Category: Currencies

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Short. In the new move down from the 108.61 short entry. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 106.56. The expected oversold levels declines to 107.51.

A close above 108.24 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 109.98.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 110-20 lows. Trade pressures are now down.  Volumes remain bullish.

A close above 113-10 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 120-26.

A close below 112-19 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 108-30.

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.84%, the oversold level is now 4.55%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

[1-27-25: Long from 113-31 in the early am session. Set SL @ 112-15.]

US$$

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. Retracement to 108.81. Trade pressures are down but rising to the neutral zone.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target up is the prior high at 110.01. The expected overbought level rises to 109.94.

A close below 108.61 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 107.98.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 110-20 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

A close above 113-28 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 120-26.

A close below 112-19 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 108-14.

 

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.82%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. Back-test at 107.57 on 1/7 turned higher. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 110.51. The expected overbought level rises to 109.74.

A close below 107.84 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 107.60.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from the 117-20 close on 12/12. Trade pressures are up down.  Volumes remain bearish.

In the waterfall down and at 110-28. The next target down is 108-05. Oversold levels are 109-15.

A close above 112-23 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 115-26

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.74%. Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Lower highs turned higher. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

Broke thru the June resistance line. The expected overbought level rises to 109.25.

A close below 107.96 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 107.25.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from the 119-17 close on 12/09. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone.  Volumes remain bearish.

At the downside target range of 113-10. Oversold levels are 113-09.

A close above 114-17 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 116-25

[The 10yr yield overbought level declines to 4.65%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Turned down at resistance (108.27) and now showing lower highs. Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 108.24. The expected overbought level rises to 108.90.

A close below 106.89 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 106.57.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures decline into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from the 119-17 close on 12/09. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

At the downside target range of 113-09. Oversold levels are 113-09.

A close above 114-18 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 116-20

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.70%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up but are turning down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Turned down at resistance (108.27) Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 108.29. The expected overbought level rises to 108.50.

A close below 106.98 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 106.33.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures decline into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from the 119-17 close on 12/09. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

At the downside target range of 113-17. Oversold levels are 113-16.

A close above 115-05 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 115-20

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.61%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up but are turning down. Volumes is now bullish.

Daily – Long. The close above 106.09 on 12/10 triggered the long trade. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 107.52. The expected overbought level declines to 107.11.

A close below 106.40 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 105.94.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures rises just above the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from the 119-17 close on 12/09. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 115-22. Oversold levels are 116-28.

A close above 117-16 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 118-13

[The 10yr yield oversold level rises to 4.14%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up but are turning down. Volumes is now neutral.

Daily – Short. The close below 106.37 on 11/27 triggered the short trade. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 104.61. The expected oversold levels declines to 105.40.

A close above 106.09 would signal higher The expected overbought level declines to 107.50.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise to the neutral zone.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the  move up from the 115-15 low on 11-18 and the subsequent close above 116-25 on 11/25. Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 122-24. Overbought levels are 126-17.

A close below 119-17 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 118-09.

[The 10yr yield oversold level declines to 4.10%. Inflation expectations still rise thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. Rally is looking toppy. Trade pressures remain up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 107.90 which was touched briefly.  The expected overbought level rises to 107.74.

The break below the 106.75 signals lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 105.59.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ24

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from 119-27 on 10/21. Trade pressures are now down.  Volumes are now bearish.

Retesting  the downside target of 115-25. Oversold levels are 114-31.

A close above 116-25 would signal higher with a bull flag  breakout at. Overbought levels are 117-23.

[The 10yr yield overbought level declines to 4.41%. Inflation expectations still rise thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. Rally continues. Safe Haven?. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 107.10.  The expected overbought level rises to 107.57.

The break below the 105.59 signals lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 104.39.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ24

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from 126-16 on 9/18. Trade pressures are now down.  Volumes are now bearish.

Retesting  the downside target of 115-25. Oversold levels 114-31.

A close above 116-17 would signal higher with a bull flag  breakout at. Overbought levels are 117-26.

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.54%. Inflation expectations still rise thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]