Author: ChasW

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLU23

Weekly – Remains in the July 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the channel from 67 to 72. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

At 70.58. The  next target up the overbought level of 71.87.  The expected overbought levels are now 71.87.

A close below 69.81 would signal lower. The next oversold level is 67.04.

 

NAT GAS_ NGQ23

Weekly – In the December 2022 downtrend; holding at long term support. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. After a pull back to 2.61 a new move up thru 2.71.  Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 2.85. The expected overbought level is 2.99.

A close below 2.69 would signal lower. The expected oversold level is 2.43.

Still too much volatility, Stay Away.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGu23

Weekly – In the May 2023 downtrend. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Flat. The previous long entry was at 3.82 on 6/20. Stopped out 6/23 at BE; Still looking for a new long entry. Trade pressures are down but turning up. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is still 4.09. Overbought levels are now 3.95.

A new close below 3.66 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 3.68.

 

GOLD_ GCQ23

Weekly – In the November 2022 uptrend. Testing the support levels. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. The short at 1930, and was stopped out on 6/28. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are are now neutral.

The next target up is 1965. The next overbought levels are 1985.

The next target down is 1901. The expected oversold levels are 1899.

 

SILVER_ SIU23

Weekly – In the April 2023 uptrend but testing support. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the second leg down from the 23.50 short entry on 6/20. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 21.60.  Oversold levels are 21.19.

A close above 23.02 would signal higher. Overbought levels are expected at 23.31.

Navellier TOP 5 for July

The following is provided by Navellier with technical comment from South Ocean Management – pls do your own due diligence.

https://navelliergrowth.investorplace.com/

High-Growth Investments

Builders FirstSource, Inc.

Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) is making its first appearance on the Top Stocks list, given that the homebuilding industry in the U.S. is heating up. You may recall that Builders FirstSource is a leading provider of building products, operating about 550 locations in 39 states. As an example, the company provides everything from wall panels, roof and floor trusses, stairs and trim to drywall, doors, rails, vinyl windows and siding.

The company’s first-quarter results were an early indication that the homebuilding industry was improving in the U.S.: Builders FirstSource reported adjusted earnings of $410.3 million, or $2.96 per share, on $3.88 billion in sales, which exceeded analysts’ expectations for earnings of $1.51 per share and sales of $3.58 billion. So, BLDR posted a 96% earnings surprise and an 8.4% sales surprise.

Looking forward to the second quarter, the analyst community has increased earnings estimates by 33.5% in the past two months. Second-quarter earnings are now expected to come in at $2.47 per share, compared to previous estimates for $1.85 per share. As you know, positive analyst revisions typically precede future earnings surprises. BLDR is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $155.

SOM Technicals:

7-1-23: Closed at 136.00. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 146.85.

7-9-23: Closed at 133.10. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 127.26.

7-15-23: Closed at 141.16. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 142.01.

7-21-23: Closed at 138.73. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 135.75.

 

Coca-Cola FEMSA SAB de CV

Coca-Cola FEMSA Sab de CV (KOF) is the biggest Coca-Cola franchise bottler in the world, operating 49 bottling plants and 268 distribution centers in 10 countries in Latin America. And it has a vast portfolio of brands, including Coca-Cola, Fanta, Sprite, Powerade, Vitamin Water, Monster and Fuze Tea.

The stock is making its third-straight appearance on the Top Stocks list this month – and for good reason: The analyst community continues to revise its earnings estimates higher. For the second quarter, earnings are now expected to grow 16.4% year-over-year to $1.28 per share. That’s up from previous estimates for only $1.17 per share just two months ago.

I should add that KOF has a history of posting positive earnings surprises, as it has achieved an average 26.8% earnings surprise in the past four quarters. Second-quarter sales are also forecast to rise 19.4% year-over-year to $3.42 billion. KOF is a Conservative buy below $89.

SOM Technicals:

4-28-23: Closed at 84.42. Trade pressures are down, but rising.  Volumes are now neutral.  The next target down is 79.84.

5-07-23: Closed at 88.48. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 89.08.

5-13-23: Closed at 88.73. Trade pressures are up but rolling over. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 86.56.

5-20-23: Closed at 88.79. Trade pressures are  down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 86.56.

5-27-23: Closed at 85.10. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 81.89.

6-3-23: Closed at 83.77. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 76.12.

6-10-23: Closed at 88.61. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 91.33.

6-20-23: Closed at 88.57. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. The next target down is 85.91.

6-24-23: Closed at 86.82. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are  now bearish. The next target down is 83.41.

7-1-23: Closed at 83.31. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 82.89.

7-9-23: Closed at 81.63. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish.  The next target down is 76.12.

7-15-23: Closed at 84.42. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 86.08.

7-21-23: Closed at 83.33. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral. The next target is 82.41.

 

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) is the second-largest supplier of frozen potatoes in the world – and its most-popular product is frozen fries. About 80 million portions of fries are sold each day globally. The company also offers sweet potatoes and vegetable products.

Lamb Weston is scheduled to announce results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023 on July 25 – and based on analysts’ recent revisions, the company is gearing up for another quarterly earnings surprise. Analysts have upped earnings estimates by 15.4% in the past three months.

