Category: Currencies

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Long. Still looking for a new move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

At the expected overbought levels are 102.16. The next target up is 103.15.

A close below 102.01 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 100.77.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Still in the down move from 4-14, but it is a very choppy pattern with a short bias. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is 128-22. Oversold levels are 129-18.

The next target up is a breakout above 131.21.  The overbought level is 132.13.

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Still looking for a new move up. Trade pressures are down but turning up. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 100.53. Oversold is now 100.73.

A close above 101.31 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 101.98.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Signaled a new short trade from 131-22 on 4-14 –  wait. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is 128-23. Oversold levels are 123-14.

The next target up is a breakout above 132-00. Had a move above the breakout on 5/4,  but then immediately moved back into the downtrend channel. The overbought level is 133-92.

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Looking for a new move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 100.84. Oversold is now 100.99.

A close above 101.71 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 102.15.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2020 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Signaled a new short trade from 131-22 on 4-14 but with conflicting signals – wait. Trade pressures are down, but rising. Volumes are now bullish.

The next target down is 128-23. Oversold levels are 123-14.

The next target up is a breakout above 132-00. The overbought level is 133-12.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the 102.04 short entry on 3-22. Trade pressures are up but turned down. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is 98.61. Oversold is now 100.70.  [Look for a new long below 100.]

A close above 102.27 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 102.48.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2020 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the new long trade from 130-23 on 4/20. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 131-24. Overbought levels are 133-10. Set SL at 129-03.

The next target down is 128-23. The oversold level is 123-12.

[4-25-23: raise the SL to 131-14.]

[4-26-23: Sell USM23 long at 132-10.]

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the 102.04 short entry on 3-22. Trade pressures are down . Volumes are now bullish.

The next target down is 98.61. Oversold is now 100.61.

A close above 102.27 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 102.90.

[4-17-23: The dollar is mid range. Buy any pull back below 101.50.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2020 downtrend and testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Short. Broke above the 200DMA and now in a back-test triggering the short entry at 131-18. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 128-23. Oversold  is 122-31.

The close above 131-28 would signal higher. The expected overbought level is 135-05.

[4-17-23: looking for a reversal to long. Set the close out of the short and the new long entry at 130-22.]

[4-20-23: Out of short trade at 130-23.  Long USM23 at 130-23. Set SL at 129-09.]

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures have turned down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Now consolidating within the move down from the 102.04 short entry on 3-22. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 98.61. Oversold is now 101.80.

a close above 102.46 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 104.01.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Consolidating at the 132.09 target which is also the 200 DMA. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 138-06. Overbought is still at 133-18.

The close below 127-16 would signal lower with a 123-22 oversold level.

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures have turned down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Now in the move down from the 102.04 short entry on 3-22. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is 98.61. Oversold is now 101.75.

a close above 103.95 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 104.75

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Consolidating at the 132.09 target. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are now bullish.

At the 132-09 target. Overbought is still at 133-18.

The close below 131-07 would signal lower with a 123-22 oversold level.

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are up, but have turned down . Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 102.76 long entry on 2/3 but in a pullback. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

The next target up is now the 105.48 prior high. Overbought is now 106.26.

The move up was stopped by the 200 day MA at 105.48. A close below 102.43 would signal lower. Oversold is expected at 102.98.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Out of the long trade at the 132.09 target. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

At the 132-09 target. Overbought is still at 133-18.

The close below 130-24 would signal lower with a 125 oversold level.

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 102.76 long entry on 2/3. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target up is 107.11. Overbought is now 105.91.

The move up was stopped by the 200 day MA at 105.87. A close below 102.43 would signal lower (SL). Oversold is expected at 104.12.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up into the neutral zone. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. The move down was reversed with a move up thru 123-30 and then the 126-18 long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 130-14. overbought is at 133-18. [The next target up is now the 132-09 upside target and the overbought area. TP here.]

The close below 126-25 would signal lower. Use this as the SL.

US$$

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USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 102.76 long entry on 2/3. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 107.11. Overbought is now 105.54.

A close below 104.04 would signal lower. Oversold is expected at 103.51.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. The move down has broken the support levels and triggered a short trade at 127-23 on 2/10. Trade pressures are down, but rising. Volumes are now bearish to neutral.

Reached the low of 122-24 and starting a retracement up.

The close above 123-21 has signaled higher. Any long trade is counter to the weekly so, tight stops.