Category: Currencies

US$$

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USD_ DXZ25 [rollover to DEC on the 1st]

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend below resistance.  Trade pressures remain are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily –Flat. Sharp drop after FED signals lower rates. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 96.97. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.55.

Need a close above 97.56 to resume the long trade.  The expected overbought level stay at 98.63.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25 [USZ on Sept 1]

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend and moving up off support.  Trade pressures remain in the neutral zone.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move down from 114-18 on 8/29. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 113-20.  Oversold levels decline to 111-27.

Stopped out of the prior long trade. A close above 114-22 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 116-11.

 

 

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USD_ DXU25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend below resistance.  Trade pressures remain are down into the beutral zone. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Flat. Sharp drop after FED signals lower rates. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 97.02. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.56.

Need a close above 98.36 to resume the long trade.  The expected overbought level decline to 98.63.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25 [USZ on Sept 1]

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend and moving up off support.  Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from 114-25 on 8/22. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 115-08. Overbought levels decline to 116-03.

A close below 114-06 would signal lower.  Oversold levels decline to 112-31.

[Set the SL at 114-06.]

 

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USD_ DXU25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend, rising to test 101 resistance.  Trade pressures remain up, but declining. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Flat. Pulling back after impulsive tariff impact on 8/1. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Need a close above 97.90 to resume the long trade. The next target up is 98.16. The expected overbought level decline to 99.00.

A close below 97.29 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.50.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend and moving up off support.  Trade pressures are up, but declining.  Volumes are now neutral.

Daily  – Flat. In the move down after being stopped out at 115-08. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 133-22.  Oversold levels decline to 113-12.

Forming a new bull flag. Long the breakout above 114-25. The next target up is 115-19. Overbought levels rise to 116-09.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXU25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend, rising to test 101 resistance.  Trade pressures remain up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily –Long. Pulling back after impulsive tariff impact. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target up is 101.22. The expected overbought level decline to 99.96.

A close below 97.29 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.57.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend and moving up off support.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the new move up from 112-21 on 7/21. Stopped out at 115-18. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes remain bullish.

Forming a new bull flag. Long the breakout above 115-06. The next target up is 116-31. Overbought levels rise to 115-22.

A close below 113-25 would signal lower  Oversold levels rise 113-20.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXU25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend, rising to test resistance.  Trade pressures remain up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily –Long. Pulling back after impulsive tariff impact. Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target up is 101.22. The expected overbought level rises to 100.99.

A close below 97.18 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.31.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend and moving up off support.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the new move up from 112-21 on 7/21.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 116-31. Overbought levels rise to 115-17.

A close below 113-25 would signal lower  Oversold levels rise 112-06.

[Set the SL at 113-14.]

[8-4-25: Raise the SL to 115-00.]

[8-5-25: Raise the Sl to 115-18.]

[8-6-25: Stopped out on a spike down thru 115-18.]

US$$

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USD_ DXU25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily –Long. In the move up from 97.20 on 7/7 and after a pullback to 96.86 in a new move up.. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 101.22. The expected overbought level rises to 99.33.

A close below 97.18 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.01.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend and holds support.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Long. In the new moive up from 112-21 on 7/21.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 115-19. Overbought levels are 114-28.

A close below 113-17 would signal lower  Oversold levels are 112-02.

 

 

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USD_ DXU25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are noe neutral.

Daily –Long. In the move up from 97.20 on 7/7. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 98.61. The expected overbought level rises to 99.08.

A close below 97.18 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 96.54.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but fails support.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. Second upward channel fails. In the move down from 113.23 on 7/11. Trade pressures are down again into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 112-12.  Oversold levels are 111.21.

A close above 114-04 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 114-31.

CPI report on 7/17 will release the “coiled energy”.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXU25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily –Short. In the move down from 98.22 on 6/23. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 96.36. The expected oversold levels decline to 96.85.

A close above 97.20 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 98.88.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but at support.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. Grinding higher in an upward channel. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Got a long signal at 113-30; the inflation trade looks strong. But, wait. Overbought levels are 115-15.

A close below 114-6 breaks trade.  Oversold levels are 111.23.

 

 

US$$

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USD_ DXU25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily –Long. In the new move up from the 6/18 trendline breakout at 98.41. Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 99.74. The expected overbought level declines to 99.16.

A close below 98.10 would signal a failure and a move lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.60.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but at support.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. Grinding higher but correcting in downward channel, and in a small bull flag. Trade pressures dropped but now back in the neutral zone.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target down is 112-23. Oversold levels are 111.11.

A break out of  the bull flag above 113-30 would signal higher.  Overbought levels are 115-15.

 

 

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are still rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily –Flat. Now below lower median line support. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 97.22. The expected oversold levels rises to 97.96.

The break above the upper median line at 99.00 fails. Wait for a retest of the lows. The expected overbought level rises to 99.78.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly dropped to support.  Trade pressures are just above the neutral zone.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. US deficit risk is too high for a sustained move up. In the move up off the 109–28 low pivot. Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes are now bullish..

The next target down is 111-03. Oversold levels are 111-11.

A close above 113-23 would signal higher.  Overbought levels are 114-24.