Author: ChasW

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures have turned down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Now consolidating within the move down from the 102.04 short entry on 3-22. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 98.61. Oversold is now 101.80.

a close above 102.46 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 104.01.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2020 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Consolidating at the 132.09 target which is also the 200 DMA. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 138-06. Overbought is still at 133-18.

The close below 127-16 would signal lower with a 123-22 oversold level.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLM23

Weekly – In the September 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures have risen into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily –Flat. In the move up from 67.42. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 76.63. The expected overbought level is 74.90.

A close below 73.29 would signal lower. The oversold level is 66.86.

[3-31-23: Immediately stopped out of the 75.18 short trade for a loss. Quarter ending trades all bullish. Try again higher this nest week.]

 

NAT GAS_ NGN23

Weekly – In the December 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Broke the 2.83 support . Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now bullish.

Downside support is gone. The expected oversold level is 2.01.

A close above 2.73 would signal higher. The next target up is 2.86. Overbought is at 2.48.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGK23

Weekly – In the November 2022 uptrend. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. At the 4.09 new long entry. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 4.37. Overbought is expected at 4.15.

A close below 4.03 would signal lower.  Oversold levels will be near 3.88.

 

 

GOLD_ GCM23

Weekly – In the December 2022 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat, now at the upper median line resistance. Trade pressures remain up. Volumes are bullish..

The next target up is the recent high pivot at 2005 and the overbought levels is now 2015.

A close below 1949 would signal lower. Oversold target is 1927.

 

 

SILVER_ SIK23

Weekly – Testing the resistance of the February 2023 downtrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. A new long entry was triggered at 23.05, but a tight stop was triggered for an immediate loss. Trade pressures remain up. Volumes are bullish.

Touched the 23.54 target, pulled back then move up in another leg higher towards the 24.39 target. Now above the overbought level at 23.24.

A close below 23.31 would signal lower. The expected oversold level is 21.98..

 

Navellier Top 5 Stocks for April

The following is provided by Navellier with technical comment from South Ocean Management – pls do your own due diligence.

https://navelliergrowth.investorplace.com/

High-Growth Investments

Cadence Design Systems, Inc.

Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (CDNS) continues to earn a spot in the Top Stocks list for the second month in a row, as it remains backed by positive earnings growth and persistent institutional buying pressure. The company offers electronic design automation (EDA) software and hardware, which play an integral role in the electronics design chain, as well as provides software to verify chip designs before they’re set in silicon.

Cadence Design Systems has posted a positive earnings surprise in each of the last four quarters, and it appears to be gearing up for another surprise in April. Over the past two months, analysts have increased first-quarter earnings estimates by 13.6%. Earnings are now forecast to rise 6.8% year-over-year to $1.25 per share, and revenue is expected to increase 11.9% year-over-year to $1.01 billion. CDNS is a Conservative buy below $231.

SOM Technicals:

2-24-23: Closed at 193.74. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral. the next target down is 188.91.

3-4-23: Closed at 196.50. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish. The next target up is 201.39.

3-11-23: Closed at 195.71. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is the 188.91 short entry.

3-17-23: Closed at 206.88. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is the 209.50 prior high.

3-24-23: Closed at 204.48. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are  bullish. The next target down is 195.45.

3-31-23: Closed at 210.09. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 211.45.

4-14-23: Closed at 214.55. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. At resistance. The next target down is 203.62 with a stop at 217.67.

4-22-23: Closed at 213.00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 203.62.

 

Genuine Parts Company

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) was our new addition to the High-Growth Investments Buy List in March. If you recall, the company operates one of the biggest automotive aftermarket networks in the world, with two primary businesses: Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group. Genuine Parts’ popular brand here in the U.S. is NAPA, as it sells more than 650,000 parts under the brand name in North America.

After beating analysts’ fourth-quarter earnings estimates, the analyst community has increased first-quarter estimates by 6.3% in the past two months. First-quarter earnings are now forecast to grow 9.1% year-over-year to $2.03 per share, while sales are expected to rise 7.2% year-over-year to $5.68 billion. GPC is a Conservative buy below $179.

SOM Technicals:

3/31/23: Closed at 167.31. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 174.35.

4-14-23: Closed at 165.07. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 152.00.

4-22-23: Closed at 166.52. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish. The next target up is 174.35.

 

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) continues to benefit from elevated food prices and folks’ insatiable demand for French fries. The company is the second-largest supplier of frozen potatoes in the world – and its most popular product is frozen fries. About 80 million portions of fries are sold each day globally.

