Author: ChasW

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGU21

Weekly – In the June 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are near support. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Moved up to the new long entry at 4.33 but was rejected. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 3.96.

The next target up is a new long entry at 4.33.

 

GOLD_ GCQ21

Weekly – Still testing support. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the 1845 short entry on 6/15. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 1739.

A close above 1784 would signal higher.

 

SILVER_ SIU21

Weekly – The last two weeks have been trending lower but still in the uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down form the 27.30 short entry on 6/17. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 24.82.

A close above 26.38 would signal higher.

 

Navellier Top Stocks for July

The following is provided by Navellier with technical comment from South Ocean Management – pls do your own due diligence.
(For this 2021 year, SOM will track only the Top 5 Hi-Growth Investments.)

https://navelliergrowth.investorplace.com/

High-Growth Investments

BioNTech

BioNTech (BNTX) shares have rallied impressively recently, rising 13% in the past month and 9% in the past week alone. The reality is that there’s been a lot of positive buzz surrounding the biotech company recently. You may recall that BioNTech developed a COVID-19 vaccine with Pfizer (PFE), and it has shipped more than 450 million doses of this vaccine around the world.

This week, New Zealand announced that it has granted provisional approval for the BioNTech-Pfizer vaccine for children aged 12 to 15 years of age. The vaccine was also approved by Switzerland for use in this age group at the beginning of the month. Clinical trials have shown that the vaccine has a 100% efficiency in this age group.

Given the success of its COVID-19 vaccine, BioNTech is looking to reward its shareholders further. The company revealed this week that it is considering a dividend as early as next year. BioNTech expects to determine the final dividend amount and distribution schedule at the company’s Annual General Meeting next year. In the meantime, BNTX is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $272.

SOM Technicals:

05-28-21: Closed at  204.00. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 213.15, the prior high.

06-05-21: Closed at 233.29. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 266.93.

06-10-21: Closed at 242.00. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. the next target up is 235.26

06-20-21: Closed at 211.96. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. the next target up is 229.25.

06-29-21: Closed at 228.43. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. Support is 221.21.

07-03-21: Closed at 224.00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. The support level at 221 is holding.

07-10-21: Closed at 217.40. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target u is the resistance at 224.16.

07-15-21: Closed at 221.08. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 252.78, the prior high.

 

Futu Holdings Limited

Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) continues to earn a spot on the Top 5 Stocks list for its fourth-straight month, as the online brokerage and wealth management firm attracts more and more attention. Case in point, institutional investors have been loading up on the stock, as evidenced by its A Quantitative grade and thanks to its strong fundamentals.

Online trading platforms like Futu’s Futubull have grown in popularity over the past year amidst the rise in retail investors. In fact, the company experienced a 70% surge in users during the first quarter, with 14.2 million users worldwide now. Paying clients also soared, jumping 231% year-over-year to nearly 790,000.

But the company is far from sitting on its laurels. Futu has international expansion plans, and it added about 100,000 paying clients in Singapore in only three months. The company also recently noted that approximately one-fourth of its new paying clients in the first quarter were from Singapore and the U.S. As Futu continues to expand around the world, it should add nicely to the company’s top and bottom lines. FUTU is an Aggressive buy below $230.

SOM Technicals:

03-27-21: Closed at 114.69. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 131.56.

04-03-21: Closed at 153.60. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 186.42.

04-10-21: Closed at 156.70. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 186.42.

04-16-21: Closed at 153.01. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral. Consolidating at the 153 target. 

04-24-21: Closed at 143.81. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral. The net target up is the 188.39 level. 

05-01-21: Closed at 148.78. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. Support is at 129.10.

05-08-21: Closed at 130.00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. At support. The 200 day MA is below at 76.79.

05-08-21: Closed at 118.89. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 73.77.

05-22-21: Closed at 123.99. Trade pressures are up but turning down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 73.77.

05.28-21: Closed at 142.27. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 158.46.

06-05-21: Closed at 154.70. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 188.10.

06-10-21: Closed at 142.99. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 125.98.

06-20-21: Closed at 154.34. Trade pressures are up into  the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. the next target up is 178.48.

06-29-21: Closed at 177.60. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. the next target up is 178.47.

07-03-21: Closed at 162.20. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down  is 142.41.

07-10-21: Closed at 139.70. Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 133.21.

07-15-21: Closed at 134.80. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volu mes are now neutral. The next target down is 103.39.

 

Generac Holdings, Inc.

