Author: ChasW

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures:

Copper is a short. Gold sells off hard to support levels. Silver follows gold.

Crude oil is back testing the July breakout. Natural Gas still looks higher.

The US 30 year Treasury has sold off hard as the jobs report signals improvement in the economy.

The US Dollar futures are sharply higher at the weekend on the same jobs report.

____________________

S&P 500 Futures_

Monthly – In the move up from 3810 in April 2020. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of July as bullish. The next target up is 5027. A close below 3965 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – In the move up from the 3924 entry in November 2020. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4599. A close below 4167 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – In the move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4548. A close below 4343 would signal lower.

____________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2021 year. This portfolio has been marked to the market and restarted at $100,000 for the 2021 year.

The portfolio stocks traded up ended the week at approximately $146,000, up 46% for the 2021 YTD.  The portfolio had a brief touch of the $150,000 value in early March 2021, then a low of $100,000 a few weeks later, now near 50% once again.

As of the open on Monday, august 2nd, Charles River (CRL), EPAM Systems (EPAM), and Tempur Sealy (TPX) have replaced BioNTech (BNTX), Futu Holdings (FUTU), and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM).

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

 

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXU21

Weekly – In the June uptrend. Trade pressures are up but rolling over. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – -In the  move down from the short entry at 92.20. Trade pressures are up after the jibs report. Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is the 200 day MA at 91.24.

A close above 93.01 would signa new uptrend.

 

US 30YR T-BOND_ USU21

Weekly – In the July uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 160-24 long entry on 7/2. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 167-24.

A close below 163-31 would signal lower.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLU21

Weekly – In the December 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 69.98 long entry. Trade pressures are are down and trending. Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 74.97.

A close below 67.61 would signal lower.

 

NAT GAS_ NGU21

Weekly – In the June uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 2.87 in the April uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 4.31.

A close below 4.08 would signal lower.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGU21

Weekly – In the long move in the June 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the 8/2 short entry at 4.42. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 4.22.

A close above 4.47 would signal higher and is the stop.

 

GOLD_ GCZ21

Weekly – Remains in the May 2021 uptrend, but testing support. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Long. Stopped out of the earlier trade and re-entered at 1765. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target  down is 1734.

The next target up is a new long entry at 1766, which would confirm the speculative long in place.

Set the sell stops at 1755.

[08-08-21: Sunday nite session. Stopped out immediately at 1755 on the open.]

 

SILVER_ SIU21

Weekly – In the May 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In move down from the May short entry at 27.27. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 22.27.

A close above 24.59 would signal higher.

Navellier Top 5 Stocks for August

The following is provided by Navellier with technical comment from South Ocean Management – pls do your own due diligence.
(For this 2021 year, SOM will track only the Top 5 Hi-Growth Investments.)

https://navelliergrowth.investorplace.com/

High-Growth Investments

Charles River Labs International

Charles River Labs International (CRL) is a global research company that offers basic research, drug discovery, non-clinical development, safety and efficacy testing, clinical support and manufacturing. It has more than 100 facilities in more than 20 countries around the globe, and it collaborates with leading academic, agrochemical, biotech, pharmaceutical and government organizations.

During fiscal year 2020, Charles River Labs experienced robust demand across its businesses, as the company provided services, products, models and screening tools to help biopharmaceuticals and biotechs in their COVID-19 efforts. The strong demand has carried over to 2021, with Charles River Labs achieving 37.5% year-over-year earnings growth and 16.6% year-over-year revenue growth in the first quarter. Analysts are expecting equally impressive results for the second quarter.

Charles River Labs is scheduled to report second-quarter results before the stock market opens on Wednesday, August 4. Analysts are looking for earnings of $2.38 per share on $880.65 million in revenue, which represents 50.6% year-over-year earnings growth and 37.3% year-over-year revenue growth. Analysts have also increased earnings estimates over the past three months, so a fifth-straight quarterly earnings surprise is likely. CRL is a Conservative buy below $437.

SOM Technicals:

08-07-21: Closed at 408.41. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. The next target down is 399.

08-14-21: Closed at 411.22. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 423.78.

08-21-21: Closed at 424.75. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is a break out above 427.

 

EPAM Systems, Inc.

EPAM Systems, Inc. (EPAM) is a software engineering services company that operates in more than 35 countries. Specifically, EPAM Systems helps businesses adapt, grow more agile and faster, and stay competitive amidst a constantly evolving digital world. So, it’s not too surprising that it has strategic partnerships with big-name corporations like Adobe, AWS, Google, Microsoft, Salesforce and SAP.

Given that the global pandemic accelerated digital transformation, EPAM Systems experienced a surge in new customers over the past 18 months—and that was apparent in the company’s first quarter of fiscal year 2021. EPAM achieved 26.6% year-over-year earnings growth and 19.9% year-over-year revenue growth.

