Category: Currencies

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USD_ DXU25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are noe neutral.

Daily –Long. In the move up from 97.20 on 7/7. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 98.61. The expected overbought level rises to 99.08.

A close below 97.18 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 96.54.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but fails support.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. Second upward channel fails. In the move down from 113.23 on 7/11. Trade pressures are down again into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 112-12.  Oversold levels are 111.21.

A close above 114-04 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 114-31.

CPI report on 7/17 will release the “coiled energy”.

 

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USD_ DXU25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily –Short. In the move down from 98.22 on 6/23. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 96.36. The expected oversold levels decline to 96.85.

A close above 97.20 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 98.88.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but at support.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. Grinding higher in an upward channel. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Got a long signal at 113-30; the inflation trade looks strong. But, wait. Overbought levels are 115-15.

A close below 114-6 breaks trade.  Oversold levels are 111.23.

 

 

US$$

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USD_ DXU25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily –Long. In the new move up from the 6/18 trendline breakout at 98.41. Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 99.74. The expected overbought level declines to 99.16.

A close below 98.10 would signal a failure and a move lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.60.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but at support.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. Grinding higher but correcting in downward channel, and in a small bull flag. Trade pressures dropped but now back in the neutral zone.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target down is 112-23. Oversold levels are 111.11.

A break out of  the bull flag above 113-30 would signal higher.  Overbought levels are 115-15.

 

 

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are still rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily –Flat. Now below lower median line support. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 97.22. The expected oversold levels rises to 97.96.

The break above the upper median line at 99.00 fails. Wait for a retest of the lows. The expected overbought level rises to 99.78.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly dropped to support.  Trade pressures are just above the neutral zone.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. US deficit risk is too high for a sustained move up. In the move up off the 109–28 low pivot. Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes are now bullish..

The next target down is 111-03. Oversold levels are 111-11.

A close above 113-23 would signal higher.  Overbought levels are 114-24.

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes remain neutral.

Daily –Flat. Now at lower median line support. Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 98.16. The expected oversold levels declines to 98.33.

The break above the upper median line at 99.00 signals higher. Wait for a back test of the breakout line. The expected overbought level declines to 99.74.

[6-7-25: breakout, but weekly says, wait. Look for a new long entry below 99.00 ]

[6-9-25: Bullflag about to breakout. Gold should move lower.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly dropped to support.  Trade pressures are rising toward the neutral zone.  Volumes are now neutral.

Daily  – Flat. Stopped out of the long trade. Should have taken profits at the 114 OB levels. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 110-25. Oversold levels are 110-25.

a close above 112-14 would sgnal higher.  Overbought levels are 114-14.

 

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes remain neutral.

Daily –Flat. Now at lower median line support. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 98.53. The expected oversold levels declines to 98.60.

A close above 99.64 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 100.35.

[Taxes and tariffs act as drag on the dollar; but you know – TACO.]

[6-6-25: Basing. Look for a long entry at 99.82 ]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly dropped to support.  Trade pressures are rising to the neutral zone.  Volumes are now neutral.

Daily  – Long. In the move up off the 112-20 long entry on 6/1. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 115-21. Overbought levels remain at 112-20.

A close below 111-21 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 110-09.

[Set the SL at 111-21.]

[6-4-25: Raise the SL to 111-27]

[6-6-25: Close the trade at 112-07.]

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes remain neutral.

Daily –Hort. the lang trade failed, but now at support. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 98.53. The expected oversold levels declines to 99.03.

A close above 99.64 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 101.74.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly dropped to support.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 110-01 low pivot. Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes remain bullish.

Need a close above the bull flag at 111-18 to re-enter. The next target up is 113-15. Overbought levels are 112-20.

A close below 111-01 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 110-12.

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes remain neutral.

Daily –Long. In the new uptrend at 98.79 on 5/8. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 102.90. The expected overbought level rises to 102.12.

A close below 100.47 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 99.03.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly dropped to support.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Retraced the move up, back down to test the low pivot. Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are now bullish.

Need a close above the bull flag at 114-27 to re-enter. The next target up is 117-15. Overbought levels are 115-06.

A close below 113-05 would signal lower, but wait for a back test of the 113-15. Oversold levels are 111-04.

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain neutral.

Daily –Long. In the new uptrend at 98.79 on 5/8, again at overbought levels. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 102.90. The expected overbought level decline to 100.90.

A close below 99.96 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.50.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly dropped to support.  Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Retraced the move up, back down to the 114-11 long entry price. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Need a close above the bull flag at 115-11 to re-enter. The next target up is 117-15. Overbought levels are 119-28.

A close below 113-23 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 111-04.

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral.

Daily –Flat. In the new uptrend at 98.05 on 4/22 post market, but at overbought levels. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

A close above 100.29 would confirm higher. The expected overbought level rises to 100.92.

The next target down is 97.69. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.29.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly drops to support.  Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 114-11, but retraceing part of that move now. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

by a retest of the 113-22 level. The next target up is 117-15. Overbought levels rise to 122-28.

A close below 114-13 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline 105-28.