Author: ChasW

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXZ25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend remains below resistance.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Long. In the move up from 97.65 on 10-6. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 99.90.  The expected overbought level rises to 99.81.

A close below 97.82 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 98.15.

[The OB/OS channel is rising.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ25

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures up but declining.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from a breakout on 10-10. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 118-20. Overbought levels rise to 118-20.

A close below 117-14 would signal lower.  Oversold levels rise to 116-31.

[10-11-25: The OB/OS channel is rising. Raise the SL to 117-14.]

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLX25

Weekly – In the June 2025 uptrend, testing support. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily –Flat. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Crashes to 58.22 with trump china tariff. The expected oversold level rises to 60.06.

A close above 61.60 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels decline to 63.15.

[OB/OS channel is declining.]

[10-12-25: Sun nite session has small rally, but stops at the 59.78 trend line.]

 

NAT GAS_ NGX25

Weekly – In the new July 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures are just up.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat, no trade. In the move down from 3.48 on 10/2. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 3.07. The expected oversold level rises to 3.14.

A close above 3.20 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 3.88.

[OB/OS channel now rising]

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGZ25

Weekly – In a new October 2025 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Crashed on the new China tariffs. Stopped out of long from 4.89 at 5.00 on 10/10. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 4.81. The expected oversold levels rise to 4.79.

A close above 5.00 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels rise to 5.25.

[10-12-25: Sun nite session rallys off the Friday closing lows.]

 

GOLD_ GCZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend, but at resistance.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the early October pullback at 3996 on 10-10; and up with the USD.  Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 4054. The expected overbought level rises to 4028.

A close below 3984 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 3908.

[10-12-25: Sun nite session up 72 dollars thru the upside target.]

 

SILVER_ SIZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend, but with a spinning top. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Flat. Rally continued to 49.96, reversed at 47.97. Trade pressures are declining into the neutral zone.  Volumes are now bearish.

The close below 46.96 did signal lower. The next target down is 45.99. The oversold levels rise to 47.78.

A close above 47.84 would signal higher. Overbought levels rise to 49.71.

[10-12-25: Sun Nite session; A full $1 dollar rally off the Friday lows.]

 

 

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Summary:

Copper consolidates for two days and runs again.  Gold keeps going to big round number of 4000.  Silver continues the move higher but now at the 48.50 target.

Crude move higher failed, now at support.  Natural Gas move up fails, looking for a move up off support.

The US 30yr Treasury up but still seeing resisitance.
The 10yr yields rise to the 4.20’s. The expected oversold level for the 10yr yield rises to 4.04%

The US Dollar rises and falls on rate moves.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures   #ESZ25

Monthly –Monthly bar trading again above the prior month high. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of September as bullish.  The 6800 price is the new adjusted high. The next target up is 6833. A close below 6489 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly bar continues to make new highs.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.  The next target up is 7029.  A close below 6605 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Flat. Still in uptrend, but near OB territory and 6761 short entry . Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 6822. The expected overbought level rises to 6749.

A close below 6761 would trigger a short entry.  The expected oversold level rises to 6605.

[OB/OS trend is rising.]

[10-7-25: Short from 6761. Set the SL at 6794.]

[10-8-25: Stopped out at 6794.]

__________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is rebalanced to start at $100,000 for the 2025 year.

These Navellier Top 5 portfolio stocks closed:
Down 35% for the 2022 Year.
    Up 17% for the 2023 Year.
   Up 42% for the 2024 Year.

Portfolio stock values for 2025. 
The portfolio value is up sharply for the last week, to $154,000.
The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is up 54%.

The S&P 500 YTD return is up 14.17%

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXZ25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend remains below resistance.  Trade pressures are now up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Long. In the uptrend , backtesting failed. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is the 98.35 resistance.  The expected overbought level decline to 98.55.

A close below 97.21 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.12.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing. Sun Nite shows breaking to the upside.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ25

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures up but declining.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from 114-22 on 9/04. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bullish.

In a pullback from 118-16. Overbought levels decline to 118-04.

A close below 115-20 would signal lower.  Oversold levels rise to 116-10.

