Category: Currencies

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. In the new move down from the lower high on 2/3 and a close below 107.66. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 104.43 . The expected oversold levels declines to 105.86.

A close above 106.97 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 108.01.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are now up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the new move up from 114-25 on 2-14.   Trade pressures are up.  Volumes have turned bullish.

The next target up is 117-29. Overbought levels remain 120-28.

A close below 115-11 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-25.

[2-21-25: raise the SL to 114-27.]

[2-25-25: Raise the stop to 116-11.]

 

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.62%, the oversold level is now 4.44%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Short. In the new move down from the lower high on 2/3 and a close below 107.66. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 104.56 . The expected oversold levels declines to 106.70.

A close above 107.18 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 108.48.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Long. In the new move up from 114-25 on 2-14.   Trade pressures are up.  Volumes have turned neutral.

The next target up is 117-29. Overbought levels remain 120-28.

A close below 113-28 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-25.

[2-21-25: raise the SL to 114-27.]

 

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.62%, the oversold level is now 4.44%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. In the new move up from the 107.85 long entry on 2/7. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 108.63 . The expected overbought level rises to 108.99.

A close below 107.66 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels declines to 106.94.

[choppy]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up off the 110-20 lows of 1-16, stopped out of the long trade at BE. Market continues to move. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes have turned bearish once again.

The next target up is 117-84. Overbought levels aremain 120-26.

A close below 114-04 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-25.

 

[The 10yr yield overbought level declines to 4.63%, the oversold level is now 4.41%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

 

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. In the new move up from the 108.00 long entry. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 109.23 . The expected overbought level declines to 108.71.

A close below 107.66 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels declines to 107.10.

[2-4-25: Tariff talk weighing on the dollar. Short at 108.40]

[2-6-25: dowwn to oversold level. A close above 107.85 would signal higher.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up off the 110-20 lows of 1-16. Trade pressures have risen, but now declining.  Volumes have turned bearish.

The next target up is 117-84. Overbought levels are 120-26.

A close below 113-25 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 113-25.

[The 10yr yield overbought level declines to 4.79%, the oversold level is now 4.49%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

[1-27-25: Long from 113-31 in the early am session. Set SL @ 112-15.] [ Raise the SL to 113-17.]

[1-31-25: Raise the SL to BE at 113-31.]

[2-4-25: Stopped out at the BE, 113-31.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Short. In the new move down from the 108.61 short entry. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 106.56. The expected oversold levels declines to 107.51.

A close above 108.24 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 109.98.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 110-20 lows. Trade pressures are now down.  Volumes remain bullish.

A close above 113-10 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 120-26.

A close below 112-19 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 108-30.

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.84%, the oversold level is now 4.55%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

[1-27-25: Long from 113-31 in the early am session. Set SL @ 112-15.] [ Raise the SL to 113-17.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. Retracement to 108.81. Trade pressures are down but rising to the neutral zone.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target up is the prior high at 110.01. The expected overbought level rises to 109.94.

A close below 108.61 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 107.98.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move up off the 110-20 lows. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

A close above 113-28 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 120-26.

A close below 112-19 would resume the move down. Oversold levels are 108-14.

 

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.82%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. Back-test at 107.57 on 1/7 turned higher. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 110.51. The expected overbought level rises to 109.74.

A close below 107.84 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 107.60.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from the 117-20 close on 12/12. Trade pressures are up down.  Volumes remain bearish.

In the waterfall down and at 110-28. The next target down is 108-05. Oversold levels are 109-15.

A close above 112-23 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 115-26

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.74%. Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Lower highs turned higher. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

Broke thru the June resistance line. The expected overbought level rises to 109.25.

A close below 107.96 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 107.25.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are neutral.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from the 119-17 close on 12/09. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone.  Volumes remain bearish.

At the downside target range of 113-10. Oversold levels are 113-09.

A close above 114-17 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 116-25

[The 10yr yield overbought level declines to 4.65%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Turned down at resistance (108.27) and now showing lower highs. Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 108.24. The expected overbought level rises to 108.90.

A close below 106.89 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 106.57.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures decline into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from the 119-17 close on 12/09. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

At the downside target range of 113-09. Oversold levels are 113-09.

A close above 114-18 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 116-20

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.70%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXH25

Weekly –  In the new October 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain up but are turning down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Turned down at resistance (108.27) Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 108.29. The expected overbought level rises to 108.50.

A close below 106.98 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 106.33.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USH25

Weekly – In a new October 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures decline into the neutral zone.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Flat. In the  move down from the 119-17 close on 12/09. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

At the downside target range of 113-17. Oversold levels are 113-16.

A close above 115-05 would signal higher. Overbought levels are 115-20

[The 10yr yield overbought level rises to 4.61%.
Higher inflation expectations continue thru 1Q25 and 2Q25.]