Fourth-quarter earnings are now forecast to soar 61.5% year-over-year to $1.05 per share, up from $0.65 per share in the same quarter a year ago. Sales are expected to increase 44.3% year-over-year to $1.66 billion. Lamb Weston is also anticipated to achieve 115.9% annual earnings growth and 30% annual sales growth in its fiscal year 2023. LW is a Conservative buy below $123.

SOM Technicals:

1/28/23: Closed at 98.31. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 100.77, the prior high.

2-3-23: Closed at 98.12. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral. The next target up is 100.77. Support is at 95.40.

2-18-23: Closed at 100.48. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 108.44.

2-24-23: Closed at 99.98. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 87.01.

3-4-23: Closed at 101.98. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is a breakout above the prior high at 102.77.

3-11-23: Closed at 97.63. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is the short entry at 97.30.

3-17-23: Closed at 97.62. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. the next target down is 91.83.

3-24-23: Closed at 100.18. Trade pressures are down but rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 102.70.

3-31-23: Closed at 104.52. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 107.05.

4-14-23: Closed at 108.71. Trade pressures are up but turning down.  Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 104.23.

4-22-23: Closed at 110.35. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 112.88.

4-28-23: Closed at 111.81. Trade pressures are up . Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 117.72.

5-07-23: Closed at 112.09. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 107.56.

5-13-23: Closed at 114.28. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 117.72.

5-20-23: Closed at 114.48. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 117.72.

5-27-23: Closed at 109.45. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 104.38.

6-3-23: Closed at 113.27. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is a retest of the 115.34 high.

6-10-23: Closed at 113.62. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is the prior high at 115.34.

6-20-23: Closed at 114.18. Trade pressures are up but turning down to the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 110.05.

6-24-23: Closed at 114.69. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 111.45.

7-1-23: Closed at 114.95. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 117.72.

7-9-23: Closed at 112.62. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 110.55.

7-15-23: Closed at 112.71. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 114.06.

7-21-23: Closed at 112.96. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 112.11.

 

Quanta Services, Inc.

Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR) offers infrastructure solutions for electric power, wireless and fiber optic installation, underground utilities and pipelines. Simply put, Quanta Services provides “the infrastructure that powers your world,” and it has benefited from the shift to 5G.

PWR shares have soared higher of late, rising more than 10% in June. The stock is now up about 38% year-to-date, as the company continues to experience strong demand for its solutions. As a result, I’m anticipating a strong second-quarter earnings report in early August. The current consensus estimate calls for earnings of $1.64 per share on $4.71 billion in revenue, which compares to earnings of $1.54 per share and revenue of $4.23 billion in the same quarter a year ago.

I should add that Quanta Services plans to pay a quarterly dividend of $0.08 per share on July 14. All shareholders of record on Monday, July 3, will receive the dividend. The stock has a 0.17% dividend yield. PWR is a Conservative buy below $211.

SOM Technicals:

7-30-22: Closed at 138.73. Trade pressures are up. but showing divergence. Volumes are bearish. The  next target down is 133.65.

8-6-22: Closed at 136.91. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 138.44.

8-12-22: Closed at 143.46. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 145.03.

8-21-22: Closed at 142.02. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 138.78.

1-29-23: Closed at 150.00. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 154.23.

2-3-23: Closed at 152.43. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 154.23.

2-11-23: Closed at 151.34. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish. The next target down is 148.46.

2-18-23: Closed at 154.90. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are up. The next target up is 158.55. A close below 153.45 would signal lower.

2-24-23: Closed at 160.64. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 163.65.

3-4-23: Closed at 163.12. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 168.75.

3.11.23: Closed at 157.35. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 148.96.

3-17-23: Closed at 155.10. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 148.96.

3-24-23: Closed at 160.78. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 156.74.

4-28-23: Closed at 169.64. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 170.39.

5-7-23: Closed at 171.07. Trade pressures are down but rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 171.94, the prior high.

5-13-23: Closed at 173.85. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bearish. The next target up is 179.82.

5-20-23: Closed at 171.72. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 179.82.

5-27-23: Closed at 174.00. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 179.82.

6-3-23: Closed at 180.08. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 181.83.

6-10-23: Closed at 182.83. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 179.63.

6-20-23: Closed at 185.391. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 181.95.

6-24-23: Closed at 186.62. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 181.06.

7-1-23: Closed at 196.45. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 197.20.

7-9-23: Closed at 193.60. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 186.83.

7-15-23: Closed at 196.12. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 192.30.

7-21-23: Closed at 201.49. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 203.48.

 

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) was a new addition to the High-Growth Investments Buy List in June. The company is a well-known, global leader in high-performance server technology solutions, as it provides a wide range of server, storage, motherboards, workstations and networking solutions, as well as server management software.

SMCI shares have been on a tear lately, as the company continues to ship more and more of its solutions around the world. In fact, for its fourth quarter in fiscal year 2023, Super Micro Computer expects earnings per share between $2.21 and $2.71 and total sales between $1.7 billion and $1.9 billion. In turn, analysts have increased fourth-quarter earnings estimates by nearly 22% in the past three months.

