Category: Currencies

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Consolidating. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down remains 97.20. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.48.

A close above 98.07 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.54.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

Inflation worries drive rate concerns higher.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In a second move up off the 112-00 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 113-03. Oversold levels decline to 111-13.

A close above 113-28 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-19.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yields decline to 4.35%. and near the 4.32% OS.
[OS suggest a rate rise. So, no trade.]

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Stopped out of the short trade at 97.90. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 97.20. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.80.

A close above 98.23 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.96.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 112-11 lows. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

A close above 113-16 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 115-00.

A close below 112-22 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline to 112-22.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

10yr yields rise to 4.37%. and near OB.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. After a corrective rally to 98.77, a short entry triggered at 98.43. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 98.00. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.90.

A close above 98.57 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 98.99.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

[4-30-26: Close the short dollar trade.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Stopped out at 113-25. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 112-28. Oversold levels rise to 112-26.

A close above 114-15 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 115-22.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

10yr yields rise to 4.30%.

[4-30-26: 10yr yield rises to 4.9 near the OB level. May buy  the 30 T-bond above 113.00.]

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from 99.73 on 4/06. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Made a 98.42 low and turns higher. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.24.

A close above 98.21 would signal higher  The expected overbought level declines to 99.17.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise into the neutral zone.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. Stopped out at 113-25. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 115-04. Overbought levels rise to 115-24.

A close below 113-09 would signal lower.  Oversold levels decline to 112-17.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

10yr yields decline to 4.24% and are at OS.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the new March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are down to the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. from 99.73 on 4/06. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 97.62. The expected oversold levels decline to 98.51.

A close above 98.77 98.21 would signal higher  The expected overbought level rises to 100.51.

[The OB/OS channel is widening.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down, but rising.  Volumes are neutral.

Daily  – Flat. A new long entry at 113-07 on 3/30. (After retest of the lower median line parallel at 111-23 on 3/27.) Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 115-04. Overbought levels rise to 114-28.

A close below 113-09 would signal lower.  Oversold levels rise to 112-26.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

10yr yields decline to 4.30% and near OS.

[4-11-26: Set the SL at 113-07.]

[4-14-26: Raise the SL to 113-.25]

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the new March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Long. finding resistance at 100 on 3/19. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 101.68   Overhead resistance nearby. The expected overbought level declines to 100.36.

A close below 99.48 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 99.03.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing.]

[3-27-26: Narrowing could presage a breakout. up or down.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the new March 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Down to retest the lower median line parallel. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Met the 112-00 target. The next target down is 110.54  Oversold levels decline to 112-01.

A close above 113-07 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-16.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yield near 4.44% and > OB.
Crude up, Inflation up, Yields up, USD up, SPX down

US$$

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USD_ DXM26

Weekly –  In the new March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Long. finding resistance at 100 on 3/19. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 99.85   Overhead resistance nearby. The expected overbought level rises to 100.56.

A close below 98.05 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.58.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, moving down to the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the second move down from 114-28 on 3/18 Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 112-00.  Oversold levels decline to 113-16.

A close above 113-07 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-26.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yield near 4.40% and > OB.
Look for a bond rally if yields turn down.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXH26

Weekly –  In the new March 2026 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. Breaks out of bull flag at 98.80 on 3/11. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 100.64   Overhead resistance nearby. The expected overbought level rises to 100.32.

A close below 99.60 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.47.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[3-17-26: New short entry at 99.60. SL at 99.99.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, moving down to the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Short. Long trade stopped out at BE. Sold off all week.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 112-07.  Oversold levels decline to 113-16.

A close above 114-27 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 114-26.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

10yr yield near 4.30% and OB. Look for a bond rally if yields turn down.

[3-17-26: Long at 114-26. SL at 114-02.]

[3-18-26: Stopped out at 114-02.]

 

US$$

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USD_ DXH26

Weekly –  In the January 2026 downtrend.  Testing resistance. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Breaks out of resistance at 98.12 on 3/2. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 99.69   Overhead resistance nearby. The expected overbought level rises to 99.84.

A close below 98.44 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.02.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[3-11-26: Long from 99.69. SL at 98.67.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, moving up off the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. Sold off all week. Buy this low below 116-13. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 117-01. Overbought levels decline to 117-24.

A close below 115-16 would signal lower.  Oversold levels decline to 115-31.

[The OB/OS channel is declining.]

[3-6-26: 10 yr yields at the OB; Buy the 30yr on dips.]

[3-7-26: Long at the trend break at 115-19. Set the SL at the entry price 115.29.]

[3-11-26: stopped out at the EP. Inflation is rising.]

US$$

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USD_ DXH26

Weekly –  In the January 2026 downtrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Grinding sideways with a downward bias at the 200 MA resistance. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target down is 97.21. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.07.

A close above 97.75 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level rises to 98.17.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[2-27-26: A break above 98.12 would signal higher.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH26

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend, moving up off the October 2024 trendline.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Flat. The pullback moved down to 116-20, then higher to the 118-20 target. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 119-27. Overbought levels rise to 118-14.

A close below 117-16 would signal lower.  Oversold levels rise to 117-08.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

[2-27-26: price above OB; set any Long SL at 118-07.]