[Keep the SL at 115-20.]

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLX25

Weekly – In the June 2025 uptrend, still sideways. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily –Flat. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Stopped out of the move down from 64.52 on 10/2. The expected oversold level decline to 60.01.

A close above 61.60 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels decline to 63.61.

[OB/OS channel is declining, be careful with any long entry.]

 

NAT GAS_ NGX25

Weekly – In the new July 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat, no trade. In the move down from 3.48 on 10/2. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 3.18. The expected oversold level rises to 2.99.

A close above 3.41 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 3.59.

[OB/OS channel now rising]

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGZ25

Weekly – In a new October 2025 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. Broke up an out of the pullback at 4.89 on 10/2. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 5.16. The expected overbought levels rise to 5.05.

A close below 4.98 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 4.68.

{Set the SL at 5.00.]

 

GOLD_ GCZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the mid september pullback at 3721 on 9/22..  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 3952. The expected overbought level rises to 3909.

A close below 3876 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 3765.

[see Silver trade]

 

SILVER_ SIZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. Profit stop triggered at 47.41. Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 48.50. Overbought levels rise to 48.34.

A close below 46.96 would signal lower. The oversold levels rise to 45.86.

 

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Summary:

Copper spikes on mine accident.  Gold consolidating at the highs.  Silver continues the move much higher.

Crude breaks higher in the bear channel.  Natural Gas fails, rally turns into consolidation.

The US 30yr Treasury up but seeing resisitance.
The 10yr yields rise to the 4.20’s. The expected oversold level for the 10yr yield moves down to 4.01%

The US Dollar rises on higher rates.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures   #ESZ25

Monthly –Monthly bar trading again above the prior month high. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of August as bullish.  The 6756 price is the new adjusted high. The next target up is 6776. A close below 6446 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly bar continues to make new highs.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain barely bullish.  The next target up is 6776.  A close below 6426 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Flat. stopped out at 6675. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 6776. The expected overbought level rises to 6699.

A close below 6641 would trigger a short entry.  The expected oversold level rises to 6554.

[OB/OS trend is rising.]

__________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is rebalanced to start at $100,000 for the 2025 year.

These Navellier Top 5 portfolio stocks closed:
Down 35% for the 2022 Year.
    Up 17% for the 2023 Year.
   Up 42% for the 2024 Year.

Portfolio stock values for 2025. 
The portfolio value is down for the last week, to $149,000.
The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is up 49%.

At the next open Agnico Eagle (AEM), Kinross Gold (KGC), and Sea Ltd, (SE) will be replace by Amer Sports Inc. (AS), GE Veranova (GEV), and Robinhood (HOOD).

The S&P 500 YTD return is up 12.29%

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXZ25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend below resistance.  Trade pressures are now up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Long. In the uptrend , backtesting the BO at 97.82. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is the 98.39 resisitnace.  The expected overbought level rise to 98.75.

A close below 97.72 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 96.48.

[9-29-25: stopped out of Long trade at 97.72.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ25

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures up but declining.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from 114-22 on 9/04. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

At the next target up of 118-16. Overbought levels rise to 119-04.

A close below 115-20 would signal lower.  Oversold levels rise to 115-16.

[Set the SL at 115-20.]

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLX25

Weekly – In the June 2025 uptrend, but sideways. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily –Flat, . Trade pressures are up but turning down.  Volumes remain are bullish.

Stopped out of the move down from 63.16 on 9/18. Then the close above 63.45 on 9/24 signaled higher. The expected overbought levels rise to 65.92.

A close below 64.52 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 62.38.

[9-26-25: Set the SL at 64.52.]

[9-29-25: Short from the 64.52 entry. set the SL at 64.72]

[9-30-25: Lower SL to 63.52.]

[10-2-25: Lower SL to 61.87.][10-2-25: Buy to Cover at new oversold level of 60.70 stop.] [Stop executed]

 

NAT GAS_ NGX25

Weekly – In the new July 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat, no trade. In the move down from 3.23 on 9/18 (november contract). Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 2.99. The expected oversold level declines to 2.70.

A close above 3.22 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 3.14.