Author: ChasW

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures_

Copper long was stopped out and moved short. Gold and silver are looking for direction.

Crude oil is in the move up. Natural gas is short but has not followed thru.

The US 30 Year Treasury is long and having a nice move up.

The US Dollar futures tried to move higher and reversed.

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S&P 500 Futures_

Monthly – Remains in this long move up from the Mar 2020 sell off. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of May as bullish. The next target up is 4366. A close below 37780 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – In the move up from the November 3550 long entry level. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4638. A close below 3935 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – In the July 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes remain bullish. The next target up is a break of resistance at 4248. a close below the prior low at 4169 would signal lower.

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Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2021 year. This portfolio has been marked to the market and restarted at $100,000 for the 2021 year.

The portfolio stocks traded up into the weekend and ended the week up at approximately $129,000, up 29% for the 2021 YTD.  The portfolio had a brief touch of the $150,000 value in early March 2021, then a low of $100,000 a few weeks later, now grinding higher once again.

NIO Inc. (NIO) will replace Williams Sonoma (WSM) at the open on Monday Morning.

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures  #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXU21

Weekly – In the weekly uptrend but testing the support. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Closed above the new long entry, but then reversed the next day. Trade pressures are up but now declining. Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 91.43.

A close below the low pivot at 89.52 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USU21

Weekly – In the Dec 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 155-22 entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 158-11.

[6-9-21: Take profits at 158-23.]

A close below155-29 would signal lower. use this level as the stop.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLN21

Weekly – In the December up trend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the move up from the long entry at 65.77. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 74.23.

A close below would 68.39 would signal lower.

 

NAT GAS_ NGN21

Weekly – In the Dec 2020 downtrend, Trade pressures are up but near the neutral zone.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the 3.01 short entry. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

The next target  down is 2.80.

A close above 3.20 would signal higher and should be used as the stop.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGN21

Weekly – Remains in the long uptrend from June 2020. Trade pressures are up but now declining. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. The long trade failed and closed below the support level. Trade pressures are down hard. Volumes are bearish.

Wait for a bearish reversal to take the short.

[6-7-21: short at 4.52.]

A close above 4.61 would signal higher. Use as stop

[06-10-21: lower stops to the breakeven at 4.52.]

 

GOLD_ GCQ21

Weekly – In the May 2021 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Gold has bounced off the 1858 support. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is the new short trigger at 1845.

A close above 1915 would signal higher.

 

SILVER_ SIN21

Weekly – Remains in the drift to the right. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Flat. But testing the new short entry at 27.20. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bullish.

At the 23×5 support level a break below would test he 200 day MA at 25.95.

A close above 27.95 would trigger a short term retracement up to 28.32.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

flat. Gold

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures_

Copper tested support and is moving higher to retest the highs. Gold is at multiple resistances. Silver keeps moving to the right.

Crude oil has also tested the support and is looking higher. Nat Gas is in a new move down.

The US 30YR Treasuries are in a new move up.

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S&P500 Futures_

Monthly – In the May 2020 move up from 2823. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of April as bullish. The next target up is 4366. A close below 3770 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – In the move from the November 3550 long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are  bullish. The next target up is 4638. A close below 3935 would confirm any Daily move lower.

Daily – Flat. The prior short was stopped out with a loss. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4293. A close below 4186 would signal lower.

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Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2021 year. This portfolio has been marked to the market and restarted at $100,000 for the 2021 year.

The portfolio stocks traded up this week and ended the week higher at approximately $123,000, up 23% for the 2021 YTD.  The portfolio had a brief touch of the $150,000 value in early March 2021, then a low of $100,000 a few weeks later, now grinding higher once again.

BioNTech (BNTX), Restoration Hardware (RH) and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) will replace NIO Inc. (NIO), United Microelectronics (UMC) and Boston Beer (SAM) at the open on Tuesday Morning.

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures  #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM21

Weekly – In the March uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Testing the Feb 2021 low pivot. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is is the new long entry at 90.46.

The next target down is 89.56.

 

US 30YR T-BOND_ USU21

Weekly – Remains in the Dec 2020 down trend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 155.-22 long entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral.

Look for a bullish reversal to get long.

A close below 155-23 would signal lower.

 

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLN21

Weekly – Remains in the December uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the new move  up from the 65.77 long entry. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 74.23.

A close below 65.83 would signal lower.

 

NAT GAS_ NGN21

Weekly – Remains in the Dec 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Short. The resistance line is nearby. Trade pressures are up but reversing. Volumes are bearish.

In the move down from 3.04. The next target down is 2.80.

The next target up would be the down trend line at 3.22 and would signal higher if broken.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGN21

Weekly – In the June 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Long. The 4.64 level triggered the new long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 4.78.

