Category: Currencies

US$$

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USD_ DXM20

Weekly – After the spike to the 104 levels , price has settled into the 98-102 range, Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – In the move down from 98.70. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is the recent low pivot of 98.34.

A close above 101-00 would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM20

Weekly – In the move down form 191-22. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the 181-15. Trade pressures are down hard. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 177-06.

A close above 181-08 would signal higher. This should be the stop, also.

[4-13-20: Daily is oversold. Close the short@178-06.]

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USD_ DXM20

Weekly – Retracing the move down with a 38% rise above the 100 level. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – The short entry just below 103 sent the dollar down to the expected 100% target at 98.14. Then a five day rally has taken price back to the 100 level and a new long entry signal. Trade pressures are up and extended. Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 104.73.

A close below 99.64 would signal lower once again.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM20

Weekly  – In the move down after the sharp rally in early March. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Flat. In the new move up from the 176 level. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 190-11.

A close below 177-06 would signal lower.

[4-5-20: short at 181-15. Stop 182-31]

[4-6-20: Lower stops to the 181-15 entry price.]

 

 

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YSD DXM20

Weekly – Tagged the prior highs and then turned down to the earlier breakout just below 100. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – The Monday open rose to the 103.99 target then turned down thru the 102.75 short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 95.65.

A close above 100.57 would signal a new move up. This would put the daily trade pressures in alignment with the weekly.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_ USM20

Weekly – The panic buying seems to be abating. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. In a new move up from the 176-00 new long entry. Trade pressures are up with a new bullish reversal. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 180-11.

As the weekly is turning down need to wait for the next bearish reversal on the daily. A close below 175-06 would signal lower.

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USD_ DXM20

Weekly – Huge flows into the US Dollar. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish for these two weeks.

Daily – Moved off the 94.53 lows and up near the 103.99 upside target. Trade pressures are up and over – bought. Volumes are steadily bullish. The next target up is that 103.99 level.

A close below 102.61 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM20

Weekly – In the move down off the recent highs. Trade pressures are up but rolling over. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. In the move up after the retracement form the 191 to the 168 support level. Trade pressures  are up. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is the 176 new long entry.

A close below the 167-05 will signal lower.

US$$

USD_ DXM20

Weekly – The prior week’s drop is completely offset by this week’s rally. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – After the plunge to the 95.02 downside target, price tuned up thru the 95.48 new long entry. In four days the 98.32 target was reached.

The next target is the prior high of 99.67.

A close below 07 25 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM20

Weekly – Ran to all times highs. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – In the move down. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are now bearish.

At the downside 1.62% target. Expect consolidation and possible retracement.

A close back above 181 would signal higher.

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USD_ DXM20

Weekly – two weeks hard down. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish very high volumes this week.

Daily – Down hard. Trade pressures are down and over sold. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 95.02.

A close above 96.43 would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-Bonds_ USM20

Weekly – Three weeks to get from the 161 target to the 179 target! Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. The previous short entry was stopped almost the same day. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 183-04.

A Close below 178 would signal lower.

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – Second week of declining volumes. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are Bearish.

Daily – In the new move down from the 99.10 level. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 97.15.

A close above 98.78 would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-Bonds_ USM20

Weekly – Big rally to new highs. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. At the 170-16 upside target. Expect consolidation and retracement. Trade pressures are up and overbought. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 174-13.

A close below 168-09 would signal lower.

{3-2-20: Closed on the short entry of 169-22. Stops  at the 172-09.]

[3-3-20:stopped out at the 172-09 level.]

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – In the move up Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Retracing inside the move up. Trade  pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 98.38.  A close back above the 99.81 level would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-Bonds_ USH20

Weekly – Making a retest of the 2019 highs. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the move from the 161-06 level. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 167-10.

Near the end of a move up. A close below 164-27 would signal a retracement lower.

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – Back to the October 2019 highs. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the move up from the second leg up which began at the 97.63 level. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 99.16.

A close below 98.36 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-Bonds_ USH20

Weekly – At resistance. Trade pressures are up but reversing. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily – Flat. Beginning a retracement inside the move up. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral to bullish.

The next target up is 165-30 prior high.

The 2 hour chart is showing bearish reversal in the trade pressures. A close below the 161-14 level would signal lower.

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USD_ DXH20

Weekly – Testing the prior highs. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – After the pullback form the 98 highs price rallied with a second leg up and is approaching the 98.62 target. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. It is as if the US markets are a “corona virus safe haven”.  99.00 should be reachable in this move.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH20.

Weekly – Usually Bonds move down, as the dollar rises, as interest rates rise. Trade pressures are up and turning down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the 162-27 short entry price. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are neutral.

The next target is 158-31.

A close above 164-05 would signal higher.