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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Small rally up off the downside pivot of 102.83. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target down is 103.23. The expected oversold levels declines to 103.01.

A close above 104.19 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 104.94.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are up but turning down.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Flat. In a new move up from 116-06 on 3-28.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 119-08. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 114-30 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 108-07.

[No trade with the weekly pressures down.]

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Consolidating at the downside pivot of 102.83. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 102.62. The expected oversold levels rises to 103.04.

A close above 105.35 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 104.25.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 120-12. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 115-08 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 108-07.

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Flat the downside target of 102.00. Trade pressures are down but turning up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 102.62. The expected oversold levels declines to 102.75.

A close above 105.47 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 105.65.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. At 116-24. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target up is 120-12. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 115-08 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-20.

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short, from the 107.06 channel breakdown on 3/4. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The enxt target down is 102.00. The expected oversold levels declines to 103.02.

A close above 105.89 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 106.56.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Reached the 119-08 target. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 120-12. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 115-08 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-20.

 

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Long. In a retracement up from the trend breakout above 106.60 on 2/27. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bullish.

The next taerget up is 108.50. The expected overbought level declines to 107.60.

A close below 107.06 would signal higher.  The expected oversold levels declines to 105.81.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the new move up from 114-11 on 2/14.   Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 119-08.. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 116-18 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-20.

[2-26-25: Raise the SL the 117-00.]

[2-28-25: New June contract. Sell the March contract at the Monday open]

[3-2-25: Sell at 118.00.]

 

[The 10yr yield overbought level declines to 4.49%, the oversold level is now 4.19%.
Inflation expectations continue lower thru the remainder of 1Q25 and begin to rise again in 2Q25.]

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. In the new move down from the lower high on 2/3 and a close below 107.66. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 104.43 . The expected oversold levels declines to 105.86.

A close above 106.97 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 108.01.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the new move up from 114-25 on 2-14.   Trade pressures are up.  Volumes have turned bullish.

The next target up is 117-29. Overbought levels remain 120-28.

A close below 115-11 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-25.

[2-21-25: raise the SL to 114-27.]

[2-25-25: Raise the stop to 116-11.]

[2-26-25: Raise the SL the 117-00.]

 

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.62%, the oversold level is now 4.44%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Short. In the new move down from the lower high on 2/3 and a close below 107.66. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 104.56 . The expected oversold levels declines to 106.70.

A close above 107.18 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 108.48.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Long. In the new move up from 114-25 on 2-14.   Trade pressures are up.  Volumes have turned neutral.

The next target up is 117-29. Overbought levels remain 120-28.

A close below 113-28 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-25.

[2-21-25: raise the SL to 114-27.]

 

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.62%, the oversold level is now 4.44%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. In the new move up from the 107.85 long entry on 2/7. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 108.63 . The expected overbought level rises to 108.99.

A close below 107.66 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels declines to 106.94.

[choppy]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up off the 110-20 lows of 1-16, stopped out of the long trade at BE. Market continues to move. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes have turned bearish once again.

The next target up is 117-84. Overbought levels aremain 120-26.

A close below 114-04 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-25.

 

[The 10yr yield overbought level declines to 4.63%, the oversold level is now 4.41%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

 

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. In the new move up from the 108.00 long entry. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 109.23 . The expected overbought level declines to 108.71.

A close below 107.66 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels declines to 107.10.

[2-4-25: Tariff talk weighing on the dollar. Short at 108.40]

[2-6-25: dowwn to oversold level. A close above 107.85 would signal higher.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up off the 110-20 lows of 1-16. Trade pressures have risen, but now declining.  Volumes have turned bearish.

The next target up is 117-84. Overbought levels are 120-26.

A close below 113-25 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-25.

[The 10yr yield overbought level declines to 4.79%, the oversold level is now 4.49%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

[1-27-25: Long from 113-31 in the early am session. Set SL @ 112-15.] [ Raise the SL to 113-17.]

[1-31-25: Raise the SL to BE at 113-31.]

[2-4-25: Stopped out at the BE, 113-31.]

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Short. In the new move down from the 108.61 short entry. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 106.56. The expected oversold levels declines to 107.51.

A close above 108.24 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 109.98.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 110-20 lows. Trade pressures are now down.  Volumes remain bullish.

A close above 113-10 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 120-26.

A close below 112-19 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 108-30.

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.84%, the oversold level is now 4.55%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

[1-27-25: Long from 113-31 in the early am session. Set SL @ 112-15.] [ Raise the SL to 113-17.]