Category: Currencies

US$$

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USD DXM19

Weekly – In the move up to the 97.62 target. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In a counter move up inside the longer term move down. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

97.05 is the overhead resistance line. If it holds then sell the metals.

A close below the 95.62 level would restart the move down.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM19

Weekly – In this second leg up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 146-16 long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 151-12. Take profits if touched.

A close below 148-16 would signal lower.

Use the 148-16 as the new stop level.

[4-1-19: the long trade is stopped out at the 148-16 level.]

 

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USD_ DXM19

Weekly – Still in the uptrend. Trade pressures are neutral. Volumes are bullish. International money flows seem to be coming this way.

Daily – In a new move down from the 95.62 short entry level. But the Friday rate inversion brought money back into the dollar and took it above the 95.91 new long entry. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

So, a rally inside the move down. Confusing?

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM19

Weekly – In this move up since the 142.21 level. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. The close above the 146-16 level started the new long. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 151-12.

A close below 146-31 would signal lower.

Make this 146-31 the stop for the long trade.

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USD_ DXM19

Weekly – In the year long move up from the 89 level. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Still in the move up from the 95 .81 new long entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Price is in a pullback from the 97.15 high.

The next target up is the 96.80 level.

The next short entry is nearby at 95.62. The 3 hour chart is in a new move down from the 96.62 level.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM19

Weekly – In the uptrend. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Flat. Moving up inside the down move that started at 146-04. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 142-21.

A close above 146-16 would signal higher.

 

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – Near the 98.14 upside weekly target. Trade pressures are up just out of the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Europe ECB signaling weakness drives the dollar higher. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral after the five day rally.

Through the 97.15 prior highs. The next target up is 98.31.

A close below the 96.13 would signal lower.

The strong dollar is flowing though all the other markets.

 

US 30 T-BONDS_ USM19

Weekly – In the move up. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the 146-04 level. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Shorter term uptrend support is at 146-16. The next target down is 142-20.

A close above 146-16 would signal higher.

Stops are at 146-16.

Looking for a second short entry at these levels.

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – In the move up from the 89.00 level of early 2018. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are a;so neutral.

Daily – In the move down from the 96.25 level. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 95.40 which is also support.

This close above 96.32 starts a retracement up to the prior highs of 98.14.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM19

Weekly – In a new uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Flat. A hi volume bearish day some 7 days ago warned of this recent three day decline. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 142-21.

A close above 146-22 would signal higher and would act as a stop for this move down.

 

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – In the trading range between 95 and 97. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – In the move down from the 96.62 short entry. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is 95.64.

A close above 97. signal a new move up.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_ USH19

Weekly – Consolidating at the 146-00 level. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Riding the pitchfork median line up. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are mixed bearish to bullish.

In the move down from the 146-22 level.

The next target down is 143-07.

A close above the 147-09 level would signal higher.

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USD_ DXM19

Weekly – In the move up from the 92.50 level. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the move up from the 95.21 level. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are mixed bullish to bearish. Volatility  seems to rise and fall with the trade rumors.

A spike up took the dollar to near the 96.77 upside target level and then quickly pulled back. This 96.77 level is the next target up.

A close below the 96.04 level would signal lower.

 

US 30 Year T-BONDS_ USH19

Weekly – A seven week rally then a two week pullback, and now a four week second leg up. Trade pressures are up and declining. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. the two week pullback took price to the 144-00 level. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are mixed bearish-bullish-neutral.

Still in the uptrend of November, the close below 146-22 started a retracement trade lower which was stopped at the 144 support. A close below 146-03 would signal a new short entry.

Need a close above the 147-09 to start a new long trade.

Short trade stops will be a the 147-09 level.

 

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – In the long move up that started in early 2018. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are mixed bearish to bullish.

Daily – Trading in the 94.50 – 96 channel. Now at the upper end of the range. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Also at the resistance of the down sloping pitchfork. The next target up is 97.13.

A close below 95.88 would signal lower.

A change in the FED trajectory of interest rate increases would see an outflow of funds from the US.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_  USH19

Weekly – Second break above the 200 week MA. Trade pressures are up and declining. Volumes are Bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the new move up with a second time thru the 146-11 level. Trade pressures are just now thru the neutral zone and rising. Volumes are mixed bearish then neutral; finishing bullish for the week.

The next target up is 147-09.
Don’t see a sustained breakout here, still looking for a pullback below 145-00 to enter long.

A close below 144-08 would signal lower. Use this level as the stop.

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – Now near the 94.50 uptrend support line. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are mixed,neutral to bearish.

Daily – In the move down from the 95.65 short signal. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral.

Testing the prior low of 94.63. The next target down is 94.11 and the 200 day MA.

A close above the 95.77 level would signal higher.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_ USH19

Weekly – At the 200 week MA , expect resistance. Trade pressures are up but rolling over. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 144-05 level. Trade pressures are up. Volumes have turned bearish.

The sharp rally to the 148-27 high has been quickly retraced. The 147-05 target level is now acting as resistance.

The next target above is the new long entry at 147-09.

Support is the daily 25×5 MA at 145-20. The 3 hour chart is at support.

145-10 is the lower retracement downside target.
So, in a pullback looking for a new move up with a close above the 3 hr 146-11 level.

If long, the stop is the pivot low at 144-09.

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USD_ DXH19

Weekly – The decision of the FED to slow or stop the sale of inventory assets for a period softens the dollar. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – In the move down from the 95.65 short entry level. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now bearish.

After a quick move up to test the downtrend resistance line at 96.40 price reversed to down on Friday. The next target down is 94.11.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH19

Weekly – Back below the 200 wk MA. Trade pressures are up but rolling over. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Flat. In move down from the 146-22 short entry level. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are neutral to bullish.

The next target down is 143-07.

A close above 147-11 would signal higher.

Looking down in the lower time frames for early signals of a new move up. The dollar move down, if sustained, should move the rates lower and the bond prices higher.