Next Thursday, EPAM Systems is set to reveal another quarter of robust top- and bottom-line growth. Second-quarter earnings are forecast to rise 32.2% year-over-year to $1.93 per share, and revenue is expected to increase 36.1% year-over-year to $860.36 million. That compares to earnings of $1.46 per share and revenue of $632.38 million in the second quarter of 2020. Earnings estimates have also been upped by 11.6% in the past three months. EPAM is a Conservative buy below $599.

SOM Technicals:

08-07-21: Closed at 598.02. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 601.81.

08-14-21: Closed at 607.85. Trade pressures are up but rolling over. The next target up is the prior high at 618.57.

08-21-21: Closed at 630.11. Trade pressures are up but showing divergence. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 637.54.

 

Generac Holdings, Inc.

Generac Holdings, Inc. (GNRC) was the first company to develop an affordable generator for at-home use, and it has offered standby generators for residential use for more than 60 years. Today, the company is the leading manufacturer of home backup generators, and it also provides its own clean energy power storage system, PWRcell.

Strong residential demand for generators, as well as its other clean energy products, has driven incredible earnings and sales growth for the company this year. In fact, on Wednesday morning, Generac crushed analysts’ forecasts for the second quarter.

For the second quarter, Generac achieved total sales of $920 million, or 68% year-over-year growth and a new record for the company. The analyst community was expecting total sales of $863.41 million. Generac also reported adjusted second-quarter earnings of $153 million, or $2.39 per share, up from $88 million, or $1.40 per share in the second quarter of 2020. These results also represented a new record for Generac. Analysts were looking for adjusted earnings of $2.31 per share, so Generac posted a 3.5% earnings surprise.

Looking forward, Generac expects production of its residential standby generators to ramp up and to experience increased demand for its PWRcell energy storage systems. As a result, the company increased its outlook for fiscal year 2021. Full-year sales are now expected to grow between 47% and 50%, up from previous estimates for 40% to 45% annual sales growth. GNRC is a Conservative buy below $469.

SOM Technicals:

06-29-21: Closed at 110.42. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes ae bullish. The next target up is 428.78.

07-03-21: Closed at 415.20. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 428.78.

07-10-21: Closed at 436.37. Trade pressures are up but pointing down. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 462.36.

07-15-21: Closed at 432.86. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. The next target down is 418.65

08-07-21: Closed at 415.04. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 462.36.

08-14-21: Closed at 414.10. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 401.54.

08-21-21: Closed at 400.32. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 367.27.

 

Johnson Controls International

Johnson Controls International (JCI) delivers building products, services, software and technology, including HVAC equipment and controls, fire safety systems and energy storage systems. The company is dedicated to providing products and systems that offer sustainability, efficiency and cost savings. And, as a result, it has more than four million customers around the world.

This week, Johnson Controls achieved a significant milestone: It has now filed more than 200 U.S. utility patent applications for its OpenBlue Central Utility Plant offering. The company also received its 90th patent related to the OpenBlue Central Utility Plant product.

Then, this morning, Johnson Controls posted in-line earnings results for its third quarter in fiscal year 2021, but still upped its outlook for full-year 2021. Third-quarter sales rose 19% year-over-year to $6.3 billion and adjusted earnings jumped 24% year-over-year to $0.83 per share. Analysts were expecting earnings of $0.83 per share on $6.24 billion in sales.

Thanks to the solid results, Johnson Controls upped its full-year revenue and earnings outlook. Full-year revenue is expected to grow in the mid-single digits year-over-year and adjusted earnings per share are forecast to be between $2.64 and $2.66, or 18% to 19% annual earnings growth. JCI is a Conservative buy below $76.

SOM Technicals:

06-29-21: Closed at 68.24. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 62.82. the next target up is 68.33.

07-03-21: Closed at 69.18. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 75.00.

07-10-21: Closed at 70.06. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 75.12.

07-15-21: Closed at 70.12. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 75.12.

08-07-21: Closed at 72.07. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 75.12.

08-14-21: Closed at 72.82. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 75.12.

08-21-21: Closed at 73.40. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 75.12. 

 

Tempur Sealy International

Tempur Sealy International (TPX) is a popular provider of sleep solutions. Back in 2012, Tempur-Pedic International merged with Sealy to create a leading American manufacturer of mattresses and bedding solutions. Today, the company’s mattresses and bedding are sold around the world under a few well-known brands, including Tempur-Pedic, Sealy and Stearns & Foster.

The housing boom here in the U.S. has added significantly to Tempur Sealy’s top and bottom lines, as evidenced by the company’s most-recent quarterly report. On Thursday morning, Tempur Sealy released results for its second quarter in fiscal year 2021—and they were spectacular.

