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USD_ DXZ26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from 101.90. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down remains 101.18.  The expected oversold levels rise to 101.45.

A close above 101.93 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 102.54.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

[10-24-26: OS levels rising, so expect some buying.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend, rising to backtest the breakdown.  Trade pressures are down, but rising.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from 103-18 on 10/12.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 106-07. Overbought levels decline to 106-00.

A close below 106-07 would signal lower. Oversold levels rise to 104-12.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing.]

[10-17-26: 10yr yields decline to 4.99%. The yield overbought level declines to 5.29.]

[10-24-26: Set the stop at 106-24.]

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USD_ DXZ26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from 101.90. Near the OS, so expect buying to come in. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

A close above 101.93 The expected overbought level rises to 102.71.

The next target down is 101.18.  The expected oversold levels decline to 101.30.

[The OB/OS channel is widening, so more volatility.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend, rising to backtest the breakdown.  Trade pressures are down, but rising.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from 103-18 on 10/12.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 106-07. Overbought levels decline to 106-10.

A close below 104-14 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline to 102-26.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[10-17-26: 10yr yields decline to 5.15%. The yield overbought level rises to 5.36.]

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USD_ DXZ26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Three day’s of lower highs below the 102.30 pivot.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

At the 102.30 target. The expected overbought level rises to 102.258.

A close below 101.63 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 101.40.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend, breaking below lower channel bound.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Long. Remains in the downward channel, but now above the downtrend line. Looking for a backtest of this breakout to 102-14 and then a resumption of the move up. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone.  Volumes are neutral.

The new pivot low is 101-05. The next target down is 101-03. Oversold levels decline to 100-04.

The trade above 102-08 on 10/8 signaled higher. Overbought levels decline to 104-05.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[10-9-26: 10yr yields decline to 5.25%. The yield overbought level declines to 5.35.]

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USD_ DXZ26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. A three day pause in the move up and then resumes on 9/28.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

At the 101.99 target. The expected overbought level rises to 102.28.

A close below 101.05 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 101.00.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend, breaking below lower channel bound.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Remains in the downward channel. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The new pivot low is 101-29. The next target down is a retest of that pivot. Oversold levels decline to 101-04.

A close above 103-10 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 104-29.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[10-4-26: 10yr yields rise to 5.27%. The yield overbought level rises to 5.40.]

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USD_ DXZ26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Breaks out of the bull flag above 99.84 on 9/16 and moves sharply higher to the 100.93 target on 9/24.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 101.13. The expected overbought level declines to 100.65.

A close below 100.23 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 99.98.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend, breaking below lower channel bound.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Remains in the downward channel. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The pivot low fails at 106-01. The next target down is 103-18. Oversold levels decline to 104-04.

A close above 105-11 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 107-24.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[9-26-26: 10yr yields rise to 5.18%. The yield overbought level rises to 5.21.]

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USD_ DXZ26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down, but rising. Volumes are beaerish.

Daily – Flat. Breaks out of the bull flag above 99.84 on 9/16.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 100.41. The expected overbought level rises to 100.81.

A close below 98.81 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 99.53.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[9-18-26: 10 yr rate is over-bought, may bring downward pressure on the $USD.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend, breaking below lower channel bound.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Remains in the downward channel. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is a test of the pivot low at 106-01. Oversold levels decline to 106-25.

The next channel breakout and long entry is 107-26. Overbought levels decline to 109-08.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[9-18-16: 10yr yields decline to 4.93%. The yield overbought level rises to 5.12.]

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USD_ DXZ26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down, but rising. Volumes are beaerish.

Daily – Flat. In the new move up from 98.66 on 9/10.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 98.99. The expected overbought level declines to 99.17.

A close below 9864 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 98.40.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend, breaking below lower channel bound.  Trade pressures are down, but slowly rising.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Remains in the downward channel. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 106-01. Oversold levels decline to 106-25.

The next channel breakout and long entry is 107-10. Overbought levels decline to 109-08.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[9-13-16: 10yr yields rise to 4.97%. The yield overbought level rises to 4.98.]

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down, but rising. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Long. In the new move down from 99.45 on 9/2.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target down is 98.42. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.51.

The next target up is 100.35. The expected overbought level rises to 99.67.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[9-3-26: US Treasury buying US Treasuries and Japanese Yen trying to get rates down before the election. Rarely works.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend, at the lower channel bound.  Trade pressures are down, but rising.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Remains in the downward channel. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 107-16. Oversold levels decline to 107-14.

The next channel breakout and long entry is 109-00. Overbought levels decline to 109-21.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields rise to 4.78%. The yield overbought level rises to 4.84.

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down, but rising. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Long. In the new move up from 99.57 on 8/26.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 100.35. The expected overbought level rises to 99.56.

A lose below 99.19 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.50.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[8-28-26: Yes, a break out.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Attempts a rally to breakout of the channel. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 107-31. Oversold levels rise to 108-08.

The next long entry is 109-17. Overbought levels rise to 110-23.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

10yr yields hold at 4.72%. The yield overbought level rises to 4.76.

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USD_ DXU26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. In the move below 100.80 on 7/29.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 97.75. The expected oversold levels decline to 98.24.

A close above 99.57 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 99.21.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[8-21-26: No break out. Price holds the 98.47 lows.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Back into the declining channel. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 108-24. Oversold levels decline to 107-18.

The next long entry is 109-31. Overbought levels rise to 110-20.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing.]

10yr yields hold at 4.71%. The yield overbought level holds at 4.75.