Category: Currencies

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes remain neutral.

Daily –Long. In the new uptrend at 98.79 on 5/8. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 102.90. The expected overbought level rises to 102.12.

A close below 100.47 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 99.03.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly dropped to support.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Retraced the move up, back down to test the low pivot. Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are now bullish.

Need a close above the bull flag at 114-27 to re-enter. The next target up is 117-15. Overbought levels are 115-06.

A close below 113-05 would signal lower, but wait for a back test of the 113-15. Oversold levels are 111-04.

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain neutral.

Daily –Long. In the new uptrend at 98.79 on 5/8, again at overbought levels. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 102.90. The expected overbought level decline to 100.90.

A close below 99.96 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.50.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly dropped to support.  Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Flat. Retraced the move up, back down to the 114-11 long entry price. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Need a close above the bull flag at 115-11 to re-enter. The next target up is 117-15. Overbought levels are 119-28.

A close below 113-23 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 111-04.

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral.

Daily –Flat. In the new uptrend at 98.05 on 4/22 post market, but at overbought levels. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

A close above 100.29 would confirm higher. The expected overbought level rises to 100.92.

The next target down is 97.69. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.29.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly drops to support.  Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone.  Volumes remain neutral.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 114-11, but retraceing part of that move now. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

by a retest of the 113-22 level. The next target up is 117-15. Overbought levels rise to 122-28.

A close below 114-13 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline 105-28.

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral.

Daily –Flat. In the new uptrend at 98.05 on 4/22 post market, but at overbought levels. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

A close above 100.29 would confirm higher. The expected overbought level declines to 100.70.

The next target down is 97.48. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.05.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly drops to support.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now neutral.

Daily  – Long. Stopped out, then rallies higher. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 117-15. Overbought levels rise to 122-28.

A close below 114-28 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline 105-28.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily –Short. Short trade from 102.72 retesting 98.80 lows Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target down is 97.48. The expected oversold levels declines to 97.64.

A close above 99.74 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 102.48.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly drops to support.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Long. After the drop to 111-16, a new move thru 114-11 long entry on 4/15 is triggered. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 117-15. Overbought levels rise to 122-28.

A close belows 112-31 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline 105-28.

[Set the SL at 113-07.]

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily –Flat. Rally fails at 102.73, closing at 99.89. (Someone is selling the Dollar hard, it can cause interest rates to rise. Qui Bono?) Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 97.52. The expected oversold levels declines to 99.51.

A close above 100.81 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 103.52.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. The new move up from 116-06 on 3-28 fails at 122-10 with a decline to 113-06. The short signal at 117-28 is triggered on 4/7. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 104-29. Oversold levels are 105-28.

A close above 114-22. Overbought levels decline to 119-27.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Rally up off the low pivot of 100.97. Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 100.82. The expected oversold levels declines to 101.98.

A close above 102.70 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 104.94.

Not sure what the dynamic is here: Gold front-runs the tariffs, USD declines. then USD rallies as the gold sells on the news and goes into the USD as a safe haven?

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Flat. The new move up from 116-06 on 3-28, gains strength as recession fears lower yields.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 123-08. Testing the december 2023 upper median line resisitance at 121-19. Overbought levels decline to 119-27.

A close below 119-10 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 116-20.

 

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Small rally up off the downside pivot of 102.83. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target down is 103.23. The expected oversold levels declines to 103.01.

A close above 104.19 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 104.94.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are up but turning down.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Flat. In a new move up from 116-06 on 3-28.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 119-08. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 114-30 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 108-07.

[No trade with the weekly pressures down.]

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Consolidating at the downside pivot of 102.83. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 102.62. The expected oversold levels rises to 103.04.

A close above 105.35 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 104.25.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 120-12. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 115-08 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 108-07.

US$$

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Flat the downside target of 102.00. Trade pressures are down but turning up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 102.62. The expected oversold levels declines to 102.75.

A close above 105.47 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 105.65.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. At 116-24. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target up is 120-12. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 115-08 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-20.