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USD_ DXZ26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down, but rising. Volumes are beaerish.

Daily – Flat. In the new move up from 98.66 on 9/10.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 98.99. The expected overbought level declines to 99.17.

A close below 9864 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 98.40.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend, breaking below lower channel bound.  Trade pressures are down, but slowly rising.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Remains in the downward channel. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 106-01. Oversold levels decline to 106-25.

The next channel breakout and long entry is 107-10. Overbought levels decline to 109-08.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[9-13-16: 10yr yields rise to 4.97%. The yield overbought level rises to 4.98.]

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down, but rising. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Long. In the new move down from 99.45 on 9/2.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target down is 98.42. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.51.

The next target up is 100.35. The expected overbought level rises to 99.67.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[9-3-26: US Treasury buying US Treasuries and Japanese Yen trying to get rates down before the election. Rarely works.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend, at the lower channel bound.  Trade pressures are down, but rising.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Remains in the downward channel. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 107-16. Oversold levels decline to 107-14.

The next channel breakout and long entry is 109-00. Overbought levels decline to 109-21.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields rise to 4.78%. The yield overbought level rises to 4.84.

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down, but rising. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Long. In the new move up from 99.57 on 8/26.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 100.35. The expected overbought level rises to 99.56.

A lose below 99.19 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.50.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[8-28-26: Yes, a break out.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Attempts a rally to breakout of the channel. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 107-31. Oversold levels rise to 108-08.

The next long entry is 109-17. Overbought levels rise to 110-23.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

10yr yields hold at 4.72%. The yield overbought level rises to 4.76.

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. In the move below 100.80 on 7/29.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 97.75. The expected oversold levels decline to 98.24.

A close above 99.57 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 99.21.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[8-21-26: No break out. Price holds the 98.47 lows.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Back into the declining channel. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 108-24. Oversold levels decline to 107-18.

The next long entry is 109-31. Overbought levels rise to 110-20.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing.]

10yr yields hold at 4.71%. The yield overbought level holds at 4.75.

 

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. In the move below 100.80 on 7/29.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 99.05. The expected oversold levels rise to 99.44.

A close above 99.61 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 100.17.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing.]

[8-18-26: Look for a break out.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the declining channel. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 106-24. Oversold levels decline to 107-22.

The next long entry is 108-20. Overbought levels decline to 110-11.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields rise to 4.71%. The yield overbought level rises to 4.75.

[Post market break long above 108-22.]

[8-19-26: Treasury bond buy-back. Take profit at 110.00]

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. In the move below 101.06.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 98.92. The expected oversold levels decline to 99.01.

A close above 99.61 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 100.71.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Stopped out of the long trade at 109-06 on 8/7. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone..  Volumes are bearish.

The next long entry is 109-06. Overbought levels rise to 111-01.

A close below 109-02 would signal lower. Oversold levels rise to 108-08.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[8-7-26:   Set SL at 109-01.]

10yr yields decline to 4.66%. The yield overbought level rises to 4.74.

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down to the neitral zone. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Short. In the move below 101.06.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 99.66. The expected oversold levels decline to 99.76.

The next target up is 100.39. The expected overbought level rises to 102.01.

[The OB/OS channel is narowing.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from 109-06 on 8/4. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 111-02. Overbought levels decline to 110-13.

The next target down is 108-03. Oversold levels decline to 107-22.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[8-4-26: Long from 109-06. Set SL at 109-06.]

Resumption of the Iran War sends inflation and yields higher. 10yr yields rise to 4.75%. The yield overbought level declines to 4.71.

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up, but declining. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up off the support levels.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 101.60. The expected overbought level rises to 101.60.

A close below 101.06 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 100.47.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move down from 112-24 on 7/7.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 108-20. Oversold levels decline to 108-29.

A close above 110-15 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 111-02.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

Resumption of the Iran War sends inflation and yields higher. 10yr yields rise to 4.68%. The yield overbought level rises to 4.73.

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up, but declining. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. Lower highs at 101.13. In the move down to 100.03 support.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 100.03. The expected oversold levels decline to 100.40.

A close above 100.83 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 101.38.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move down from 112-24 on 7/7.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 109-25. Oversold levels decline to 109-29.

A close above 111-13 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 112-08.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

Hedgeye indicates lower inflation resulting in no rate increases and is showing up in the longer end of the yield curve. when it shows up in the 2yr then markets will react. 10yr yields rise to 4.48%. The yield overbought level declines to 4.46.

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. Turned down at resistance. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 100.03. The expected oversold levels declines to 100.42.

A close above 100.83 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 101.39.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

Daily  – Flat. In the move down from 112-24 on 7/7.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 109-25. Oversold levels decline to 110-15.

A close above 111-22 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 112-14.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

Hedgeye indicates lower inflation resulting in no rate increases and is showing up in the longer end of the yield curve. when it shows up in the 2yr then markets will react. 10yr yields rise to 4.48%. The yield overbought level declines to 4.46.