Category: Currencies

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up but are turning down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Turned down at resistance (108.27) Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 108.29. The expected overbought level rises to 108.50.

A close below 106.98 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 106.33.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures decline into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from the 119-17 close on 12/09. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

At the downside target range of 113-17. Oversold levels are 113-16.

A close above 115-05 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 115-20

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.61%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up but are turning down. Volumes is now bullish.

Daily – Long. The close above 106.09 on 12/10 triggered the long trade. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 107.52. The expected overbought level declines to 107.11.

A close below 106.40 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 105.94.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures rises just above the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from the 119-17 close on 12/09. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 115-22. Oversold levels are 116-28.

A close above 117-16 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 118-13

[The 10yr yield oversold level rises to 4.14%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up but are turning down. Volumes is now neutral.

Daily – Short. The close below 106.37 on 11/27 triggered the short trade. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 104.61. The expected oversold levels declines to 105.40.

A close above 106.09 would signal higher The expected overbought level declines to 107.50.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures rise to the neutral zone.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the  move up from the 115-15 low on 11-18 and the subsequent close above 116-25 on 11/25. Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 122-24. Overbought levels are 126-17.

A close below 119-17 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 118-09.

[The 10yr yield oversold level declines to 4.10%. Inflation expectations still rise thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. Rally is looking toppy. Trade pressures remain up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 107.90 which was touched briefly.  The expected overbought level rises to 107.74.

The break below the 106.75 signals lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 105.59.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ24

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from 119-27 on 10/21. Trade pressures are now down.  Volumes are now bearish.

Retesting  the downside target of 115-25. Oversold levels are 114-31.

A close above 116-25 would signal higher with a bull flag  breakout at. Overbought levels are 117-23.

[The 10yr yield overbought level declines to 4.41%. Inflation expectations still rise thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. Rally continues. Safe Haven?. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 107.10.  The expected overbought level rises to 107.57.

The break below the 105.59 signals lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 104.39.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ24

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from 126-16 on 9/18. Trade pressures are now down.  Volumes are now bearish.

Retesting  the downside target of 115-25. Oversold levels 114-31.

A close above 116-17 would signal higher with a bull flag  breakout at. Overbought levels are 117-26.

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.54%. Inflation expectations still rise thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. Big election rally off the low pivot at 103.28 and out of the bull flag. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 105.25.  The expected overbought level rises to 105.11.

The break below the 104.22 signals lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 103.46.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ24

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from 126-16 on 9/18. Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are now neutral.

At the downside target of 115-25. Oversold levels 115-00.

A close above 118-08 would signal higher and would be confirmed at 120 with a trend line breakout. Overbought levels are 121-30.

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.19%. Inflation expectations still rise thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new August 2024 downtrend but pressing the resistance line.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. Big rally off the low pivot at 99.86 and thru the long entry at 100.51. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 103.89.  The expected overbought level rises to 103.90.

The break below the 102.29 signals lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 102.01.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ24

Weekly – In a new August 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from 126-16 on 9/18. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

At the downside target of 119-27. Oversold levels 120-09.

A close above 120-14 would signal higher and would be confirmed at 122-12. Overbought levels are 122-16.

[The 10yr yield overbought level declines to 4.07%. But inflation expectations still rise.]

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new August 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Long. Big rally off the low pivot at 99.86 and thru the long entry at 100.51. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 103.13.  The expected overbought level rises to 103.42.

The break below the 101.60 signals lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 100.40.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ24

Weekly – In a new August 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Short. In the  move down from 126-16 on 9/18. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 119-27. Oversold levels 120-09.

A close above 120-26 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 122-18.

[The 10yr yield is near its overbought level of 4.19%.]

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new August 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. Big rally off the low pivot at 99.86 and thru the long entry at 100.51. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 102.58.  The expected overbought level rises to 102.29.

The break below the 101.63 signals lower. The expected oversold levels declines to 99.65.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ24

Weekly – In a new August 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Short. In the  move down from 126-16 on 9/18. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 119-27. Oversold levels 120-21.

A close above 123-02 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 127-00.

The 10yr yield is near its overbought level just below 4%.
Set tight stops on this short at 122-10. Set a profit stop at 120-20.

[10-08-24: Take profits at 120-29.]

US$$

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USD_ DXZ24

Weekly –  In the new August 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. The low pivot is now 99.86. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The break below the 100.23 signals lower. The expected oversold levels rises to 99.97.

A close above 100.51 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 101.16.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ24

Weekly – In a new August 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up, but declining.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Short. In the  move down from 126-16. Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 122-30. Oversold levels 120-21.

A close above 124-26 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 127-00.