#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. Rates declining, inflation moderating. Resistance at 101. Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 101.97. The expected overbought level rises to 102.23.

A close below 100.75 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 100.17.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[6-27-26: Set the SL at 100.28]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend, but rising.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Long. Closed above 112-09 on 6/12.  Trade pressures are up but showing a lower high.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target remains 114-23. Overbought levels decline to 114-23.

A close below 113-11 would signal lower. Oversold levels rise to 112-12.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing.]

[6-19-26: Set the SL at 113-04.]

Hedgeye indicates lower inflation resulting in no rate increases and is showing up in the longer end of the yield curve. when it shows up in the 2yr then markets will react. 10yr yields decline to 4.37%. The yield overbought level declines to 4.50.

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. Rates declining, inflation moderating. Resistance at 100. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes are remain bearish.

The next target up remains 100.88. The expected overbought level rises to 100.79.

A close below 99.23 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 99.53.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[6-19-26: Lower inflation should lower rates, which should lower the $USD. At the OB level now, so tighten stops. Watch correlated moves, such as the currencies.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Long. Closed above 112-09 on 6/12.  Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 114-23. Overbought levels rise to 114-24.

A close below 112-11 would signal lower. Oversold levels rise to 111-24.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

10yr yields decline to 4.45%. The overbought level rises to 4.57.

[6-19-26: Keep the SL at 112-04.]

Hedgeye indicates lower inflation resulting in no rate increases is showing up in the longer end of the yield curve. when it shows up in the 2yr then markets will react.

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. Rates declining, inflation moderating. Resistance at 100. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes are remain bearish.

The next target up remains 100.13. The expected overbought level rises to 100.17.

A close below 99.23 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 99.12.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Long. Closed above 112-09 on 6/12. Met resistance for a second time at 113-01 and is pulling back. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 112-29. Overbought levels decline to 113-12.

A close below 112-04 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline to 110-25.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields decline to 4.48%. The overbought level declines to 4.56.

[Set the SL at 112-04.]

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. Breaks out of  channel at 99.27 on 6/3. Yields rise, OB level declines. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target up is 100.13. The expected overbought level rises to 99.64.

A close below 99.36 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels declines to 98.84.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. Met resistance at 113-01 and is pulling back. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 110-28. Oversold levels decline to 110-25.

A close above 112-09 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 113-12.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields rise to 4.53%. The overbought level declines to 4.62.

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. Moving sideways in a tight channel. Yields decline, OB level declines. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 98.79. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.87.

A close above 99.23 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 99.51.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down, but rising.  Volumes decline neutral.

Daily  – Flat. In a move up off the 109-01 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 113-06.  Overbought levels decline to 113-30.

A close below 111-16 would signal lower. Oversold levels rise to 111-06.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

10yr yields down to 4.43%. The overbought level is at 4.68.

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 98.07 breakout on 5/12. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

Meeting resistance at 99.45 The expected overbought level rises to 99.85.

A close below 98.93 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.70.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes reverse to bullish.

Daily  – Flat. In a move up off the 109-16 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 112-12.  Overbought levels decline to 111-22.

Reached new lows at 109.50. Oversold levels decline to 106-06.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields hold at 4.55%. The overbought level is at 4.69.

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 98.07 breakout on 5/12. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 99.44. The expected overbought level rises to 99.45.

The next target down remains 97.20. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.43.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In a second move up off the 112-00 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 113-03. Oversold levels decline to 110-13.

A close above 113-28 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 113-14.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields rise to 4.58%. off the 4.42% OS.

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Consolidating. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down remains 97.20. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.48.

A close above 98.07 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.54.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

Inflation worries drive rate concerns higher.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In a second move up off the 112-00 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 113-03. Oversold levels decline to 111-13.

A close above 113-28 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-19.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields decline to 4.35%. and near the 4.32% OS.
[OS suggest a rate rise. So, no trade.]

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Stopped out of the short trade at 97.90. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 97.20. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.80.

A close above 98.23 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.96.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 112-11 lows. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

A close above 113-16 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 115-00.

A close below 112-22 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline to 112-22.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

10yr yields rise to 4.37%. and near OB.

 

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. After a corrective rally to 98.77, a short entry triggered at 98.43. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 98.00. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.90.

A close above 98.57 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.99.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

[4-30-26: Close the short dollar trade.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Stopped out at 113-25. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 112-28. Oversold levels rise to 112-26.

A close above 114-15 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 115-22.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

10yr yields rise to 4.30%.

[4-30-26: 10yr yield rises to 4.9 near the OB level. May buy  the 30 T-bond above 113.00.]