Category: Currencies

US$$

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – Back to the October 2019 highs. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the move up from the second leg up which began at the 97.63 level. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 99.16.

A close below 98.36 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-Bonds_ USH20

Weekly – At resistance. Trade pressures are up but reversing. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily – Flat. Beginning a retracement inside the move up. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral to bullish.

The next target up is 165-30 prior high.

The 2 hour chart is showing bearish reversal in the trade pressures. A close below the 161-14 level would signal lower.

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – Testing the prior highs. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – After the pullback form the 98 highs price rallied with a second leg up and is approaching the 98.62 target. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. It is as if the US markets are a “corona virus safe haven”.  99.00 should be reachable in this move.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH20.

Weekly – Usually Bonds move down, as the dollar rises, as interest rates rise. Trade pressures are up and turning down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the 162-27 short entry price. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are neutral.

The next target is 158-31.

A close above 164-05 would signal higher.

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – after the first move down the dollar trade up to the lower channel line. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – New short signal at 97.79. Trade pressures are  down . Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 96.97.

A close above 97.63 would signal a reversal.

SOM doesn’t trade the dollar; just using it as a reference. Everything is affected buy, or affects,  the dollar. Use the Euro futures if you want a trade; It will be the opposite direction, usually.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_  USH20

Weekly – As the dollar declines the Bonds breakout above the prior downward sloping channel ine. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the January 2020 long entry at 156-16. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are bullish.

At the the 161% target. Expect consolidation and retracement. The next target up is the 166 prior high.

A close below 161-24 would signal lower.

US$$

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – In the long term move up . Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – After the 96.02 low, now in a move up from the 96.30 level. Trade pressures are up into the neutral. zone. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 97.63.

A close below 96.92 would signal a resumption of the downtrend.

 

US 30 YR T-Bonds_  USH20

Weekly – In the long channel down. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In a retracement move down. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 156-06 at the lower median line.

A close above 158-22 would signal higher and place the daily trade pressures in sync with the weekly.

The 3hr chart shows an early long trigger at 157-19

 

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – Four weeks in the new move down. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – In the move down from the 96.98 short entry. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 95.62.

A close above 96.82 would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USGH20

Weekly – The test of the November lows held support. Trade  pressures are up in to the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the new long trade from the 156-16 long entry price on Friday. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 158-14. This is a retracement trade with resistance at 158-14.

Raise stops to the entry price of 156-16.

A close below 155-27 would signal lower.

[1-8-20: After an overnight run up to 159.59, stopped at the breakeven, 156.50.]

US$$

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – The 96 level has held support for 10 weeks now. Trade pressures are Volumes are neutral.

Daily – In the move up from the 96.69 long entry level. Trade pressures are up. Volume are bullish.

The next target up is 97.90.

But resistance is at 97.67. A close below 96.92 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH20

Weekly – In a retracement down with the uptrend. Trade pressures are down and looking oversold. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the 158-11 entry. Trade pressures are down and oversold. Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 154-19. Take profits at this target.

A close above 156-25 would signal higher.

Set buy stops at 156-25.

[12-27-19:Stopped out 156-25 overnight.]

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – Testing the October lows. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – In the move down. from the 97.47 short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Below the October lows, the next target down is 95.66.

A close above 97.42 would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH20

Weekly – Trend is neutral. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the 158-02 short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 155-23. (The low was 156-08.)

Trade settlement with China puts upward pressures. A close above 158-20 is the stop.

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – Remains in the long trend from the early 2018’s. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – The long retracement up of the October down move has stopped, and a new move down has started with the trade thru 97.47. Trade pressures are down but just turning up.

The next target down is 96.58.

A close above 97.16 would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH20

Weekly – In the long move up from early 2019. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish since August.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the 157-26 short entry on Friday. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 155-23.

A close above 159-29 would signal higher. Use that level as the stop.

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – The May 2018 long trend is intact. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are  bullish.

Daily – In the move up from the 97.57 entry level. Trade pressures are up and extended. Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 98.59.

A close below 97.35 would signal lower.

 

US30YR T-BONDS_ USH20

Weekly – In the uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Out of the December trade at the downtrend resistance line. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neutral.

A break above the 160-04 level would signal a resumption of the move up.

A close below 157-17 would signal a move lower.

 

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USD_ DXZ19

Weekly – Still in the uptrend started April 2018. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the new move up after the retracement down from the 98.00 level. The next target up is 98.42. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

A close below 97.55 would resume the move down.

 

US 30YR T-BOND_ USZ19

Weekly – Retracing the move up. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 157-24 entry price. Trade pressures are extended. Volumes are bullish.

At the downtrend resistance now. Consider taking profits here.

The next target up is 163-16.

A close below 158-22 would signal lower.