Author: ChasW

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. the trade thru 102.64 on 5/17 was the trend change to up. Trade pressures are up. But, volumes are bullish.

At 104.13. The expected overbought levels are 104.43. The next target up is 105.61.

A close below 103.72 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 101.94.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Short. The break below 129-20 on 5/15 triggered the short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Closed below the 127-12 target; so still lower. The next target down is 123-22. Oversold levels are 123-25.

A close above 126-20 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level is 129-01.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLU23

Weekly – In the July 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 5/5 (Sept) entry. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 74.62. The next overbought level is 74.27.

A close below 70.22 will signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 69.88.

 

NAT GAS_ NGN23

Weekly – In the December 2022 downtrend; sitting on long term support. Trade pressures are u[p into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Flat. Pulling back to support at 2.31.  Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

The next target up is 3.38. The expected overbought level is 2.70.

A close below 2.31 would signal lower. The expected oversold level is 2.24.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGN23

Weekly – Now in a new May 2023 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. The drop to 3.54 returned to the consolidation area of 3.66. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are now bullish.

In the move up from the 3.60 crossover to uptrend in the lower time frames. Overbought levels are  3.77 .

A new close below 3.62 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 3.51.

 

GOLD_ GCQ23

Weekly – In the November 2022 uptrend. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. Stopped out of the move down from the 2062 (August), the 5/5 short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 1939 and the expected oversold levels are 1939.

A close above upside resistance at 1977 signals higher. The next overbought levels are 2031.

 

SILVER_ SIN23

Weekly – In the April 2023 uptrend but testing support. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 2hr 23.13 breakout. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now bullish.

Dropped to the lower median line support at 22.78. Oversold levels are at 22.74.

A close above 24.26 would signal higher and confirm the 23.13 break. Overbought levels are expected at 24.12.

Navellier Top 5 Stocks for June

The following is provided by Navellier with technical comment from South Ocean Management – pls do your own due diligence.

https://navelliergrowth.investorplace.com/

High-Growth Investments

Coca-Cola FEMSA SAB de CV

Coca-Cola FEMSA Sab de CV (KOF) is the biggest Coca-Cola franchise bottler in the world, operating 49 bottling plants and 268 distribution centers in 10 countries in Latin America. And it has a vast portfolio of brands, including Coca-Cola, Fanta, Sprite, Powerade, Vitamin Water, Monster and Fuzetea. The stock is making its second-straight appearance on the Top Stocks list this month.

During its first quarter in fiscal year 2023, Coca-Cola FEMSA achieved double-digit earnings, revenue and operating earnings growth. First-quarter earnings per share were 0.23 pesos and earnings per ADS were 18.65 pesos. Total revenue rose 12% year-over-year 57.36 billion pesos. In U.S. dollars, Coca-Cola FEMSA reports earnings of $1.03 per share, which topped estimates for $0.91 per share by 13.2%.

Looking forward to the second quarter, the analyst community expects earnings to grow 16.4% year-over-year to $1.28 per share. Analysts have also increased earnings estimates by 16.4% in the past three months, which bodes well for another quarterly earnings surprise. KOF is a Conservative buy below $91.

SOM Technicals:

4-28-23: Closed at 84.42. Trade pressures are down, but rising.  Volumes are now neutral.  The next target down is 79.84.

5-07-23: Closed at 88.48. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 89.08.

5-13-23: Closed at 88.73. Trade pressures are up but rolling over. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 86.56.

5-20-23: Closed at 88.79. Trade pressures are  down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 86.56.

5-27-23: Closed at 85.10. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 81.89.

6-3-23: Closed at 83.77. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 76.12.

6-10-23: Closed at 88.61. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 91.33.

6-20-23: Closed at 88.57. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. The next target down is 85.91.

6-24-23: Closed at 86.82. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are  now bearish. The next target down is 83.41.

 

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) is the second-largest supplier of frozen potatoes in the world – and its most-popular product is frozen fries. About 80 million portions of fries are sold each day globally. And based on recent revisions to earnings estimates, analysts are betting that folks’ insatiable appetite for Lamb Weston’s French fries and other products will persist.

