Category: Currencies

US$$

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USD_ DXU23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend and testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Short. The trade is 101.68 on 6/14. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 101.09. The expected sold levels are 101.60.

A close above 102.96 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are now 104.85.

[6-23-23: Reverse to long trade. ]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Long. The close above 128-08 confirms the long entry. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 131-05. Overbought levels are 137-02.

A close below 125-13 would signal lower.  USE 125-10 as the SL. The expected oversold level is 123-20.

US$$

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USD_ DXM23 (rolls over this week)

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend and testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Short. The trade thru 102.64 on 5/17 was the trend change to up now signaling a pullback at 103.34. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

At 103.53. The expected sold levels are 103.00. The next target down is 102.08 which is also support.

A close above 103.67 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are now 104.60.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Long. The close above 128-08 confirms the long entry. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 131-08. Overbought levels are 136-29.

A close below 126-14 would signal lower.  The expected oversold level is 123-26.

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. the trade thru 102.64 on 5/17 was the trend change to up. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

At 103.95. The expected overbought levels are 104.41. The next target up remains 105.61.

102.82 is support. The expected oversold levels are now 102.25.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Long. The break above the 126-20 on 5/29 reverses the trade. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neutral.

the close above 128-09 confirms the lower time entry. The next target up is131-08. Overbought levels are 136-20.

A close below 126-14 would signal lower.  The expected oversold level is 123-26.

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. the trade thru 102.64 on 5/17 was the trend change to up. Trade pressures are up. But, volumes are bullish.

At 104.13. The expected overbought levels are 104.43. The next target up is 105.61.

A close below 103.72 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 101.94.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Short. The break below 129-20 on 5/15 triggered the short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Closed below the 127-12 target; so still lower. The next target down is 123-22. Oversold levels are 123-25.

A close above 126-20 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level is 129-01.

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. the trade thru 102.64 was the trend change to up. Trade pressures are up. But, volumes are now bearish.

At 103.07. The expected overbought levels are 103.75. The next target up is 103.62.

A close below 101.74 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 101.15.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Short. The break below 129-20 triggered the short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Closed below the 127-12 target; so still lower. The next target down is 122-30. Oversold levels are 123-15.

A close above 128-11 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level is 133-20.

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Long. Still looking for a new move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

At the expected overbought levels are 102.16. The next target up is 103.15.

A close below 102.01 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 100.77.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Still in the down move from 4-14, but it is a very choppy pattern with a short bias. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is 128-22. Oversold levels are 129-18.

The next target up is a breakout above 131.21.  The overbought level is 132.13.

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Still looking for a new move up. Trade pressures are down but turning up. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 100.53. Oversold is now 100.73.

A close above 101.31 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 101.98.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Signaled a new short trade from 131-22 on 4-14 –  wait. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is 128-23. Oversold levels are 123-14.

The next target up is a breakout above 132-00. Had a move above the breakout on 5/4,  but then immediately moved back into the downtrend channel. The overbought level is 133-92.

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Looking for a new move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 100.84. Oversold is now 100.99.

A close above 101.71 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 102.15.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2020 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Signaled a new short trade from 131-22 on 4-14 but with conflicting signals – wait. Trade pressures are down, but rising. Volumes are now bullish.

The next target down is 128-23. Oversold levels are 123-14.

The next target up is a breakout above 132-00. The overbought level is 133-12.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the 102.04 short entry on 3-22. Trade pressures are up but turned down. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is 98.61. Oversold is now 100.70.  [Look for a new long below 100.]

A close above 102.27 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 102.48.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2020 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the new long trade from 130-23 on 4/20. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 131-24. Overbought levels are 133-10. Set SL at 129-03.

The next target down is 128-23. The oversold level is 123-12.

[4-25-23: raise the SL to 131-14.]

[4-26-23: Sell USM23 long at 132-10.]

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the 102.04 short entry on 3-22. Trade pressures are down . Volumes are now bullish.

The next target down is 98.61. Oversold is now 100.61.

A close above 102.27 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 102.90.

[4-17-23: The dollar is mid range. Buy any pull back below 101.50.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2020 downtrend and testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Short. Broke above the 200DMA and now in a back-test triggering the short entry at 131-18. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 128-23. Oversold  is 122-31.

The close above 131-28 would signal higher. The expected overbought level is 135-05.

[4-17-23: looking for a reversal to long. Set the close out of the short and the new long entry at 130-22.]

[4-20-23: Out of short trade at 130-23.  Long USM23 at 130-23. Set SL at 129-09.]