Category: Currencies

US$$

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USD_ DXU20

Weekly – Have now broken the uptrend support. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – In the second leg down. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 95.19. A close above 97.79 would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-BOND_ USU20

Weekly- In the move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 175-29 long entry. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 180-23.

A close below 178-13 would signal lower.

 

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USD_ DXU20

Weekly – Holding the support line of the uptrend. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish.

Daily-  In the new move down after the close below 96.51. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 95.57 , the prior low.

A close above 97 would signal higher.

 

US30YR T-BONDS_ USU20

Weekly – Remains in the uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the channel between 180-170. Trade pressures are up and extended. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 179-03.

A close above 180-17 would signal higher.

 

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USD_ DXU20

Weekly – Still testing the weekly support levels. Trade pressures are down bur have reversed. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – In the downtrend. Trade pressures are up in to the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

A close above 98.02 would signal a new uptrend. The next short entry is a close below 96.51.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USU20

Weekly – Tracking sideways. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 175.00 long entry in June. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 180-25.

A close below the 25×5 at 176-28 would signal lower.

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USD_ DXU20

Weekly – Riding the uptrend support line at 97. Trade pressures are down but reversing. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – has completed the move down to the 95.38 target; stopping just shy at 95.57 and in a retracement up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are mixed bearish to neutral.

So, No bullish volume just yet and now near the 25×5 MA at 97.50 and the 200 day MA at 98.00; all of these should act as resistance. A close below 96.50 would likely continue the move down to the 95.20 level.

A close above 97.92 would signal a new move up.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USU20

Weekly – After a three week test of the uptrend support line at 171, price has move up on bullish volume/. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long . In the move up from the June 11th new long entry at 175-00. Trade pressures are up Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 180-29.

A close below 178-11 would signal lower.

Set the stops at 178-11

[6-29-20: Raise the stops to breakeven at 175.00.]

[6-30-20: Raise stops to to 176-27, the 25×5 MA.] [6-30-20: sell at the market ~ 178-13.]

US$$

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USD_ DXU20

Weekly – The weekly is testing on the uptrend support line. Trade pressure are down but showing reversal.

Daily – In the move down and  now below the 200 day MA. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Rising to the new long entry at 97.92 which is also the 200 day MA. Expect resistance there.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_  USU20

Weekly – Still in the uptrend. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – In the move up off the 174-27 new long entry. Trade pressures are up.. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 178-31.

A close below 173-22 would signal lower.

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USD_ DXU20

Weekly – Everything is revolving around the dollar now. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – In a move up off the 95.75 low pivot. Trade pressures are down but have reversed. Volumes dried up in the move to the low, then increased with the move up in these last two days.

The upside target is likely the 200 day MA at 98.03.

New stimulus commitments would add pressure to the dollar. A close below 96.37 would signal lower once again.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_ USU20

Weekly – Remains in the uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up off the 174-28 long entry. Trade pressures are up but reversing. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 178-29.

A close below 176-14 would signal a resumption of the move down. Again , all about the dollar.

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USD_ DXU20

Weekly – In a retracement move down from the 99 level. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – In the move down form the 98.60 short entry level. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 95.38.

The European moves to stimulate may offset some of the dollar weakness. A close above 97.034 would signal higher.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_ USU20

Weekly – A close below the last two weekly closes set a new direction. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down after the break below 177-12. Trade pressures are down and Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 158-29.

A close above 174-17 would signal higher.

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USD_ DXU20

Weekly – Has broken down. Trade pressures are down/ Volumes are bearish.

Daily – In the move down. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bullish.

The next target down is 97.45.

A close above 99.9 would signal higher.

 

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USU20

Weekly – Still stuck at the averages around 178-00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the channel bounded by the 181-13 and 177-20. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Mixed messages waiting for a breakout in one direction or the other.

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USD_ DXM20

Weekly – seems to be on two cycles, low-to-low. Trade pressures are in the neitral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Remains in this long consolidation between 101 and 98. Trade pressures are up and extended. Volumes are bearish.

This world wide adding of monies to the system prevents the dollar from dropping; a form of competitive devaluation?

 

US 30YR T-BOND_ USM20

Weekly – Also in consolidation between the 178-183 channel boundaries. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Remains in the channel. Trade pressures are up but reversing. Volumes are now neutral.

In the move down from the spike high. In consolidation at the 177 downside target.

The next target down is the new short entry at 177-12.

A close above 181-12 would signal higher.

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USD_ DXM20

Weekly – Holding in the pattern between the 100 and 98 levels. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – While still in the move down from the 102 near the 103.96 highs, a retracement move up inside that down move is developing. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is the old 98.82 downside target.

A close above 100.60 would trigger a new move up to perhaps a test of the 102 levels. It would be a flight-to-safety, so what would be the reason? Equity market problems?

 

US 30YR T-BOND_ USM20

Weekly – Looks very much like the dollar. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the channel between 182-31 and 177-06. Trade pressures are up and extended. Volumes are bullish.

Need a break above 182-31 to get long. The next target up is 197-04.

Need a break below 177-04 to get short and the next target down would be 167-26.

Watch the US Dollar futures.