Category: Currencies

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USD_ DXH26

Weekly –  In the November 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily –long. In the second leg up from 98.27 on 1/6/26. Trade pressures remain up.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target up is 98.34.  The expected overbought level rises to 99.21.

A close below 97.85 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.99.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, still back testing the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are neutral.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from 115-22 on 1/9/26.  Trade pressures are up, but turning down.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 117-05. Overbought levels decline to 116-17.

A close below 114-26 would signal lower.  Oversold levels decline to 114-17.

[1-10-26: The OB/OS channel is declining.]

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USD_ DXH26

Weekly –  In the November 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily –long. In the move up from 97.76 on 12/30/25. Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 98.34.  The expected overbought level rises to 98.75.

A close below 97.85 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.67.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, still back testing the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are neutral.

Daily  – Flat. In the move down from 115-13.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target in this downtrend is 114-18.  Oversold levels decline to 114-28.

A close above 115-19 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 116-27.

[1-2-26: The OB/OS channel is declining.]

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USD_ DXH26

Weekly –  In the November 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily –Flat. US interest rates are diverging from the ROW. Trade pressures are now down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down remains 96.70. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.65.

A close above 98.50 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level declines to 98.59.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, now back testing the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Retracing the move down and now testing the the Bull flag resisitance. Short is closed. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target in this downtrend is 113-05.  Oversold levels rise to 115-10.

A close above 115-28 would signal a breakout from the Bull Flag and higher.  Overbought levels rise to 116-16.

[12-26-25: The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

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USD_ DXH26

Weekly –  In the November 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily –Flat. US interest rates are diverging from the ROW. Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target down remains 96.70. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.89.

A close above 98.49 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level declines to 99.04.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, now back testing the October 2024 trendline breakout and forming a bull flag.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Short. In the move down from 117-05 on 11/30 and touched the 114-17 downside target on 12/16. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes remian bearish.

The next target in this downtrend is 112-15.  Oversold levels decline to 114-23.

A close above 115-25 would signal a breakout from the Bull Flag and higher. Still need a higher low first. Overbought levels rise to 115-31.

[12-20-25: The OB/OS channel is widening.]

[12-24-25: Close the Short @ 115-15.]

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USD_ DXH26

Weekly –  In the new November 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily –Flat. In a pullback. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 96.70. The expected oversold levels decline to 98.18.

A close above 98.19 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level declines to 99.18.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, now back testing the October 2024 trendline breakout.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Short. In the move down from 117-05 on 11/30 to the 114-17 target. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes remian bearish.

The next target down is 112-15.  Oversold levels decline to 114-13.

A close above 114-29 would signal higher. Need a higher low first. Overbought levels decline to 116-20.

[12-6-25: The OB/OS channel is declining.]

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USD_ DXZ25 (March rollover 12-12-25)

Weekly –  In the new November 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily –Flat. In a pullback. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

A close above 98.75 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level declines to 99.78.

A close below 98.41 support would signal lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 98.58.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, and above the October 2024 trendline breakout.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move down from 117-05 on 11/30. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 114-19.  Oversold levels decline to 115-13.

A close above 115-31 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 117-10.

[12-6-25: The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

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USD_ DXZ25 (rolls to March 2026 on 12/1)

Weekly –  In the new November 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Long. Reached a high of 100.35 (DXZ25) on 11/20 and now in a pullback. Trade pressures are now down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 99.84 (DXH26).  The expected overbought level rises to 100.58.

A close below 98.79 support would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 99.52.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, and above the October 2024 trendline breakout.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the new move up from 117-03 on 11/21. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 119-28, the prior high. Overbought levels rise to 118-02.

The next target down is 116-18.  Oversold levels rise to 116-13.

[11-22-25: The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[Set the SL at 117-02.]

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USD_ DXZ25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend now breaking resistance.  Trade pressures remain up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Long. After the move down from 100.21 on 11/05; now a breakout to the upside from 99.59 on 11/19. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 102.40.  The expected overbought level rises to 100.58.

A close below 99.93 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 99.44.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ25

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, and above the October 2024 trendline breakout.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the new move up from 117-03 on 11/21. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

A close above 117-14 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 117-23.

The next target down is 115-26.  Oversold levels decline to 116-08.

[11-22-25: The OB/OS channel is declining.]

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USD_ DXZ25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend now breaking resistance.  Trade pressures remain up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Long. In the move down from 100.21 on 11/05. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 98.52. The expected oversold levels decline to 100.36.

A close above 99.69 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level declines to 99.00.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ25

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, and above the October 2024 trendline breakout.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move down from . Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 115-26.  Oversold levels decline to 116-10.

A close above 117-14 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 118-17.

[11-15-25: The OB/OS channel is declining.]

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USD_ DXZ25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend now breaking resistance.  Trade pressures remain up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Long. In the retracement down of the move up from 98.46 on 10/21. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up remains 99.90.  The expected overbought level rises to 99.74.

A close below 98.54 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 100.64.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ25

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Moving down to sideways – after the breakout to the long trade. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 114-25.  Oversold levels decline to 116-23.

A close above 117-24 would signal higher. Overbought levels rise to 118-18.

[11-8-25: The OB/OS channel is widening.]