Generac Holdings, Inc. (GNRC) is the number-one manufacturer of home backup generators, which are marketed under the Guardian brand. In addition to its home backup generators, the company also offers portable generators, pressure washers, water pumps, transfer switches and other parts and accessories. And the company has developed its own clean energy power storage system, PWRcell, that stores energy from solar panels or the electric grid.

Earlier this year, Generac unveiled the location of its first manufacturing plant and distribution facility outside of Wisconsin. The company is building a plant in Edgefield County, South Carolina, and it is expected to be operational in July. Company management stated, “With significant demand for Generac products across the country, we’re excited to expand our operation capacity to accommodate the increased interest in residential power systems.”

GNRC shares have been charging higher, up 21% in June, as strong residential demand for generators and other clean energy products have attracted investors’ attention and added to the company’s top and bottom lines. For the second quarter, earnings are forecast to jump 64.3% year-over-year to $2.30 per share, and sales are expected to increase 57.9% year-over-year to $863.41 million. GNRC is a Conservative buy below $439.

SOM Technicals:

06-29-21: Closed at 110.42. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes ae bullish. The next target up is 428.78.

07-03-21: Closed at 415.20. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 428.78.

07-10-21: Closed at 436.37. Trade pressures are up but pointing down. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 462.36.

07-15-21: Closed at 432.86. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. The next target down is 418.65

 

Johnson Controls International

Johnson Controls International (JCI) was a new addition to the High-Growth Investments Buy List in the June Monthly Issue. If you recall, the company provides the building products, services, software and technology necessary to make buildings “smarter” and function better for the people who live, work, learn and play in them. JCI has more than four million customers in more than 150 countries, as well as operates in nearly 2,000 locations worldwide.

During its second quarter in fiscal year 2021, Johnson Controls reported adjusted earnings of $0.52 per share and total sales of $5.6 billion, which represented 24% year-over-year earnings growth and 3% year-over-year sales growth. The company also topped earnings estimates by 6.1%.

Thanks to the strong quarterly results and positive outlook, analysts have increased third-quarter estimates over the past few months. For its third quarter in fiscal year 2021, earnings are forecast to grow 23.9% year-over-year to $0.83 per share, and sales are expected to come in at $6.23 billion. JCI is a Conservative buy below $72.

SOM Technicals:

06-29-21: Closed at 68.24. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 62.82. the next target up is 68.33.

07-03-21: Closed at 69.18. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 75.00.

07-10-21: Closed at 70.06. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 75.12.

07-15-21: Closed at 70.12. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 75.12.

 

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) was the topic of an interesting article in The Wall Street Journal recently. The article noted that the Taiwanese company is responsible for manufacturing nearly all of the world’s semiconductors, as billions of products utilize its chips. Capital Economics estimates that TSM makes approximately 92% of the most sophisticated chips in the world.

Companies like Apple and Qualcomm rely heavily on TSM to manufacture the semiconductors for their products. Consider this: TSM develops about 1.4 billion smartphone processors and approximately 60% of the microcontrollers necessary for automated vehicles.

So, it’s no wonder that the company continues to achieve double-digit earnings and sales growth. For the second quarter, the current consensus estimate calls for earnings of $0.91 per share on $13.05 billion in sales, or 16.7% year-over-year earnings growth and 25.6% year-over-year sales growth. Analysts’ earnings estimates have remained steady over the past few months, but TSM has a history of positive earnings surprises. TSM is a Conservative buy below $130.

SOM Technicals:

05-28-21: Closed at 117.36. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. the next target up is 132.75.

06-05-21: Closed at 119.51. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 132.75.

06-10-21: Closed at 118.24. Trade pressures are just up and out of the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 132.75.

06-20-21: Closed at 115.79. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target up is 117.02.

06-29-21: Closed at 119.96. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 123.20.

07-03-21: Closed at 118.91. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 115.77.

07-10-21: Closed at 120.56. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 120.97.

07-15-21: Closed at 117.53. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The  next target down is 106.62.

 

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures_

Copper drops with the equity markets but fails to rally Monday. Gold rallies small at support. Silver still has selling pressures.

Crude oil moves higher. Natural gas is backtesting the prior week’s breakout.

The US 30 year Treasury bonds sells off with the dollar.

The US Dollar futures give back some of the three day rally.

___________________

S&P 500 Futures_

Monthly – A spinning top so fa this month. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of May as bullish. The next target  up is 4366. A close below 3766 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – In the November move up from the 3524 long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish. The next target up is 4599. A close below 3992 would confirm any Daily move lower.