Lamb Weston will announce results for its third quarter in fiscal year 2023 on Thursday, April 6, before the stock market opens. The current consensus estimate calls for earnings of $0.99 per share on sales of $1.16 billion, which represents 35.6% year-over-year earnings growth and 21.5% year-over-year sales growth. Analysts have upped earnings estimates by 32% in the past three months, so another quarterly earnings surprise is likely.

I should also add that Lamb Weston recently announced that it will pay a quarterly dividend of $0.28 per share on June 2. All shareholders of record on May 5 will receive the dividend. The stock has a 1.1% dividend yield. LW is a Conservative buy below $112.

SOM Technicals:

1/28/23: Closed at 98.31. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 100.77, the prior high.

2-3-23: Closed at 98.12. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral. The next target up is 100.77. Support is at 95.40.

2-18-23: Closed at 100.48. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 108.44.

2-24-23: Closed at 99.98. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 87.01.

3-4-23: Closed at 101.98. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is a breakout above the prior high at 102.77.

3-11-23: Closed at 97.63. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is the short entry at 97.30.

3-17-23: Closed at 97.62. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. the next target down is 91.83.

3-24-23: Closed at 100.18. Trade pressures are down but rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 102.70.

3-31-23: Closed at 104.52. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 107.05.

4-14-23: Closed at 108.71. Trade pressures are up but turning down.  Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 104.23.

4-22-23: Closed at 110.35. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 112.88.

 

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is one of the biggest refiners in the U.S., as it operates 13 refineries capable of refining about 2.9 million barrels per day. In fact, during the fourth quarter, crude capacity utilization came in at about 94%, which lead to total fourth-quarter throughput of 2.9 million barrels per day.

Strong refining capacity and increased demand has added to the company’s top and bottom lines in recent quarters – and the analyst community is expecting equally robust results in the first quarter. First-quarter earnings are expected to soar 266.4% year-over-year to $5.46 per share, compared to $1.49 per share in the same quarter a year ago.

Analysts have also increased first-quarter earnings estimates by 62.5% in the past three months, which bodes well for a fifth-straight quarterly earnings surprise. The company is scheduled to release first-quarter results on May 2. MPC is a Conservative buy below $148.

SOM Technicals:

12-31-22: Closed at 116.39. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. In the move down. Need to clear 123 to become bullish.

1-7-23: Closed at 116.82. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. The next target is 109.26.

1-14-23: Closed at 121.93. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 131.52.

1-20-23: Closed at 125.72. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 134.52.

1-29-23: Closed at 133.25. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish. The next target down is 128.25.

2-3-23: Closed at 118.25. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 115.36.

2-11-23: Closed at 127.07. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish. The next target up is the 131 resistance.

2-18-23: Closed at 122.50. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are down. The next target down is 115.36

2-24-23: Closed at 124.92. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are now bullish. The next target down is 115.36.

3-4-23: Closed at 133.50. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 136.46, the prior high.

3-11-23: Closed at 129.81. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target up is the breakout above 136.46.

3-17-23: Closed at 123.68. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are now bearish. The next target up is 125.78.

3-24-23: Closed at 124.70. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 130.75.

3-31-23: Closed at 134.83. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 136.46.

4-14-23: Closed at 130.78. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 125.02.

4-22-23: Closed at 123.53. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 116.40.

 

Novo Nordisk AS

Novo Nordisk AS (NVO) is a biotech company focused on developing treatments to combat diabetes, obesity and other chronic illnesses, as well as rare blood and rare endocrine diseases. The Dutch company’s leading treatment is Ozempic, and its sales rose 45% in 2022.

Novo Nordisk recently revealed that Ozempic helped diabetes patients achieve greater weight loss, with patients losing between 15 and 20 pounds on higher doses of the treatment. Also important, the treatment resulted in lower hemoglobin A1C levels.

Looking forward to the first quarter in fiscal year 2023, increased sales of Ozempic and its other leading treatments are expected to add to the company’s top and bottom lines. First-quarter earnings are expected to increase 36.9% year-over-year to $1.15 per share, and revenue is forecast to rise 25.8% year-over-year to $7.24 billion. NVO is a Conservative buy below $170.

SOM Technicals: 

2-24-23: Closed at 141.60. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 188.22.

3-4-23: Closed at 144.90. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 149.62.

3-11-23: Closed at 141.29. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down  is 134.71.

3-17-23: Closed at 139.44. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 134.74.

3-24-23: Closed at 152.76. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 159.89.

3-31-23: Closed at 159.14. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 177.85.

4-14-23: Closed at 168.60. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 177.65.

4-22-23: Closed at 172.65. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 177.65.

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Summary:

Copper is looking higher.  Gold is approaching new overbought levels. Silver reached the upside target.

The Crude is in a new long trade. Natural gas July contract retracing the move up.

The US 30yr Treasury Bond June contract remains a long but in consolidation.

