Author: ChasW

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGN21

Weekly – In the June 20202 uptrend. Trade pressure are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the March .422 long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 4.78.

A close below 4.56 would signal lower.

 

GOLD_ GCM21

Weekly – Testing the downtrend resistance at 1870.00. Trade pressures are up. Volu\mes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the March 1724 long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 1871.

A close below 1801 would signal lower.

 

SILVER_ SIN21

Weekly – In the May 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the April move up from the 25.87 long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

the next target up is 27.95.

A close below 25.00 would signal lower.

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures_

Copper showing some neutral volumes. Gold and silver are in a small retracement down.

Crude oil remains in the uptrend. Natural gas is in a move up.

The US 30 year is approaching upside resistance.

The US Dollar futures are in a new move up.

____________________

S&P500 Futures_

Monthly – In this strong rally since the March 2020 crash. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of April as bullish. The next target up is 4366. A close below 3742 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – In the move up from the November 3550 entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4638. A close below 3924 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Remains in the move up after the April 1st break to the upside. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes remain bullish. The next target up is 4603. A close below 4116 would signal lower.

_____________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2021 year. This portfolio has been marked to the market and restarted at $100,000 for the 2021 year.

The portfolio stocks traded up this week on a reaction to the administration tax proposals and ended the week 4% higher at approximately $129,000, up 29% for the 2021 YTD.  The portfolio had a brief touch of the $150,000 value in early March 2021, then a low of $100,000 a few weeks later and now back to approximately $130,000.

Logitech (LOGI), Horizon (HZNP) and Novavax (NVAX) will be replaced with NIO Inc. (NIO), United Microelectronics (UMC) and Willams Sonoma (WSM) on Monday at the open.

 

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

 

US$$

#usdollarfutures  #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM21

Weekly – Testing the support of the new uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bearish.

Daily – In a new move up below the 200 day MA. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 91.34 which would trigger a new daily move up.

A close below 90.50 would signal a resumption of the move down.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – In the December 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone.

Daily – Flat. In the retracement move up from the 156-00 low pivot. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 157-16, looking for a breakout above the 157-19 trend line.

A close below 155-26 would signal lower.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLM21

Weekly – Consolidating at the 64.28 target. The 2019-2020 trendline is broken to the upside. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Couldn’t get short with the conflict in the weekly and the daily. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 65.76.

A close below 61.00 would signal lower.

 

NAT GAS_ NGM21

Weekly – Testing the December 20202 downtrend resistance. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 2.78 level. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 3.06.

A close below 2.77 would signal lower.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGN21

Weekly – In the June 20202 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 4.12 breakout in April. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 4.96.

A close below 4.41 would signal some retracement.

 

GOLD_ GCM21

Weekly – In the February downtrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. In the new uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 1773. Looking for a bullish reversal to get the daily in sync with the weekly.

The next target down is 1725.

 

SILVER_ SIN21

Weekly – Remains in the May 20202 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Long. In a new move up from the 25.87 April long entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The 200 day MA support is at 25.50. look for a bullish reversal to get long.

A close below 25.00 would signal lower. Use this level as a stop for any long entry.

Navellier Top 5 Stocks for May

The following is provided by Navellier with technical comment from South Ocean Management – pls do your own due diligence.
(For this 2021 year, SOM will track only the Top 5 Hi-Growth Investments.)

https://navelliergrowth.investorplace.com/

Navellier says,

High-Growth Investments

The Boston Beer Company, Inc.

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) is stealing the hard seltzer show, as robust demand for its Truly Hard Seltzer and Twisted Tea brands helped the company post blowout earnings and sales results for its first quarter. In fact, the company noted that the hard seltzer brand grabbed another seven percentage points of market share, with Truly Hard Seltzer now accounting for 40% of the market.

For the first quarter, SAM achieved earnings of $65.6 million, or $5.26 per share, and revenue of $545.1 million. That represented 259.6% year-over-year earnings growth and 64.9% year-over-year revenue growth. The consensus estimate called for earnings of $2.61 per share on $477.28 million in revenue, so SAM beat earnings estimates by a whopping 101.5% and revenue forecasts by 14.2%.

SAM also provided solid forward-looking guidance: The company expects to achieve annual earnings growth between 41.7% and 67.4% in 2021. This outlook coupled with the first-quarter results inspired the analyst community to up second-quarter and full-year earnings estimates over the past week. SAM is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $1,412.

SOM Technicals:

3-27-21: Closed at 1159.99. Trade pressures are neutral. Volumes are  bullish. Testing resistance. The next target up is 1236.

04-03-21: Closed at 1184.68. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bearish. the next target down is 1145.

04-10-21: Closed at 1253.10. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 1273.15.

04-16-21: Closed at 1294.93. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 1368.45.

