Category: Currencies

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USD_ DXM21

Weekly – Testing the support of the new uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bearish.

Daily – In a new move up below the 200 day MA. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 91.34 which would trigger a new daily move up.

A close below 90.50 would signal a resumption of the move down.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – In the December 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone.

Daily – Flat. In the retracement move up from the 156-00 low pivot. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 157-16, looking for a breakout above the 157-19 trend line.

A close below 155-26 would signal lower.

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USD_ DXM21

Weekly – In a new uptrend at 93.50 and pulling back to test the move., Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Remains in the three week move down. Trade pressures are  down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 90.34.

A close above 91.32 would signal higher.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – In the December 20202 downtrend. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the April move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 158.27.

A close below 158-05 would signal lower.

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USD_

 

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – Remains in the Dec 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Flat. Testing the résistance at 158-13. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 158-27, the next upside resistance.

A close below the 25×5 MA at 156 would signal lower.

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USD_ DXM21

Weekly – The weekly rallied to resistance and stopped. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – In the new move down from the 92.98 short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 91.54.

A close above 92.33 would signal higher.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – In the December 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Flat. In the move up off the 153-21 lows. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 158-10.

A close below 155-22 would signal lower.

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USD_ DXM21

Weekly – Now in a new weekly uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the Feb 2021 uptrend and above the 200 day MA. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are now neutral.

Dollar inflows continue. The next target up is 93.80.

A possible correction in the  weekly uptrend. The target down is 92.27.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – In the Dec 20202 uptrend. Trade pressure are down but rising. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Basing off the downside target of 153.21. Volumes are bullish.

The next target 156-37.

Resistance at 158-13. A close below the 153-21 low would signal a resumption of the downtrend.

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USD_ DXM21

Weekly – Continues to rise off the 8933 downside target. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 93.79.

Daily – In the March move up from the 91.39 entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 93.88.

A close b elow 92.45 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – In the Dec 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. In the August 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 153-21.

A close above 159-03 would signal higher.

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USD_ DXM21

Weekly – Testing the 92.99 resistance line. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Now back testing the break above the 91.30. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is the downward sloping pitchfork upper median line at 91.30. A close over that would lead to the a test of the 92.30 recent pivot high.

A close below 91.15 would signal lower once again.

What could go wrong? Inflation vs Deflation. Hot economy vs cold economy.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – These historically low interest rates seem to no where to go but up. In the December 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. The February move down is likely complete. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is still 153-21.

A close above 155-04 would signal a retracement up tpo perhaps 160-19.

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USD_ DXM21

Weekly – Move up off the 89 base. The 2018 low is 84.24. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – In the new move up from the 91.33 long entry. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 92.89, the 200 day MA.

A close below 90.95 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – The long move down started March 2020. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the short trade from the January 167-02 entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 153-21.

A close above last weeks high of 158-28 would signal a retracement. But long term hard to see any impetus higher until the stimulus wears off and inflation fears die.  Dis-inflation is a FED worry.

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USD_ DXM21

Weekly – Moved up sharply off the 89 base to 92. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the move up from the 90.28 short cycle entry to the 91.38 long cycle entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 92.11.

A close below 91.27 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – In the Dec 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are again bearish.

Daily – Flat. Remains in the long August 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 153-21.

A close above 158-27 would signal higher.

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USD_ DXH21

Weekly – Slight lift off the 89.33 downside target. Trade pressures are up but flattening . Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Penetrated the down side support at 89.93 and started a new downtrend, but then immediately move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 01.39, the new long entry.

Another close below the 89.93 would signal lower, once again.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – The downtrend continues but last week had the first bullish bar in10 weeks. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the move down form the 167-02 short entry. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 153-21.

A close above 159-10 would signal a retracement move up into the 160’s.