Author: ChasW

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLU24

Weekly – In the March 2024 uptrend and above support. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from 74.78 on 8/8. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 77.89. The expected overbought levels are lower at 77.72.

A close below 75.28 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 71.78.

[8-8-24: Long at 74.78.]

[8-11-24: set the SL at 74.78.]

[8-12-24: Raise the SL to 77.89.  ** 10 min before close, raise to 78.70.]

[8-13-24: Stopped out at 78/70.]

 

NAT GAS_ NGQ24

Weekly – In in a new August 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain  down.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Flat.  The small rally has triggered a long trade at 2.14. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

the next target up is 2.40. The expected overbought level declines to 2.21.

A Close below 2.10 would signal lower. The expected oversold level remains at 1.91.

[8-11-24: Set the SL at 2.10.]

[8-12-24: Raise the SL to the entry price, 2.14.]

 

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGU24

Weekly – In the August 2024 downtrend. Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the July move down at 4.49 on 7/16.  Trade pressures have turned down again. Volumes remain neutral.

The next target down is 3.82. The expected oversold levels are 3.91.

A close above 4.03 would signal higher.  The expected overbought levels have declined to 4.18.

[8-12-24: Long at 4.03. Set the SL at 3.99.]

[8-14-24. Raise the SL to the entry price of 4.03.] [Stopped out in the overnight session.]

 

GOLD_ GCQ24

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. 7/30 in new uptrend from 2450.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 2527. The expected overbought level has declined to 2499.

The next target down is 2365. The expected oversold level has risen to 2401.

 

SILVER_ SIU24

Weekly – Still in the December 2023 uptrend, but turning down.  Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily –Long. Long from 27.37,  the trend break 8/8.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target up is 28.43. Overbought levels are 30.17.

A close below 29.83 would signal lower.  Oversold levels are 27.37.

Set the SL at 27.14.

[8-12-24: Raise the SL to 27.93.]

[8-12-24: stopped out in the nite session.]

S&P 500 Futures

Market Summary:

The 10yr yields decline below 4.00%. Second copper bull flag forms, basing.  Gold rallies to the upper median line.  Silver is basing.

Crude continues lower.  Natural gas continues the move down.

The US 30yr Treasury Bond turns higher, now at resistance.

The US Dollar futures fall below the 200 day MA to the April median line.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures   #ESU24

Monthly –The 5700 level provides resistance. Trade pressures remain up. Volumes closed the month of July as bullish.  The next target up remains 5958.  The close below 5393 would confirms the weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly close below the UML which is now providing resistance.  Trade pressures remain up.  Volumes have changed to bearish..  Trade down thru the 5580 short entry. The next target down is 5159.  A close above 5666 would confirm any daily move higher.

Daily – Flat. Shorted the move down from 5628 on 7/18 and closed on 7/26 at 5450. The uptrend has been broken. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.  The expected overbought level has declined to 5565.  The next target down is 5122, but the expected oversold level declines to 5357.

Need a close above 5432 to restart the rally.

[8-8-24: In the move off the 5120 low pivot. Expect a rally at 5400, then a test of the lower channel band at 5200. Make a new long decision there.]

___________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is marked to the market and is restarted at $100,000 for the 2024 year.

The Navellier portfolio stocks closed down 35% for the 2022 Year.  The Navellier portfolio stocks closed up 17% for the 2023 Year.

Portfolio stock values for 2024.  The portfolio moved down to $123,000. The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is now up 23%.

Eli Lilly (LLY) and Emcor (EME) have been replaced by Allstate Insurance (ALL) and Coca-Cola Bottling (COKE) on the 29th of July.

[The author may be long or short any of these issues mentioned]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXU24

Weekly –  Remains in the April 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. The close below the 103.78 level has reversed the long trade.  Trade pressures are down  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 102.98.  The expected oversold levels decline to 103.20.

A close above 103.59 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 104.45.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU24

Weekly – In a new August 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. breaks above the downtrend line. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

At the next target up , 125-07. Overbought levels are 123-07.

A close below 123-04 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 121-11.

 

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLU24

Weekly – In the March 2024 uptrend and above support. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Continuing the move down from 77.49.  Trade pressures have returned to down.  Volumes are remain bearish.

