.44% and > OB.
Crude up, Inflation up, Yields up, USD up, SPX down

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the new March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Long. finding resistance at 100 on 3/19. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 99.85   Overhead resistance nearby. The expected overbought level rises to 100.56.

A close below 98.05 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.58.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, moving down to the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the second move down from 114-28 on 3/18 Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 112-00.  Oversold levels decline to 113-16.

A close above 113-07 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-26.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yield near 4.40% and > OB.
Look for a bond rally if yields turn down.