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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral.

Daily –Flat. In the new uptrend at 98.05 on 4/22 post market, but at overbought levels. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

A close above 100.29 would confirm higher. The expected overbought level declines to 100.70.

The next target down is 97.48. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.05.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly drops to support.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now neutral.

Daily  – Long. Stopped out, then rallies higher. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 117-15. Overbought levels rise to 122-28.

A close below 114-28 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline 105-28.

 

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily –Short. Short trade from 102.72 retesting 98.80 lows Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target down is 97.48. The expected oversold levels declines to 97.64.

A close above 99.74 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 102.48.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend but quickly drops to support.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Long. After the drop to 111-16, a new move thru 114-11 long entry on 4/15 is triggered. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 117-15. Overbought levels rise to 122-28.

A close belows 112-31 would signal lower. Oversold levels decline 105-28.

[Set the SL at 113-07.]

 

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily –Flat. Rally fails at 102.73, closing at 99.89. (Someone is selling the Dollar hard, it can cause interest rates to rise. Qui Bono?) Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 97.52. The expected oversold levels declines to 99.51.

A close above 100.81 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 103.52.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Flat. The new move up from 116-06 on 3-28 fails at 122-10 with a decline to 113-06. The short signal at 117-28 is triggered on 4/7. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 104-29. Oversold levels are 105-28.

A close above 114-22. Overbought levels decline to 119-27.

 

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Rally up off the low pivot of 100.97. Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 100.82. The expected oversold levels declines to 101.98.

A close above 102.70 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 104.94.

Not sure what the dynamic is here: Gold front-runs the tariffs, USD declines. then USD rallies as the gold sells on the news and goes into the USD as a safe haven?

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Flat. The new move up from 116-06 on 3-28, gains strength as recession fears lower yields.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 123-08. Testing the december 2023 upper median line resisitance at 121-19. Overbought levels decline to 119-27.

A close below 119-10 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 116-20.

 

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Small rally up off the downside pivot of 102.83. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target down is 103.23. The expected oversold levels declines to 103.01.

A close above 104.19 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 104.94.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are up but turning down.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Flat. In a new move up from 116-06 on 3-28.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 119-08. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 114-30 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 108-07.

[No trade with the weekly pressures down.]

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Consolidating at the downside pivot of 102.83. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 102.62. The expected oversold levels rises to 103.04.

A close above 105.35 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 104.25.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 120-12. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 115-08 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 108-07.

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USD_ DXM25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Flat the downside target of 102.00. Trade pressures are down but turning up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 102.62. The expected oversold levels declines to 102.75.

A close above 105.47 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 105.65.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. At 116-24. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target up is 120-12. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 115-08 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-20.

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short, from the 107.06 channel breakdown on 3/4. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The enxt target down is 102.00. The expected oversold levels declines to 103.02.

A close above 105.89 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 106.56.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Reached the 119-08 target. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 120-12. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 115-08 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-20.

 

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Long. In a retracement up from the trend breakout above 106.60 on 2/27. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bullish.

The next taerget up is 108.50. The expected overbought level declines to 107.60.

A close below 107.06 would signal higher.  The expected oversold levels declines to 105.81.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the new move up from 114-11 on 2/14.   Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 119-08.. Overbought levels remain 120-18.

A close below 116-18 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-20.

[2-26-25: Raise the SL the 117-00.]

[2-28-25: New June contract. Sell the March contract at the Monday open]

[3-2-25: Sell at 118.00.]

 

[The 10yr yield overbought level declines to 4.49%, the oversold level is now 4.19%.
Inflation expectations continue lower thru the remainder of 1Q25 and begin to rise again in 2Q25.]

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USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. In the new move down from the lower high on 2/3 and a close below 107.66. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 104.43 . The expected oversold levels declines to 105.86.

A close above 106.97 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 108.01.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the new move up from 114-25 on 2-14.   Trade pressures are up.  Volumes have turned bullish.

The next target up is 117-29. Overbought levels remain 120-28.

A close below 115-11 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-25.

[2-21-25: raise the SL to 114-27.]

[2-25-25: Raise the stop to 116-11.]

[2-26-25: Raise the SL the 117-00.]

 

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.62%, the oversold level is now 4.44%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]