During the second quarter, total sales soared 75.8% year-over-year to $1.17 billion, up from $665.2 million in the same quarter last year. Analysts were expecting total sales of $1.14 billion. Second-quarter adjusted earnings surged 295% year-over-year to $0.79 per share, compared to $0.20 per share in the second quarter of 2020. Analysts were looking for adjusted earnings of $0.56 per share, so TPX posted a 41.1% earnings surprise.

For fiscal year 2021, Tempur Sealy now expects adjusted earnings per share between $3.10 and $3.25, up from $1.94 per share in 2020. Given the company’s strong outlook going forward, Tempur Sealy also upped its quarterly dividend by nearly 30%. The company will pay a third-quarter dividend of $0.09 per share on August 26 to all shareholders of record on August 12. TPX is a Conservative buy below $46.

SOM Technicals:

08-07-21: Closed at 42.26. Trade pressures are up but rolling over. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 40.59.

08-14-21: Closed at 43.79. Trade pressures are up but pointing down. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is the breakout of the prior high at 44.78.

08-21-21: Closed at 42.69. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 41.41.

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures_

Copper is still long. Gold is in a new long and silver is Flat.

Crude oil is retracing the recent move up. Natural gas is in a new retracement move down.

The US 30 year Treasury is still in a move up.

The US Dollar futures are trying to move higher but running into short term resistance.

_______________________

S&P 500 Futures_

Monthly – At the 4347 target set back in Feb of 2016. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the prior month as bullish. The next target up is 5027. A  close below 3918 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – Still in the November move up from 3524. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4599. A close below 4118 would confirm any Daily move lower.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the June 18th retracement. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bullish. The next target up is 4384 , the prior days high. A close below 4332 would signal a retracement down to test the 4255 support levels.
[07-16-20: short entered, 07-19-21 then profit target at the 4255 support.]

____________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2021 year. This portfolio has been marked to the market and restarted at $100,000 for the 2021 year.

The portfolio stocks traded mixed and ended the week at approximately $132,000, up 32% for the 2021 YTD.  The portfolio had a brief touch of the $150,000 value in early March 2021, then a low of $100,000 a few weeks later, now grinding higher once again.

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXu21

Weekly – Rising off the 89.00 support levels. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – In the move up from the 6/16 new up trend. Trade pressures are up. Volum es are bullish.

The next target up is 92.84.

A close below 91.85 would signal lower.

 

US 30YR T-BOND_ USU21

Weekly – Second week into the new up trend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the second leg up at 160-10. Trade pressures are up, Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 164-31.

A close below 162-20 would signal lower.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLU21

Weekly – In the December uptrend. Trade pressures are up but turning over. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Short. In the new move down from the new short entry at 73.69 on 7/14. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 69.03.
[07-20-21: Take profits at the 65.95 target.]

A close above 73.34 would signal higher and stop the short trade out.

 

NAT GAS_ NGQ21

Weekly – In the June uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the 3.62 short entry on 7/7. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 3.40.

A close back above the 3.68 resistance would signal higher and stop the short trade. Since the weekly is still bullish, keep tight stops, adjusting regularly.
[07-16-21: stopped out at a loss.]

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGU21

Weekly – In the June 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the 7/12 entry at 4.33. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 4.38. Resistance at 4.34, then a further move up.

A close below 4.25 would stop the trade out.
[07-19-21: stopped the long trade.]

 

GOLD_ GCQ21

Weekly – In the Mat uptrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volume are neutral.

Daily – Long. In the new long from the 7/14 new long entry at 1810. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 1870.

A close below 1798 would signal lower and stop out this long trade.

[08-06-21: Stopped out oat the 1798 for a loss. Re-Entered at 1765 on the December contract, GCZ21.]

 

SILVER_ SIU21

Weekly – Continues to move sideways in the May 2020 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the May short entry at 27.40. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 25.58, the prior low.

A close above 26.86 would signal higher.

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures_

Coper is now a new long. Gold si near a new long entry trigger. Silver is still showing downward pressures.

Crude oil is in a retracement down. Natural gas is in a new short, but likely only a retracement also.

The US Treasury Bonds had a nice move up , but is now at the at the 200 day MA and is experiencing resistance.

The US Dollar futures are near a beginning of a new move down.

________________

S&P 500 Futures_

Monthly – Another new high. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes closed the month of June as bullish. The next target up is 5027. A close below 3895 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – Still in the move from the November long entry at 3524. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4599. A close below 4098 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – In the move higher from the breakout at the 4335 long entry level. Trade pressures are up but turned down to near the neutral zone. Volumes are now bullish after a bearish prior day. The next target up is 4392. A close below 4274 would signal lower.

____________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2021 year. This portfolio has been marked to the market and restarted at $100,000 for the 2021 year.

The portfolio stocks traded lower but ended the week at approximately $132,000, up 32% for the 2021 YTD.  The portfolio had a brief touch of the $150,000 value in early March 2021, then a low of $100,000 a few weeks later, now grinding higher once again.

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]