The next target down is 68.95. The expected oversold level declines to 74.52.

A close back above 79.43 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are at 79.48.

[8-8-24: Off the 71.67 lows. Close the short at 74.78. Long at 74.78.]

 

NAT GAS_ NGQ24

Weekly – In in a new August 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures remain  down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat.  Still Relentless Decline. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 1.87. The expected oversold level declines to 1.91.

A close above 2.01 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level declines to 2.26.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGU24

Weekly – New August 2024 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. The July move up at 4.18 failed and dropped to a low of 4.03.  Trade pressures have risen into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 4.03. The expected oversold levels have declined to 3.99.

A close above 4.16 would signal higher.  The expected overbought levels have declined to 4.25.

 

GOLD_ GCQ24

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. 7/30 in new uptrend from 2450.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 2436. The expected oversold level has declined to 2368.

The next target up is 2535. The expected overbought level has risen to 2502.

 

SILVER_ SIU24

Weekly – Still in the December 2023 uptrend, but turning down.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily –Flat. The break below the trendline support at 30.53 takes price to 27.45 and started a recovery rally.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 28.36. Oversold levels are 27.09.

A close above 29.83 would signal higher.  Overbought levels are 31.25.

Navellier Top 5 Stocks for August

High-Growth Investments

The Allstate Corporation

The Allstate Corporation (ALL) is a leading insurance provider that’s kept its customers in “good hands” for more than 90 years. Today, Allstate has nearly 193 million policies, and through these policies, it provides a variety of insurance products and services, including auto, boat, motorcycle, homeowners, renters, life and business insurance.

Allstate will announce second-quarter results after the stock market closes on Wednesday, July 31. Second-quarter earnings are expected to jump to $0.37 per share, up from a $4.42 per share loss in the same quarter a year ago. Analysts have also increased earnings estimates from a $0.46 per share loss just a week ago, so a fourth-straight quarterly earnings surprise is likely.

I should also add that Allstate continues to reward its shareholders. The company will pay a quarterly dividend of $0.92 per share, up from $0.89 per share in the same quarter a year ago, on October 1. All shareholders of record on August 30 will receive the dividend. The stock has a 2.2% dividend yield. ALL is a Conservative buy below $181.

SOM Technicals:

8-3-24: Closed at 178.82. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 188.86.

8-11-24: Closed at 171.03. Trade pressures are rising to the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 168.07.

8-16-24: Closed at 178.11. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 175.48.

8-26-24: Closed at 180.51. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 184.31.

 

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) bottles and distributes a vast range of beverage products and flavors, including Coca-Cola branded products, as well as well-known energy drinks, sparkling and still beverages, carbonated and non-carbonated drinks.

There currently aren’t any analysts following Coca-Cola Consolidated, but the company’s recent results were still robust. For the first quarter, the company reported sales rose 1.3% year-over-year to $1.59 billion, while operating earnings increased 4.5% year-over-year to $215.4 million. Coca-Cola Consolidated will announce second-quarter and first-half results after the stock market closes on Wednesday, July 31.

Coca-Cola Consolidated also recently announced that it will pay a third-quarter dividend of $0.50 per share on August 9. All shareholders of record on July 26 will receive the dividend. The stock has a 0.18% dividend yield. COKE is a Conservative buy below $1,252.

SOM Technicals:

8-3-24: Closed at 1274.20. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 1345.00.

8-11-24: Closed at 1259.41. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 1217.49.

8-16-24: Closed at 1270.17. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 1305.70.

8-26-24: Closed at 1339.75. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neuatral. The next target down is 1319.69.

 

The Progressive Corporation

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is a well-known insurance provider, offering everything from car, boat and motorcycle insurance to homeowners, renters and commercial insurance. The company also offers popular insurance bundles, in which folks can bundle their auto and property insurance for lower rates. And Progressive continues to benefit from high insurance rates.

Back on July 16, Progressive reported that second-quarter earnings surged 322% year-over-year to $1.46 billion, or $2.48 per share. The analyst community only expected earnings of $2.01 per share, so Progressive posted a 23.4% earnings surprise.

