Category: Currencies

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new August down trend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Long. The low pivot at 100.40 holds, and a new long is triggered at 101.08 on 8-30. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 102.08. The expected overbought level declines to 101.98.

At the 100.58 target. The expected oversold levels rises to 100.24.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ24

Weekly – In a new August 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up.  Volumes are neutral.

Daily  – Flat. The lower highs translated to a move down to support at 122-10. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

the next target down is 121-06. Oversold levels remain 119-25.

A close above 124-04 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 125-23.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXU24

Weekly –  8/16/24 In the new August down trend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Short. Testing support at 100.58.  Trade pressures are down  Volumes are bearish.

At the 100.58 target. The expected oversold levels decline to 100.01.

A close above 101 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 102.58.

[8-28-24: The 2hr chart has a buy signal, but the daily stays in downtrend. Watch the 10yr.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ24

Weekly – In a new August 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. grinding higher. Lower Highs. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain neutral.

Now at 123-26. The next target up is 125-09. Overbought levels are 126-05.

A close below 121-23 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 119-25.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXU24

Weekly –  8/16/24 In the new August down trend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Long. Testing support at 102.30.  Trade pressures are down  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 103.32. The expected overbought level declines to 103.36.

A close below 102.20 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 102.16.

[8-21-24: Short from the Monday drop below 102.20.  At 101.11 downside target. ROW currencies are up.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU24

Weekly – In a new August 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Flat. grinding higher. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes remain neutral.

Now at 123-26. Overbought levels are 123-07.

A close below 123-04 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 119-25.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXU24

Weekly –  Remains in the April 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Long. The close above 102.64 has triggered a new long entry on 8/6/24.  Trade pressures are down  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 103.64. The expected overbought level declines to 104.13.

A close below 102.70 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 102.05.

Set the SL at 102.70.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU24

Weekly – In a new August 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Flat. trade to a high of 126-27 then gives it back near the original long entry. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

Now at 122-29. Overbought levels are 123-07.

A close below 121-17 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 119-17.

[8-11-24: Let this trade get way. Close the position and start over.]

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USD_ DXU24

Weekly –  Remains in the April 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. The close below the 103.78 level has reversed the long trade.  Trade pressures are down  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 102.98.  The expected oversold levels decline to 103.20.

A close above 103.59 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 104.45.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU24

Weekly – In a new August 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. breaks above the downtrend line. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

At the next target up , 125-07. Overbought levels are 123-07.

A close below 123-04 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 121-11.

 

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USD_ DXU24

Weekly –  Remains in the April 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Long. Closed above the down trendline line at 104.11.  Trade pressures have risen into the neutral zone.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 104.59.  The higher expected overbought level declines to 104.97.

A close below 103.78. The expected oversold levels decline to 103.20.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU24

Weekly – In the April 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. Pulling back with the CrowdStrike news.  Trade pressures are up, but declining. Volumes are bearish.

[Set a SL at 118-11.] Overbought levels are 119-15.

A close below 118-04 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 116-27.

[7-24-24: Stopped out ar 118-11.]

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USD_ DXU24

Weekly –  Remains in the April 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Short. Closed below the 105.07 support .  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 104.00.  The expected oversold levels decline to 104.79.

A close above 104.90 would signal higher. The higher expected overbought level is 105.71.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU24

Weekly – In the April 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Moved down to trendline support at 115-30 and rallied from there.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain neutral.

The close above the 200 day MA at 117-19 started a new move up. Overbought levels are 118-26.

A close below 117-24 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 116-21.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXU24

Weekly –  Remains in the April 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. At the 105.82 upside target.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

105.82 is the next target up. 106.09 is the higher expected overbought level.

A close below 105.30 would signal lower.  The expected oversold levels rise to 105.01.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU24

Weekly – In the April 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Stopped out at the 119-30 on 6/24 and moved down from 119-10 on 6-26-24.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 115-30. Oversold levels are 117-13.

Need a close above 118-12 to start a new move up. Overbought levels are 121-12.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXU24

Weekly –  Remains in the April 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long.  In a new uptrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

105.82 is the next target up. 106.01 is the higher expected overbought level.

A close below 104.87 would signal lower.  The expected oversold levels rise to 104.46.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU24

Weekly – In the April 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from the 118-12 long entry on 6/12.  Trade pressures are now neutral. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 123-06. Overbought levels are 120-313.

[set the SL at 119-30.]

A close below 119-30 would signal lower.  Oversold levels are 117-10.

US$$

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USD_ DXU24

Weekly –  Remains in the April 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures have risen into the neutral zone. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long.  Rallied sharply after the FED day drop.  Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bullish.

The close above 104.93 did signal higher. 105.82 is the next target up. 106.01 is the higher expected overbought level.

Touched the 103.75 downside target then rallied.  The expected oversold levels rise to 104.11.

[European political issues may have international flows coming to the US.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU24

Weekly – In the April 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up out of the neutral zone.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Long. Now the decline in 10yr rates turn price up sharply.  Trade pressures are now up. Volumes remain bullish.

A close above 118-21 did signal higher. The next target up is 121-02. Overbought levels are 120-313.

A close below 119-30 would signal lower.  Oversold levels are 116-05.