04-24-21: Closed at 1283.90. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral. The next target up is 1368.

05-01-21: Closed at 1216.49. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral. the next target down is 1129.51.

05-08-21: Closed at 1115.15. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 993.28.

05-14-21: Closed at 1108.42. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 993.26.

05-22-21: Closed at 1045.39. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 993.26.

 

FUTU Holdings Ltd.

FUTU Holdings Ltd. (FUTU) has benefited from the influx of new retail investors over the past year. You may recall that when we added FUTU to the Growth Investor Buy List in March, I noted that the number of retail investors doubled from the start of 2020 until the end of the year. Many of these investors have utilized commission-free platforms like Robinhood here in the U.S.

FUTU is the “Robinhood of China,” as it offers a brokerage and wealth management platform in Hong Kong and China, as well as the U.S. Primarily, FUTU’s main platform, Futubull, allows investors to trade stocks in several markets, as well as access real-time stock prices, financial news and other market data. The company had 516,721 paying clients and 1.42 million registered clients at the end of 2020.

FUTU has been posting blowout quarterly results. Back in March, the company revealed a 281.6% year-over-year increase in fourth-quarter revenue and an 880% year-over-year increase in earnings per ADS. FUTU also achieved 712.5% annual earnings growth and 213.3% annual revenue growth in 2020. FUTU is an Aggressive buy below $199.

SOM Technicals:

03-27-21: Closed at 114.69. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 131.56.

04-03-21: Closed at 153.60. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 186.42.

04-10-21: Closed at 156.70. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 186.42.

04-16-21: Closed at 153.01. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral. Consolidating at the 153 target. 

04-24-21: Closed at 143.81. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral. The net target up is the 188.39 level. 

05-01-21: Closed at 148.78. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. Support is at 129.10.

05-08-21: Closed at 130.00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. At support. The 200 day MA is below at 76.79.

05-08-21: Closed at 118.89. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 73.77.

05-22-21: Closed at 123.99. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 73.77.

 

Nio, Inc.

Nio, Inc. (NIO) is a “next-generation car company,” as it is designs and manufactures electric vehicles (EVs) that utilize the latest technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence (AI). The company currently offers an electric seven-seater SUV (ES8) and a five-seater electric SUV (ES6), and recently introduced an attractive electric sedan (ET7).

On Thursday afternoon, the Chinese EV manufacturer revealed that it shipped 4,516 of its ES8s, 8,088 of its ES6s and 7,456 of its EC6s during the first quarter of fiscal year 2021. That represented a total of 20,060 vehicles, or a 422.7% year-over-year increase.

Total first-quarter vehicle sales surged 489.8% year-over-year to RMB7,405.8 million, or $1.13 billion in U.S. dollar terms. Total first-quarter revenue also jumped 481.8% year-over-year to RMB7,982.3 million. In U.S. dollar terms, NIO achieved total revenue of $1.22 billion, which beat estimates for $1.02 billion.

NIO also reported an adjusted first-quarter earnings loss of $0.04 per share, which was up from an earnings per share loss of $0.25 in the same quarter a year ago. Analysts were expecting an earnings per share loss of $0.16, so NIO posted a 300% earnings surprise.

Looking forward to the second quarter, NIO expects to deliver between 21,000 and 22,000 vehicles, or a 103% to 113% year-over-year increase. Total revenue is forecast to be between $1.24 billion and $1.30 billion, or 119% to 128.7% year-over-year revenue growth. NIO is an Aggressive buy below $53.

SOM Technicals:

05-01-21: Closed at 39.84. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bullish. Sitting on the 200 day MA at 36.30 as support.

05-08-21: Closed at 36.94. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. Now at  the 20 day MA support levels.

05-14-21: Closed at 33.42. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 30.71.

05-22-21: Closed at 34.06. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. Consolidating at the 200 day MA.

 

United Microelectronics Corporation

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) is a well-known semiconductor company, as it develops and manufactures integrated circuits (ICs), with a specific focus on logic and specialty technologies. The company’s wafers are utilized by every corner of the electronics industry. It has 12 fabrication facilities throughout Asia and manufactures more than 750,000 eight-inch wafers monthly.

Just this week, UMC revealed that it plans to expand production capacity to help overcome the current semiconductor shortage. Continuing demand for wafers and chips associated with smartphones, digital TVs and set top boxes is expected to still outpace supplies in the second quarter and possibly throughout the rest of 2021. As a result, UMC plans to invest $3.6 billion to expand its production capacity over the next three years.

How strong has demand been for UMC? Well, company management noted that UMC experienced “robust wafer demand” during the first quarter, with shipments reaching 2.37 million—and that certainly added to its top and bottom lines.