A close below 4.52 would reverse the trade.

 

GOLD_ GCQ21

Weekly – A new May uptrend is established. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 5/14 1832 long entry level. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 1959.

A close below 1842 would signal lower.

 

SILVER_ SIN21

Weekly – Rising in the long May 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the April long entry price of 25.16. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 29.50.

A close below 27.23 would signal a move lower.

Navellier Top 5 Stocks for June

The following is provided by Navellier with technical comment from South Ocean Management – pls do your own due diligence.
(For this 2021 year, SOM will track only the Top 5 Hi-Growth Investments.)

https://navelliergrowth.investorplace.com/

Navellier says,

High-Growth Investments

BioNTech SE

BioNTech SE (BNTX) was a new addition to the High-Growth Investments Buy List in the May Growth Investor Monthly Issue. BioNTech is a biotechnology company that’s primarily focused on developing treatments for cancer. Since its founding in 2008, the company has developed more than 20 products and treated more than 440 patients with 17 different tumors.

Aside from its pipeline of cancer immunotherapies, BioNTech has also collaborated with Pfizer to develop vaccines using its mRNA platform for influenza and COVID-19. It recently announced that it will supply an additional 600 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to the European Union (EU). BioNTech has already shipped more than 450 million doses of its vaccine around the world, and it has agreements for more than 1.8 billion doses for 2021.

As a result, BioNTech recently posted blowout results for its first quarter in fiscal year 2021. Total sales surged to 2.05 billion euros, up from 27.7 million euros in the first quarter of 2020. First-quarter earnings per share came in at $5.35, which crushed analysts’ expectations for $3.76 per share by 42.3%.

Thanks to the stunning quarterly results, the analyst community has upped second-quarter earnings estimates by a whopping 204% in the past two months. Second-quarter earnings are now forecast to soar 2,122.2% year-over-year to $9.10 per share. BNTX is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $266.

SOM Technicals:

05-28-21: Closed at  204.00. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 213.15, the prior high.

06-05-21: Closed at 233.29. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 266.93.

06-10-21: Closed at 242.00. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. the next target up is 235.26

06=20-21: Closed at 211.96. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. the next target up is 229.25.

 

Futu Holdings Ltd.

Futu Holdings Ltd. (FUTU), or the “Robinhood of China,” operates a brokerage and wealth management platform in Hong Kong and China, as well as in the U.S. The company has benefited immensely from a surge in retail investors over the past year. According to China Securities Depository and Clearing, there were 18.02 million new investors in China in 2020. That brought the total of Chinese investors to 177.77 million. And based on FUTU’s recent results, a lot of these new investors were trading stocks on online brokerage platforms.

FUTU added 273,000 paying users during its first quarter in fiscal year 2021, which brought its total paying client base to 790,000. That represents a 231% year-over-year increase. FUTU also noted that it now has about 1.96 million registered clients and a total of 14.2 million users.

First-quarter revenue soared 349.4% year-over-year to HK$2.2 billion, and adjusted earnings per share surged 634% year-over-year to HK$1.18 billion. In U.S. dollar terms, FUTU reported revenue of $283.6 million and earnings of $151.7 million. Earnings per ADS jumped 557% to $1.03. FUTU is an Aggressive buy below $193.

SOM Technicals:

03-27-21: Closed at 114.69. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 131.56.

04-03-21: Closed at 153.60. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 186.42.

04-10-21: Closed at 156.70. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 186.42.

04-16-21: Closed at 153.01. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral. Consolidating at the 153 target. 

04-24-21: Closed at 143.81. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral. The net target up is the 188.39 level. 

05-01-21: Closed at 148.78. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. Support is at 129.10.

05-08-21: Closed at 130.00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. At support. The 200 day MA is below at 76.79.

05-08-21: Closed at 118.89. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 73.77.

05-22-21: Closed at 123.99. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 73.77.

05.28-21: Closed at 142.27. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 158.46.

06-05-21: Closed at 154.70. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 188.10.

06-10-21: Closed at 142.99. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 125.98.

06-20-21: Closed at 154.34. Trade pressures are up into  the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. the next target up is 178.48.

 

Nio, Inc.

Nio, Inc. (NIO) is a Chinese company that develops electric vehicles (EVs) with the latest technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence. I’m convinced that NIO will eventually displace Tesla as the biggest manufacturer of EVs in China. Remember, the Chinese government has invested billions in NIO, so its success is virtually guaranteed.