At the end of the quarter, Progressive noted that it had a total of 32.31 million policies in force, up 9% from 29.58 million policies at the end of the second quarter in 2023.

Progressive also consistently rewards its shareholders. The company paid a dividend of $0.10 per share on July 12, which represented its 22-straight quarterly dividend. The stock has a 0.19% dividend yield. PGR is a Conservative buy below $230.

SOM Technicals:

4/27/24: Closed at 205.03. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 199.79.

5-4-24: Closed at 208.72. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 206.06.

5-10-24: Closed at 210.17. Trade pressures are neutral. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 211.49.

5-18-24: Closed at 209.22. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 201.34.

5-25-24: Closed at 203.91. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 191.19.

6-2-24: Closed at 211.18. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 214.90.

6-8-24: Closed at 212.53. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 219.12.

6-15-24: Closed at 203.92. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target up is 218.20.  

6-23-24: Closed at 209.19. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 206.

6-30-24: Closed at 207.71. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish. The next target up is 218.69.

7-5-24: Closed at 210.18. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 205.22.

7-12-24: Closed at 213.30. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 218.69.

7-20-24: Closed at 219.35. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bearish. The next target down 212.57.

8-3-24: Closed at 216.94. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next  target up is 240.00.

8-11-24: Closed at 221.73. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 227.32.

8-16-24: Closed at 236.77. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 244.22.

8-26-24: Closed at 242.45. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 246.40.

 

Targa Resources Corporation

Targa Resources Corporation (TRGP) is a midstream energy company that provides gathering and processing systems as well as logistics and transportation systems. The company operates more than 31,000 miles of natural gas pipelines and 53 processing plants, which service top natural gas and crude oil-producing basins in the U.S.

The company operates in the lucrative oil and natural gas-producing region in the Permian Basin, and its robust operations in this region are anticipated to add handsomely to its top and bottom lines.

Targa Resources scheduled its second-quarter earnings announcement for August 1. Analysts currently expect second-quarter earnings of $1.25 per share and revenue of $4.44 billion, which compares to earnings of $1.44 per share and revenue of $4.36 billion in the same quarter a year ago. Analysts have upped earnings estimates over the past month.

I should also add that Targa Resources recently announced its next dividend payment. The company will pay a quarterly dividend of $0.75 per share on August 15. All shareholders of record on July 31 will receive the dividend. The stock has a 2.3% dividend yield. TRGP is a Conservative buy below $141.

SOM Technicals:

5-25-24: Closed at 114.28. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 111.90.

6-2-24: Closed at 118.23. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 119.68.

6-8-24: Closed at 118.01. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 119.68.

6-15-24: Closed at 119.00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 117.63.

6-23-24: Closed at 125.10. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 123.65.

6-30-24: Closed at 128.78. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 130.53.

7-5-24: Closed at 132.49. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 139.71.

7-12-24: Closed at 135.05. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 137.41.

7-20-24: Closed at 136.37. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish. The next target up is 139.96.

8-3-24: Closed at 130.58. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 126.70.

8-11-24: Closed at 135.69. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 139.35, the prior high.

8-16-24: Closed at 142.83. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 150.00.

8-26-24: Closed at 145.47. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 151.82.

 

Vertiv Holdings Co.

Vertiv Holdings Co. (VRT) primarily provides digital infrastructure, offering a portfolio of power, cooling and IT infrastructure solutions that are vital to commercial and industrial facilities, communication networks and data centers. The company has benefited immensely from the artificial intelligence revolution, as it helps expand the utility grid and data centers – and that was apparent in its latest quarterly results.

For the second quarter, Vertiv reported that earnings soared 114% year-over-year to $178.1 million, or $0.46 per share. That compared to earnings of $83.2 million, or $0.22 per share, in the same quarter a year ago. Adjusted earnings increased 48% year-over-year to $258.4 million, or $0.67 per share, which beat estimates for $0.57 per share by 17.5%.

Second-quarter orders increased 57% year-over-year and were up 37% on a 12-month trailing basis. In turn, second-quarter sales rose 13% year-over-year to $1.95 billion, topping estimates for $1.94 billion.