UMC achieved first-quarter earnings of $0.15 per share and revenue of $1.65 billion. The analyst community was expecting earnings of $0.06 per share on $1.57 billion in revenue, so UMC posted a whopping 150% earnings surprise and a 5.1% revenue surprise. UMC is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $11.

SOM Technicals:

05-01-21: Closed at 9.92. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next support level is 9.50.

05-08-21: Closed at 9.65. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral. The next target up is 10.75, the upper median line.

05-14-21: Closed at 8.57. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. the next target down is 7.99.

05-22-21: Closed at 8.43. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 8.71.

 

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM) was added to the High-Growth Investments Buy List in the April Growth Investor Monthly Issue. The company is one of the most well-known and largest retailers of home furnishings and cookware in the U.S., as well as in Australia, Canada, Puerto Rico and the U.K. In fact, it operates several popular brands, including Williams-Sonoma, Pottery Barn, Pottery Barn Kids, Pottery Barn Teen, West Elm, Williams Sonoma Home, Rejuvenation and Mark and Graham.

Like our new additions of RH and Tempur Sealy International, Williams-Sonoma is benefiting from the housing boom and folks nesting at home. As a result, the analyst community has increased earnings estimates over the past three months and now expects Williams-Sonoma’s first-quarter earnings to more than double.

Williams-Sonoma isn’t expected to announce first-quarter results until late May. Currently, analysts are expecting first-quarter earnings of $1.75 per share on $1.51 billion in revenue. That’s up from earnings of $0.74 per share and revenue of $1.08 billion in the first quarter of 2020. Earnings estimates have been increased by 46%, so a fifth-straight quarterly earnings surprise may be in the offing. WSM is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $201.

SOM Technicals:

05-01-21: Closed at 170.75. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 155.93.

05-08-21: Closed at 186.70.Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. Next target up is the prior high at 188.23.

05-14-21: Closed at 171.77. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are  bearish. The next target down is 162.39.

05-22-21: Closed at 163.00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. At the 162.39 downside target.

 

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures_

Copper is leading the equity market now, Gold and silver have pulled back but look to move higher.

Crude Oil is in a new short trade but not supported in the higher time frames. Natural gas is in a new uptrend. but no obvious long entry.

The US 30 Year Treasury is rallying, but weekly pressures are still down..

The US Dollar futures look lower.

______________________

S&P 500 Futures_

Monthly – Another intraday high. Trade pressures are are up. Volumes closed the month of May as bullish. The next target up is 4388. A close below 3718 would confirm any weekly mover lower.

Weekly – Still in the move up from the October 3550 long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4638. A close below 3900 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – In the move up from the March 3786 long entry. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4200. A close below 4097 would signal lower.

_____________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2021 year. This portfolio has been marked to the market and restarted at $100,000 for the 2021 year.

The portfolio stocks traded down this week on a reaction to the administration tax proposals and ended the week 5% lower at approximately $125,000, up 25% for the 2021 YTD.  The portfolio had a brief touch of the $150,000 value in early March and a low of $100,000 a few weeks later.

 

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

 

US$$

#usdollarfutures  #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM21

Weekly – In a new uptrend at 93.50 and pulling back to test the move., Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Remains in the three week move down. Trade pressures are  down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 90.34.

A close above 91.32 would signal higher.

 

US 30 YR T-BONDS_ USM21

Weekly – In the December 20202 downtrend. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the April move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 158.27.

A close below 158-05 would signal lower.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLM21

Weekly – Consolidating a the 64.28 upside target. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Short. Closed below the 61,68 short entry. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

The daily trade pressures are rising, so look for a reversal in the lower time frame trade pressures for a better short entry. The next target down is 59.00.

A close above the upper median line would signal a reversal. Use that level as the stop. This trade has no weekly support so keep tight stops.

 

NAT GAS NGM21

Weekly – The 2019 downtrend resumed in December of 2020. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Below the 200 day MA and in a new uptrend. Trade pressures are up but declining towards thee neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is the 200 day MA at 2.98.

A close below 2.65 would restart the move down.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGK21

Weekly – Remains in the June 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 4.03 long entry and at the 4.28 target. Trade pressures are up and trending.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 4.49.

A close below 4.11 would signal lower.

 

GOLD_ GCM21

Weekly – In the Feb 2021 downtrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Pulling back inside the move p. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are bearish.

the next target down is 1746.

Look for a bullish reversal to get back in sync with the weekly. The 25×5 should be that level foe a new long. A close below 1745 would signal lower.

 

SILVER_ SIK21

Weekly – In the May 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Long. Long from 25.31. Pulling back inside the move up. Trade pressures are up but reversing.

Look for a bullish reversal in the daily for the next move up. The next target up is the prior high at 26.73.

Trade stops are set at 25.55. A close below the 200 day moving average would signal lower.

[4-28-21: Take profits @ 26.02, and roll to the July contract on a pull back.]