The US Dollar futures are now a short after the resistance at the 200 day MA.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures (June contract)

Monthly – Still below the February lows. Trade pressures are rising but still in the neutral zone. Volumes closed the month of February as neutral. The next target down is 3084. A close above 4204 would confirm any weekly move higher.

Weekly – The weekly has reversed to a long after closing above the 3998 long entry. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are now bullish. The next target up is 4256. A close below the 3939 weekly low would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Flat. The new long trade signaled at the 3944 level on 3/17 remains in place. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone.. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4049. Overbought is 3999. A close below the lower median line at 3923 would signal lower. Oversold is 3822.
Again, with the two entries close together, wait for a trade pressure bullish reversal in the lower time frames.

___________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is marked to the market and is restarted at $100,000 for the 2023 year.

The Navellier portfolio stocks closed down 35% for the 2022 Year.

This week’s market ended above the 4000 level. Values vacillated around $104,000. The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is up 4%.

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures have turned down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Now in the move down from the 102.04 short entry on 3-22. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is 98.61. Oversold is now 101.75.

a close above 103.95 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are 104.75

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Consolidating at the 132.09 target. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are now bullish.

At the 132-09 target. Overbought is still at 133-18.

The close below 131-07 would signal lower with a 123-22 oversold level.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLM23

Weekly – In the September 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily –Flat. at the oversold level of 64.91. In a new move up from 67.51. Trade pressures are now up but declining. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 71.89. The expected overbought level is 75.44.

A close below 67.69 would signal lower. The oversold level is 64.91.

[3/31/23: Overbought levels reached. Sell June contract at 75.18 the new short entry. SL at 75.61.]

 

NAT GAS_ NGN23

Weekly – In the December 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. sitting on the 2.81 support . Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral.

A close above 2.90 would signal higher. The next target up is 3.25. Overbought is at 2.57.

Downside support is still at 2.81. The expected oversold level is 2.105.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGK23

Weekly – In the November 2022 uptrend. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Flat. At the 406 upside target. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is the 4.35 recent high pivot. Overbought is expected at 4.13.

A close below 4.06 would signal lower.  Oversold levels will be near 3.78.

[3-27-23: Short at 4.06. SL at 4.08.] [AM. stopped out at 4.08.]

 

GOLD_ GCJ23

Weekly – In the December 2022 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat, now at resistance. Trade pressures remain up. Volumes are bullish..

The next target up is 2014 and the overbought levels is also 2014.

A close below 1954 would signal lower.

Oversold target is 1891.

[3-27-23: Short at 1954. SL at 1975.]

 

SILVER_ SIK23

Weekly – In the new February 2023 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. A new long entry has been triggered at 21.75. Trade pressures remain up. Volumes are bullish.

Touched the 23.54 target and pulled back. Overbought level 23.24.

A close below 22.80 would signal lower. The expected oversold level is 22.09.

[3-27-23: Long at 23.05. SL at 23.01.]

 

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Summary:

Copper is looking higher.  Gold is over the overbought levels. Silver is a new long entry.

The Crude is near oversold levels. Natural gas July contract long was stopped out at a gain.

The US 30yr Treasury Bond June contract remains a long but near resistance; expect some consolidation or retracement.

The US Dollar futures are still  retracing after the resistance at the 200 day MA.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures (June contract)

Monthly – Below the February lows. Trade pressures are rising but still in the neutral zone. Volumes closed the month of February as neutral. The next target down is 3084. A close above 4204 would confirm any weekly move higher.

Weekly – The weekly has reversed to a short after closing below 4032. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now bullish. The next target down remains 3822. A close above 3998 would confirm any daily move higher.

Daily – Long. A new long trade is signaled at the 3944 level on 3/17. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 4049. Overbought is 3989. A close below 3941 would signal lower. Oversold is 3805. With the two entries close together, wait for a trade pressure bullish reversal in the lower time frames.

[3/19 Long at 3962.] [3/20/23 stopped out in the Asian overnight markets for a loss.]

___________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is marked to the market and is restarted at $100,000 for the 2023 year.

The Navellier portfolio stocks closed down 35% for the 2022 Year.

This week’s market ended attempting to move above the 4000 level. Values vacillated around $102,000. The Year-to-Date portfolio performance remains 2%.

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are up, but have turned down . Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 102.76 long entry on 2/3 but in a pullback. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

The next target up is now the 105.48 prior high. Overbought is now 106.26.

The move up was stopped by the 200 day MA at 105.48. A close below 102.43 would signal lower. Oversold is expected at 102.98.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Out of the long trade at the 132.09 target. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

At the 132-09 target. Overbought is still at 133-18.

The close below 130-24 would signal lower with a 125 oversold level.