Looking ahead, Vertiv expects third-quarter sales between $1.935 billion and $1.985 billion and adjusted earnings per share between $0.65 and $0.69. That compares to the current consensus estimate that calls for sales of $1.97 billion and earnings of $0.63 per share. VRT is an Aggressive buy below $89.

SOM Technicals:

3-29-24: Closed at 81.84. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 77.05. A close above 83.62 signals higher.

4-6-24: Closed at 85.34. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is the prior high at 88.70.

4-14-24: Closed at 83.89. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 78.14.

4-27-24: Closed at 93.49. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 94.76.

5-4-24: Closed at 93.01. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 95.70.

5-10-24: Closed at 95.40. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 100.01.

5-18-24: Closed at 96.81. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 90.96.

5-25-24: Closed at 106.17. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 126.68.

6-2-24: Closed at 98.07. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 101.57.

6-8-24: Closed at 87.68. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target up is 94.31.

6-15-24: Closed at 91.48. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 80.34.

6-23-24: Closed at 90.62. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 78.22.

6-30-24: Closed at 86.57. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 78.22.

7-5-24: Closed at 91.78. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 95.17.

7-12-24: Closed at 89.67. Trade pressures are down. volumes are bearish. The next target down is 85.44.

7-20-24: Closed at 85.31. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target up is 98.45.

8-3-24: Closed at 69.46. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 58.46.

8-11-24: Closed at 71.46. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 81.07.

8-16-24: Closed at 82.96. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 99.73.

8-26-24: Closed at 78.06. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. The next target up is 99.73.

 

S&P 500 Futures

Market Summary:

The 10yr yields rally. Copper bull flag fails, looking lower.  Gold turns down at the trendline resistance.  Silver breaks support.

Crude continues lower.  Natural gas continues the move down.

The US 30yr Treasury Bond retesting the breakout.

The US Dollar futures rally off the 200 day MA.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures   #ESU24

Monthly –The 5700 level has provided resistance. Trade pressures remain up. Volumes closed the month of June as bullish.  The next target up remains 5958.  A close below 5419 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly close below the UML which is now providing resistance.  Trade pressures remain up.  Volumes have changed to bearish..  Trade down thru the 5588 short entry. The next target down is 5440.  A close above 5618 would confirm any daily move higher.

Daily – Short.  In the move down from 5628 on 7/18. The market was ready for a correction and just needed a trigger; CrowdStrike provided that. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.  The expected overbought level has risen to 5674.  The next target down is 5492.  The expected oversold level rises to 5528 which corresponds to the lower channel band. Might have a rally 5492 and 5530.

Need a close above 5596 to restart the rally.

[Trend is at 5634. Support is at 5530]

[7-30-24: close the short at 5450.]

___________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is marked to the market and is restarted at $100,000 for the 2024 year.

The Navellier portfolio stocks closed down 35% for the 2022 Year.  The Navellier portfolio stocks closed up 17% for the 2023 Year.

Portfolio stock values for 2024.  The portfolio moved down to $129,000. The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is now up 29%.

[The author may be long or short any of these issues mentioned]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXU24

Weekly –  Remains in the April 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Long. Closed above the down trendline line at 104.11.  Trade pressures have risen into the neutral zone.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 104.59.  The higher expected overbought level declines to 104.97.

A close below 103.78. The expected oversold levels decline to 103.20.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU24

Weekly – In the April 2024 downtrend.  Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. Pulling back with the CrowdStrike news.  Trade pressures are up, but declining. Volumes are bearish.

[Set a SL at 118-11.] Overbought levels are 119-15.

A close below 118-04 would signal lower. Oversold levels are 116-27.

[7-24-24: Stopped out ar 118-11.]

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLU24

Weekly – In the March 2024 uptrend and above support. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes remain neutral.

Daily – Short. in the new move down from 79.57 on 7/19.  Trade pressures have returned to down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 76.03. The expected oversold level rises to 80.56.

A close back above 81.12 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are now higher at 83.48.

[7-31-24: close short at76.95.]

 

NAT GAS_ NGQ24

Weekly – In the April 2024 uptrend.  Trade pressures remain  down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat.  Relentless decline. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 2.00. The expected oversold level declines to 1.94.

A close above 2.27 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level declines to 2.44.