Category: Currencies

US $$

USD (DX)_ DXZ15

Weekly – Trade pressure are down. Volume remains bearish.

Daily – A new move down has been signaled with the close below 95.52. Expected target down is 93.27.

Trade pressures are down. Volume is bearish.

 

30 YR T-BONDS_ USZ15

Weekly – Still in the move down testing the upper level resistance. Trade pressures are up. Volume is bullish.

Daily – Flat. No trade. The close below 158-13 did not have confirmation. Trade pressures are neutral but trending down. Volume is bearish.

Need the indicators to confirm and a second time thru to enter the trade.

US $$

USD (DX)_ DXZ15  “The Dollar” expectations are higher based on the future interest rate increases.

Weekly – Trade pressures up. Volume has turned bearish from neutral. Still trading below the 25×5.

Daily – In a bullish move up from a 95.22 entry signal. The first profit target was met at 96.73. The next target up is 98.31. Trade pressures are down. Volume is bullish.

A close below 95.51 would signal a resumption of the short trade.

 

30YR T-BONDS_ USZ15

Weekly – Trade pressures have turned up. Volume has turned bullish from neutral.

Daily – Flat. No trade. The move has been up from the 156-23 signal and has traded thru the first profit target of 159-20. Trade pressures are up. Volume has just turned bearish.

A close below 158-13 could signal lower.

US $$

USD (DX)_ DXZ15

Weekly – In the long term up trend. Had triggered a sell confirmation in May of 2015, but never followed thru. Trade pressures are now up. Volume has changed from bearish to neutral.

Daily – In a move up from the 95.66 level and has reached the first target of 96.73. The next target is 98.31. Trade pressures are up. Volume has been bullish for the last five days.

30YR T-BONDS_ USZ15

Weekly – An old profit target of 151-24 stopped the retracement down. Trade pressures are down but turning up into neutral territory. Volume remains neutral.

Daily – the short trade of 8/25 for the 157-10 was stopped out at that same price. The move up coincided with the money flows into the $USD. Trade pressures are up. Volume has turned neutral from bullish.

There is a new long entry at 155-16, but need the volume on the lower time frame to turn bullish first.

US $$

USD (DX)_ DXZ15

Weekly – Still in the 93-98 price channel. Trade pressures are neutral. Volume is bearish.

Daily – Confusing. In the second leg down from 95.52 with a 93.27 target. However, a longer cycle has triggered a long entry at 96.47 off the recent selloff lows.

So, we go with the downward short cycle but realize the 93.27 target for that cycle is likely the low.

Trade pressures are up to neutral. Volume remains bearish.

 

30YR T-BONDS_ USZ15  FED day has come and gone with no change in the interest rates.

Weekly – The weekly 152-24 down-side target has provided support twice now. Trade pressures are down. Volume has changed from bullish to neutral.

Daily – Short. Have been in this trade for weeks now. The prior low of 151-29 held on FED day and a rally ensued for two days Thursday and Friday. But the market seems to realize that rates will rise at some point, so the down-trend stays in place. A close below 153-20 would signal a second leg down in price with first targets into the low 150’s.

The second target would be 146-16.

Trade pressures are up. Volume has changed to bullish from neutral.

The stop remains the 157-20 entry price.

[Update 9/24/15: Short Trade stopped out @ 157-10, the entry price.]

US $$’s

USD (DX)_ DXZ15  All about the FED and the 1/4 pt interest rate increase.

Weekly – Trading in the 93-98 range. Trade pressures are neutral and rising. Volume Changed to bearish from neutral.

Daily – New move up after the close above 96.47. But no follow thru. Maybe the FED decision will give some strength to the dollar? Trade pressures are down. Volume is bearish.

 

30YR T-BONDS_ USZ15

Weekly – In a pullback in a longer term down trend. Trade pressures are down. Volume is bullish.

Daily –  Short. In the this short trade from 157-10 with the first target of 150-13. Trade pressures are down but ready to cross into neutral. Volume remains bearish. Intra day is overbought.

The stop is the entry price of 157-10.

US$$

USD(DX)_ DXU15

Weekly – Consolidating in the 93-98 range. Trade pressures are down. Volume has turned to neutral from bullish.

Daily – the rebound up off the 92.50 low has triggered a new move up. The projected target is 102.14. Trade pressures are up. Volume is bullish.

30YR T-Bonds_  USZ15

Weekly – In the downtrend. Trade pressures are up, but declining. Volume is bullish.

Daily – Short. Trade pressures are down but turning up. Volume is bullish.  Next target down is 150-13.

Lower the stop to the entry price of 157-10.

US$$

USD (DX)_  DXU15  [not traded , just a reference for pressures on the equity markets.]

Weekly – The 25×5 moving average is rolling over. Trade pressures are down. Volume has a big reversal to bullish from bearish last week.

Daily – Flat. At the entry price 96.19 for a new long. Trade pressures are up. Volume has been bullish but is declining rapidly, suggesting short covering.

30YR T-BONDS_ USZ15

Weekly – Still in the 2015 down-move. Trade pressures are up. Volume is bearish.

Daily – Trade is Short. 8-26-15 traded down thru the new short entry of 157-10. The next target down is 150-17. Trade pressures are down. Volume is bearish.

stops at 159-19.

US $$

USD(DX)_ DXU15

Weekly – Selling down with the equity markets. Targeting the 90-91 area. Trade pressures are down. Volume is bearish.

Daily – No Trade. Testing the lows as well as reaching the 93.47 targets. Trade pressures are down. Volume is bearish. Next target down is 90.40.

30yr T-BONDS_ USU15

Weekly- Money looking for safety. Trade pressures are up. Volume has returned to bullish.

Daily – Flat. Price has moved decisively thru the 161-03 target. The next target up is 165-27. Trade pressures are up. Volume is bullish.

Need a close below 158-13 to start a new move down.

US $$

USD(DX)_ DXU15

Weekly – Still in the downtrend. The 90-91 levels still targeted. Trade pressures are down. Volume has turned from bullish to bearish.

Daily – No trades in the dollar, Just use the levels for market pressures. Trade pressures are down Volume is bearish. A new move down started with the close below 96.51. The next target down is 93.60.

The 25×5 moving average is 97.33 and could act as resistance.

30 YR T-BONDS_ USU15

Weekly – Trade pressures are up. Volume turned from bullish to bearish last week.

Daily – No trade. Trade pressures still up but declining. Volume turned to neutral indicating some distribution. Took the profit at 160.

The next target up is 161-03.

The next short entry is 156-16.