For its fourth quarter in fiscal year 2023, earnings are expected to increase 60% year-over-year to $1.04 per share. Analysts have also upped earnings estimates from $0.92 per share two months ago. Full-year earnings estimates have been bumped up by 14.3% in the past two months, with analysts calling for 115.4% annual earnings growth. As you know, positive analyst revisions typically precede future earnings surprises.

I should also add that in the wake of these positive analyst revisions, LW shares rallied to a new all-time high around mid-May. The stock has consolidated these gains recently, which makes LW a great buy right now. LW is a Conservative buy below $117.

SOM Technicals:

1/28/23: Closed at 98.31. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 100.77, the prior high.

2-3-23: Closed at 98.12. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral. The next target up is 100.77. Support is at 95.40.

2-18-23: Closed at 100.48. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 108.44.

2-24-23: Closed at 99.98. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 87.01.

3-4-23: Closed at 101.98. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is a breakout above the prior high at 102.77.

3-11-23: Closed at 97.63. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is the short entry at 97.30.

3-17-23: Closed at 97.62. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. the next target down is 91.83.

3-24-23: Closed at 100.18. Trade pressures are down but rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 102.70.

3-31-23: Closed at 104.52. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 107.05.

4-14-23: Closed at 108.71. Trade pressures are up but turning down.  Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 104.23.

4-22-23: Closed at 110.35. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 112.88.

4-28-23: Closed at 111.81. Trade pressures are up . Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 117.72.

5-07-23: Closed at 112.09. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 107.56.

5-13-23: Closed at 114.28. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 117.72.

5-20-23: Closed at 114.48. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 117.72.

5-27-23: Closed at 109.45. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 104.38.

6-3-23: Closed at 113.27. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is a retest of the 115.34 high.

6-10-23: Closed at 113.62. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is the prior high at 115.34.

6-20-23: Closed at 114.18. Trade pressures are up but turning down to the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 110.05.

6-24-23: Closed at 114.69. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 111.45.

 

First Solar, Inc.

First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) is one of the biggest solar manufacturers in the world, yet it doesn’t have any manufacturing operations in China. The company’s manufacturing operations are actually based primarily in the U.S., as it has facilities in Ohio – two currently in the state, one set to come online later this year, and a fourth factory to be commissioned in the southeast U.S. in 2025.

With the Biden administration’s green push, demand for solar energy is incredibly strong right now. As a result, First Solar can finally make some money, and it is making the transition from negative to positive earnings – a feat it achieved in the latest quarter.

First-quarter earnings surged to $0.40 per share, up from a $0.41 per share loss in the same quarter a year ago. Sales increased 49.4% year-over-year to $548.29 million. Company management also noted that it expects “improved profitability in 2023 and beyond.” Full-year 2023 earnings are forecast to be between $7.00 and $8.00, which compares to a loss of $0.41 per share in 2022. FSLR is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $239.

SOM Technicals:

4-28-23: Closed at 182.63. Trade pressures are down Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 178.66.

5-7-23: Closed at 178.60. Trade pressures are down but rising. volumes are now neutral. The next target up is 181.59.

5-13-23: Closed at the 231.69, up 50.00. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are a high volume bullish. The next target up is 249.63. 

5-20-23: Closed at 203.63, retracing the large move up. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. Maybe going to fill the gap.

5-27-23: Closed at 201.42. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 211.75.

6-3-23: Closed at 206.60. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 212.35.

6-10-23: Closed at 192.10. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 181.75.

Closed at 187.15. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 176.81.

6-24-23: Closed at 184.52. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 172.15.

 

Novo Nordisk A/S

Novo Nordisk AS (NVO) is a biotech company focused on developing treatments to combat diabetes, obesity and other chronic illnesses, as well as rare blood and rare endocrine diseases. The Denmark-based company’s leading treatment is Ozempic, and its sales rose 45% in 2022. Novo Nordisk anticipates strong Ozempic, as well as Wegovy, sales in 2023.

Just this week, Novo Nordisk revealed that its oral weight loss drug is nearly as effective as its weight loss injections. Wegovy injections have the same active ingredient as Novo Nordisk’s oral version of the drug semaglutide, which also helped folks lose weight. Results from the phase 3a trial showed that those taking 50 mg of the oral treatment achieved 15.1% weight loss, or 17.4% if everyone in the trial had adhered to the treatment.

