Category: Currencies

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 98.07 breakout on 5/12. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 99.44. The expected overbought level rises to 99.45.

The next target down remains 97.20. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.43.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In a second move up off the 112-00 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 113-03. Oversold levels decline to 110-13.

A close above 113-28 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 113-14.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields rise to 4.58%. off the 4.42% OS.

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Consolidating. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down remains 97.20. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.48.

A close above 98.07 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.54.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

Inflation worries drive rate concerns higher.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In a second move up off the 112-00 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 113-03. Oversold levels decline to 111-13.

A close above 113-28 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-19.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields decline to 4.35%. and near the 4.32% OS.
[OS suggest a rate rise. So, no trade.]

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Stopped out of the short trade at 97.90. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 97.20. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.80.

A close above 98.23 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.96.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 112-11 lows. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

A close above 113-16 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 115-00.

A close below 112-22 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline to 112-22.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

10yr yields rise to 4.37%. and near OB.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. After a corrective rally to 98.77, a short entry triggered at 98.43. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 98.00. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.90.

A close above 98.57 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.99.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

[4-30-26: Close the short dollar trade.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Stopped out at 113-25. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 112-28. Oversold levels rise to 112-26.

A close above 114-15 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 115-22.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

10yr yields rise to 4.30%.

[4-30-26: 10yr yield rises to 4.9 near the OB level. May buy  the 30 T-bond above 113.00.]

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the new March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down to the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. from 99.73 on 4/06. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 97.62. The expected oversold levels decline to 98.51.

A close above 98.77 98.21 would signal higher  The expected overbought level rises to 100.51.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down, but rising.  Volumes are neutral.

Daily  – Flat. A new long entry at 113-07 on 3/30. (After retest of the lower median line parallel at 111-23 on 3/27.) Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 115-04. Overbought levels rise to 114-28.

A close below 113-09 would signal lower.  Oversold levels rise to 112-26.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

10yr yields decline to 4.30% and near OS.

[4-11-26: Set the SL at 113-07.]

[4-14-26: Raise the SL to 113-.25]

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the new March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Long. finding resistance at 100 on 3/19. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 101.68   Overhead resistance nearby. The expected overbought level declines to 100.36.

A close below 99.48 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 99.03.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing.]

[3-27-26: Narrowing could presage a breakout. up or down.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Down to retest the lower median line parallel. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Met the 112-00 target. The next target down is 110.54  Oversold levels decline to 112-01.

A close above 113-07 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-16.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yield near 4.44% and > OB.
Crude up, Inflation up, Yields up, USD up, SPX down

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the new March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Long. finding resistance at 100 on 3/19. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 99.85   Overhead resistance nearby. The expected overbought level rises to 100.56.

A close below 98.05 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.58.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, moving down to the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the second move down from 114-28 on 3/18 Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 112-00.  Oversold levels decline to 113-16.

A close above 113-07 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-26.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yield near 4.40% and > OB.
Look for a bond rally if yields turn down.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXH26

Weekly –  In the new March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. Breaks out of bull flag at 98.80 on 3/11. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 100.64   Overhead resistance nearby. The expected overbought level rises to 100.32.

A close below 99.60 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.47.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[3-17-26: New short entry at 99.60. SL at 99.99.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, moving down to the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Short. Long trade stopped out at BE. Sold off all week.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 112-07.  Oversold levels decline to 113-16.

A close above 114-27 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-26.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yield near 4.30% and OB. Look for a bond rally if yields turn down.

[3-17-26: Long at 114-26. SL at 114-02.]

[3-18-26: Stopped out at 114-02.]

 

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USD_ DXH26

Weekly –  In the January 2026 downtrend.  Testing resistance. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Breaks out of resistance at 98.12 on 3/2. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 99.69   Overhead resistance nearby. The expected overbought level rises to 99.84.

A close below 98.44 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.02.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[3-11-26: Long from 99.69. SL at 98.67.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, moving up off the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. Sold off all week. Buy this low below 116-13. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 117-01. Overbought levels decline to 117-24.

A close below 115-16 would signal lower.  Oversold levels decline to 115-31.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[3-6-26: 10 yr yields at the OB; Buy the 30yr on dips.]

[3-7-26: Long at the trend break at 115-19. Set the SL at the entry price 115.29.]

[3-11-26: stopped out at the EP. Inflation is rising.]

US$$

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USD_ DXH26

Weekly –  In the January 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Grinding sideways with a downward bias at the 200 MA resistance. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target down is 97.21. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.07.

A close above 97.75 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level rises to 98.17.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[2-27-26: A break above 98.12 would signal higher.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, moving up off the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Flat. The pullback moved down to 116-20, then higher to the 118-20 target. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 119-27. Overbought levels rise to 118-14.

A close below 117-16 would signal lower.  Oversold levels rise to 117-08.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[2-27-26: price above OB; set any Long SL at 118-07.]