Based on the company’s recent results, NIO is already starting to grab a bigger piece of the EV pie in China. NIO shipped a total of 20,060 vehicles during the first quarter, or a 422.7% year-over-year increase. Total first-quarter vehicle sales surged 498.8% year-over-year to $1.13 billion.

NIO also reported an adjusted first-quarter earnings loss of $0.04 per share and total revenue of $1.22 billion. The consensus estimate called for a first-quarter earnings per share loss of $0.16 and total revenue of $1.02 billion.

Looking forward to the second quarter, NIO expects to deliver between 21,000 and 22,000 vehicles, or a 103% to 113% year-over-year increase. Total second-quarter revenue is forecast to be between $1.24 billion and $1.30 billion, or 119% to 128.7% year-over-year revenue growth. NIO is an Aggressive buy below $52.

SOM Technicals:

05-01-21: Closed at 39.84. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bullish. Sitting on the 200 day MA at 36.30 as support.

05-08-21: Closed at 36.94. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. Now at  the 20 day MA support levels.

05-14-21: Closed at 33.42. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 30.71.

05-22-21: Closed at 34.06. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. Consolidating at the 200 day MA.

05-28-21: Closed at 38.62. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 46.93.

06-05-21: Closed at 41.94. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are now neutral. Support is at 39.14.

06-10-21: Closed at 42.75. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 35.82.

06-20-21: Closed at 46.91. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 63.15.

RH

RH (RH), or Restoration Hardware, was also added to the High-Growth Investments Buy List in the May Monthly Issue. If you recall, the company offers luxury home furnishings, including furniture, rugs, lighting and textiles. And its business has been booming amidst the global pandemic with more folks at home nesting or remodeling their living spaces.

RH is expected to release results for its first quarter in fiscal year 2021 in early June, and it’s shaping up to be another record quarter for the company.

The current consensus estimate calls for earnings of $4.06 per share on $755.12 million in revenue, which represents 219.7% year-over-year earnings growth and 57.1% year-over-year revenue growth. Earnings estimates have also been revised 32.7% higher in the past three months, so a fifth-straight quarterly earnings surprise is likely. RH is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $743.

SOM Technicals:

05-28-21: Closed at 641.06. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 673.65.

06-05-21: Closed at 613.22. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 551.26.

06-10-21: Closed at 707.14. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral, but high. The next target up is the prior high of 733.05.

06-20-21: Closed at 653.42. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 620.71.

 

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is the largest contract semiconductor manufacturer in the world, as it holds approximately 56% of the foundry business for manufacturing chips. The company has big-name clients, like Apple and Qualcomm, and right now, it is profiting from the global chip shortage, which it anticipates will persist into 2022.

The relentless demand for semiconductors this year has driven stunning top- and bottom-line growth for TSM. During its first quarter in fiscal year 2021, TSM achieved earnings of NT$139.7 billion and revenue of NT$362.4 billion, which represented 19% year-over-year earnings growth and 17% year-over-year revenue growth.

In U.S. dollar terms, first-quarter earnings were $4.93 billion, and revenue was $12.92 billion. First-quarter earnings per ADR jumped 28% year-over-year to $0.96. The consensus estimate called for earnings of $0.95 per ADR and revenue of $12.86 billion, so TSM posted a 1.05% earnings surprise and a slight revenue surprise.

For the second quarter, TSM expects total revenue between $12.9 billion and $13.2 billion. That represents 24.3% to 27.2% year-over-year revenue growth—and the forecast is in line with analysts’ current estimates for $13.06 billion. TSM is a Conservative buy below $131.

SOM Technicals:

05-28-21: Closed at 117.36. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. the next target up is 132.75.

06-05-21: Closed at 119.51. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 132.75.

06-10-21: Closed at 118.24. Trade pressures are just up and out of the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 132.75.

06-20-21: Closed at 115.79. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 117.02.

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures_

Copper is moving down with the equity markets. Gold and silver both rallying on inflation concerns.

Crude oil testing the recovery highs. Natural gas runs into resistance at the 3.22 level.

US 30YR Treasuries are in a consolidation after a long move down.

The US Dollar futures are in a similar consolidation after a move down.

____________________

S&P 500 Futures_

Monthly – No new high. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of April as bullish. The next target up is 4366. A close below 3770 would confirm nay weekly move lower.

Weekly – In the November move up from 3550. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4638. A close below 3935 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the 4143 short entry price. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 4004. A close above 4185 would signal a resumption of the move up.

____________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2021 year. This portfolio has been marked to the market and restarted at $100,000 for the 2021 year.

The portfolio stocks traded down this week and ended the week lower at approximately $115,000, up 15% for the 2021 YTD.  The portfolio had a brief touch of the $150,000 value in early March 2021, then a low of $100,000 a few weeks later.

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]