Given the strength of its current business and the company’s growing pipeline of treatments, analysts have increased earnings estimates for the current quarter. Second-quarter earnings are now expected to rise 59% year-over-year to $1.24 per share, up from previous estimates for $1.07 per share. Second-quarter sales are forecast to grow 42% year-over-year to $8.03 billion. NVO is a Conservative buy below $175.

SOM Technicals: 

2-24-23: Closed at 141.60. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 188.22.

3-4-23: Closed at 144.90. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 149.62.

3-11-23: Closed at 141.29. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down  is 134.71.

3-17-23: Closed at 139.44. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 134.74.

3-24-23: Closed at 152.76. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 159.89.

3-31-23: Closed at 159.14. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 177.85.

4-14-23: Closed at 168.60. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 177.65.

4-22-23: Closed at 172.65. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 177.65.

4-28-23: Closed at 167.09. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 159.13.

5-7-23: Closed at 163.24. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 167.92.

5-13-23: Closed at 171.27. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 177.65.

5-20-23: Closed at 170.54. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 172.97.

5-27-23: Closed at 162.23. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 159.13.

6-3-23: Closed at 157.14. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bullish. The next target down is 150.57.

6-10-23: Closed at 158.05. Trade pressures are down into the  neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 153.05.

6-20-23: Closed at 159.698. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 156.49.

6-24-23: Closed at 159.07. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 156.49.

 

Quanta Services, Inc.

Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR) offers infrastructure solutions for electric power, wireless and fiber optic installation, underground utilities and pipelines. Simply put, Quanta Services provides “the infrastructure that powers your world,” and it has benefited from the shift to 5G.

For the first quarter in fiscal year 2023, Quanta Services reported adjusted earnings of $1.24 per share on revenue of $4.43 billion. The analyst community expected first-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.13 per share and revenue of $4.08 billion. Quanta Services also ended the quarter with a record backlog of $25.3 million.

This week, Quanta Services announced its plans to pay a quarterly dividend of $0.08 per share on July 14. All shareholders of record on July 3 will receive the dividend. The stock has a 0.2% dividend yield. The company also introduced a new stock buyback program, planning to repurchase up to $500 million of its outstanding shares. PWR is a Conservative buy below $186.

SOM Technicals:

7-30-22: Closed at 138.73. Trade pressures are up. but showing divergence. Volumes are bearish. The  next target down is 133.65.

8-6-22: Closed at 136.91. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 138.44.

8-12-22: Closed at 143.46. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 145.03.

8-21-22: Closed at 142.02. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 138.78.

1-29-23: Closed at 150.00. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 154.23.

2-3-23: Closed at 152.43. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 154.23.

2-11-23: Closed at 151.34. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish. The next target down is 148.46.

2-18-23: Closed at 154.90. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are up. The next target up is 158.55. A close below 153.45 would signal lower.

2-24-23: Closed at 160.64. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 163.65.

3-4-23: Closed at 163.12. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 168.75.

3.11.23: Closed at 157.35. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 148.96.

3-17-23: Closed at 155.10. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 148.96.

3-24-23: Closed at 160.78. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 156.74.

4-28-23: Closed at 169.64. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 170.39.

5-7-23: Closed at 171.07. Trade pressures are down but rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 171.94, the prior high.

5-13-23: Closed at 173.85. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish. The next target up is 179.82.

5-20-23: Closed at 171.72. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 179.82.

5-27-23: Closed at 174.00. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 179.82.

6-3-23: Closed at 180.08. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 181.83.

6-10-23: Closed at 182.83. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 179.63.

6-20-23: Closed at 185.391. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 181.95.

6-24-23: Closed at 186.62. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 181.06.

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Summary:

Copper consolidating at lower levels.  Gold short at support levels. Silver drops to first target; looking lower.

The Crude long trade is meeting resistance; looking for reversal. Natural gas signals higher.

The US 30yr Treasury Bond breaks down. But recessionary fears should attract buyers; watch the 10yr yields.