Daily – A new move lower has been triggered with the close below 4163. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 4068. A close above 4229 would signal higher. Monday’s rally is a back test of the break down. Look for a bearish reversal of the trade pressures to short.

____________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2021 year. This portfolio has been marked to the market and restarted at $100,000 for the 2021 year.

The portfolio stocks traded mixed into Monday and ended the week at approximately $131,000, up 31% for the 2021 YTD.  The portfolio had a brief touch of the $150,000 value in early March 2021, then a low of $100,000 a few weeks later, now grinding higher once again.

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures  #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXU21

Weekly – Tested the March uptrend support at 89.00 and it held. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – The June 16th FED meeting triggered a dollar rally. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 93.09.

A close below 91.40 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USU21

Weekly – Testing the resistance of the November 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 155.22 long entry. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 158-31.

A close above 161-00 would signal higher.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLQ21

Weekly – In the December uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the new 72.36 long entry. Trade pressures are turning up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 75.22.

A close below 70.00 would signal lower.

 

NAT GAS_ NGN21

Weekly – In the new weekly uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 2.85 April long entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down  is 2.95.

A close above 3.22 would signal higher.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGN21

Weekly – Moving to the support levels at 3.80. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the 4.75 short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 4.03.

A close above 4.36 would restart the move up.

 

GOLD_ GCQ21

Weekly – Testing support at 1723. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – In the move down from 1845. Trade pressures are down and trending. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 1738.

A close above 1849 would signal higher.

 

SILVER_ SIN21

Weekly – Support is at 23.84. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily -In the move down from 27.23. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 24.78.

A close above 27.80 would signal higher.

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures_

Copper in the short trade with a breakeven stop. Gold and Silver are choppy.

Crude oil continues the move up. The natural gas short is going against the trade.

The US Treasury long was closed but the move continues.

The US Dollar futures are basing and may stage a retracement up.

_____________________

S&P 500 Futures_

Monthly – Remains near the highs. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of May as bullish. The next target up is 4366. A close below 3770 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – In the move up from the November 3550 long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are  bullish. The next target up is 4638. A close below 3935 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – In the long recovery move up from the March 2020 lows. In the second leg up from the November re-entry at 3515. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish. The next target up is 4546. A close below 4171 would signal lower.

____________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2021 year. This portfolio has been marked to the market and restarted at $100,000 for the 2021 year.

The portfolio stocks traded up into the weekend and ended the week up at approximately $132,000, up 32% for the 2021 YTD.  The portfolio had a brief touch of the $150,000 value in early March 2021, then a low of $100,000 a few weeks later, now grinding higher once again.

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

 

US$$

#usdollarfutures  #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXU21

Weekly – Pressing hard on the uptrend support. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Basing in this move down. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. Approaching a Late June decision point.

The next target down is 86.13.

A close above 90.47 would signal a retracement of this downtrend to the 200 day MA at 91.59.

 

US 30YRE T-BOND_ USU21

Weekly – Moving up in the December 2020 downtrend. Testing the resistance. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 155-22 long entry. Out of the trade at 158-23. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 161-04.

A close below 158-14 would signal a resumption of the move down.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE CLN21

Weekly – In the December 20202 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the May move up from 65.77. Trade pressures are up and showing some divergence. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 74.23.

A close below 69.28 would signal lower.

 

NAT GAS_ NGN21

Weekly – Testing the resistance of the early December 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are just up out of the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the 3.01 short entry but is moving against the trade.. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 2.80.

Has moved up to resistance. A break this this would trigger the 3.22 stop.

[06-11-21: Triggered the stop for a loss in the premarket.]

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGN21

Weekly – In the June 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are up and near the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the 4.52 entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down  is 4.36. Take profits at the 4.36.

A close above 4.55 would signal higher. But use the 4.52 breakeven as the stop as weekly pressures are still up.

[06-11-21: Stopped out in the premarket for a breakeven.]

 

GOLD_ GCQ21

Weekly – In the Mat 2021 uptrend. Trade pressures are up but rolling over. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the May 17th long entry at 1847. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

Backtesting the breakout. the next target up is 2037.

A close below 1845 would signal a new short entry.

 

SILVER_ SIN21

Weekly – Rising in the July 2020 channel. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the April 2021 25.18 long entry. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 29.50.

A close below 26.82 would signal lower.