The US Dollar futures now long with a break above the 102 levels.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures

Monthly – A close above the 4200. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of April as bullish, May volumes remain low. The next target down is 3084. A close at 4204 confirms the weekly move higher.

Weekly – The weekly long at 3998 continues to move higher and the week closed above the prior week high. Trade pressures are still up. Volumes remain bullish. The next target up remains 4256. A close below the prior short signal of 4032 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Long. The close above 4148 has triggered the new long. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish. The next target up is 4246.  Overbought is now 4207. A break below 4122 would signal lower. The next oversold level is 4062.

___________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is marked to the market and is restarted at $100,000 for the 2023 year.

The Navellier portfolio stocks closed down 35% for the 2022 Year.

This week’s market moved sideways all week. Portfolio values moved down on the First Solar retracement to approximately $114,000. The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is now up 14%.

 

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. the trade thru 102.64 was the trend change to up. Trade pressures are up. But, volumes are now bearish.

At 103.07. The expected overbought levels are 103.75. The next target up is 103.62.

A close below 101.74 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 101.15.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Short. The break below 129-20 triggered the short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Closed below the 127-12 target; so still lower. The next target down is 122-30. Oversold levels are 123-15.

A close above 128-11 would signal higher.  The expected overbought level is 133-20.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLM23

Weekly – In the September 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 5/5 entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 75.49. The next overbought level is 74.35.

The close  below 71.44 has signaled lower. The expected oversold levels are now 69.16.

Look for a bearish reversal in the trade pressures to go short.

 

NAT GAS_ NGN23

Weekly – In the December 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. The move up through the 2.62 level has changed the trend to up.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 2.82. The expected overbought level is 2.75.

A close below 2.646 would signal lower. The expected oversold level is 2.31.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGN23

Weekly – In the November 2022 uptrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Consolidating at the 3.66 target.. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish.

A the 3.66 target down. Oversold levels are 3.59. Still looking for a move higher at these oversold levels.

A new close above 3.75 would signal higher. The expected oversold levels are now 3.87.

 

GOLD_ GCM23

Weekly – In the December 2022 uptrend. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. in the move down from the 2044, the 5/5 short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 1921 and the expected oversold levels are 1953.

A close above upside resistance at 1972 signals higher. The next overbought levels are 2069.

Look for a pull back on Monday to buy. SL will be the Friday lows at 1954.

 

SILVER_ SIN23

Weekly – In the April 2023 uptrend. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down for the 25.20 level on 5/11. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral.

At the 23.37 target down. Oversold levels are at 23.61.

A close above 24.96 would signal higher. Overbought levels are expected at 25.49.

 

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Summary:

Copper rally failed.  Gold short continues. Silver breaks above the resistance line and fails.

The Crude long trade is meeting resistance. Natural gas slow decline continues.

The US 30yr Treasury Bond is changed from bias up to bias down. But recessionary fears should attract buyers; watch the 10yr yields.

The US Dollar futures now long with a break above the 101 levels.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures

Monthly – Still looking for the break above the 4200 level. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes closed the month of April as bullish, May volumes are low, so far. The next target down is 3084. A close above 4204 would confirm any weekly move higher.

Weekly – The weekly long at 3998 continues to move higher; a third attempt to move down closed below the prior week’s low. Trade pressures are still up. Volumes remain bullish. The next target up remains 4256. A close below the prior short signal of 4032 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Flat. Now showing lower highs. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral. The next target up is 4246.  Overbought is now 4159. A break below 4093 would signal lower. The next oversold level is 4049.

___________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is marked to the market and is restarted at $100,000 for the 2023 year.

The Navellier portfolio stocks closed down 35% for the 2022 Year.

This week’s market moved sideways all week. Portfolio values moved up sharply on the First Solar news to approximately $117,000. The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is now up 17%.

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXM23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Long. Still looking for a new move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

At the expected overbought levels are 102.16. The next target up is 103.15.

A close below 102.01 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 100.77.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USM23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are still bullish.

Daily  – Flat. Still in the down move from 4-14, but it is a very choppy pattern with a short bias. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is 128-22. Oversold levels are 129-18.

The next target up is a breakout above 131.21.  The overbought level is 132.13.