For its fiscal year 2023, Super Micro Computer also anticipates total sales between $6.6 billion and $6.8 billion and earnings per share between $10.50 and $11.00. That compares to sales of $5.2 billion and earnings of $5.65 per share in fiscal year 2022. SMCI is an Aggressive buy below $337.

SOM Technicals:

7-1-23: Closed at 250.40. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 253.96.

7-9-23: Closed at 260.89. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 270.18.

7-15-23: Closed at 296.94. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. The next target up is 306.85, the prior high.

7-21-23: Closed at 303.15. Trade pressures are up but down near the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 271.97.

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Summary:

Copper retracing in new uptrend.  Gold is now long. Silver near support.

The Crude is in the move down. Natural gas rallies thru resistance.

The US 30yr Treasury Bond long trade is testing the upper median line.

The US Dollar futures are now short.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures (Sept contract)

Monthly – A close above the 4300. Trade pressures remain up. Volumes closed the month of May as bullish. The next target up is 4961. A close below 4183 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly long on 3/31 at 4052 turns to short with the close below 4392. Trade pressures are still up. Volumes remain bullish. The next target down is 4291. A close above 4525 would confirm any daily move higher.

Daily – Short. In the move down from the reversal to short at 4392 on 6/23 . Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 4291  Oversold is now 4139. A break above 4428 would signal higher. The next overbought is 4386.

Set the SL at 4428.

[6-27-23: Lower SL to BE at 4392]

___________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is marked to the market and is restarted at $100,000 for the 2023 year.

The Navellier portfolio stocks closed down 35% for the 2022 Year.

Portfolio values remained at approximately $114,000. The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is now up 14%.

 

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXU23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend and testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from 102.15 on 6/14. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 103.00. The expected overbought levels are 104.63.

A close below 102.16 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 102.40.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily  – Long. From the close above 128-08 on 6/20. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 131-05. Overbought levels are 137-02.

A close below 125-13 would signal lower.  USE 125-10 as the SL.
The expected oversold level is 123-20.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLU23

Weekly – Remains in the July 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the  move down from 70.31 on 6-20. Trade was stopped out for a loss. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The  next target down is 65.81. The expected oversold levels are now 66.75.

Expect a retracement up from 68.78. A close above 70.19 would signal higher. The next overbought level is 71.98.

 

NAT GAS_ NG@23

Weekly – In the December 2022 downtrend; holding at long term support. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Long. Broke above the 2.51 resistance on 6/15.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 3.43. The expected overbought level is 2.41.

A close below 2.465 would signal lower. The expected oversold level is 2.13.

Still too much volatility, Stay Away.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGN23

Weekly – Now in a new May 2023 downtrend. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. The new long entry was at 3.82 on 6/20. Stopped out 6/23 at BE; looking for a new long entry. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is still 4.09. Overbought levels are now 3.87.

A new close below 3.72 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels are now 3.60.

 

GOLD_ GCQ23

Weekly – In the November 2022 uptrend. Testing the support levels. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Long. Reversed the short at 1930, the oversold levels on 6/23. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are are now bearish.

The next target up is 1946. The next overbought levels are 1996.

The next target down is 1905; well below the expected oversold levels at 1933.

 

SILVER_ SIN23

Weekly – In the April 2023 uptrend but testing support. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the second leg down from the 23.50 short entry on 6/20. Trade pressures are now down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 21.56.  Oversold levels are 21.19.

A close above 22.59 would signal higher. Overbought levels are expected at 23.31.

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Summary:

Copper is in new uptrend.  Gold is now short. Silver was stopped out.

The Crude is back into the down channel. Natural gas rallies.

The US 30yr Treasury Bond long trade is testing the 200 day MA resistance.

The US Dollar futures now short and showing a long bias.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures (Sept contract)

Monthly – A close above the 4300. Trade pressures remain up. Volumes closed the month of May as bullish. The next target up is 4961. A close below 4183 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly long on 3/31 at 4052 moves above the 4300 target. Trade pressures are still up. Volumes remain bullish. The next target up is 4558. A close below 4294 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the reversal at 4192 on 5/26 to long. The 6/2 break above 4250 starts a new uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish. At the 4473 target; expect retracement here.  Overbought is now 4441. A break below 4392 would signal lower. The next oversold level is 4211.

Raise the SL to 4392.

[6-23-23: Short at the 4392 level. SL 4427.]

___________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is marked to the market and is restarted at $100,000 for the 2023 year.

The Navellier portfolio stocks closed down 35% for the 2022 Year.

Portfolio values moved up to approximately $114,000. The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is now up 14%.

 

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXU23

Weekly –  In the November 2022 downtrend and testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are now neutral.

Daily – Short. The trade is 101.68 on 6/14. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 101.09. The expected sold levels are 101.60.

A close above 102.96 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels are now 104.85.

[6-23-23: Reverse to long trade. ]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU23

Weekly – In the October 2021 downtrend and still testing the upside resistance. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now bearish.

Daily  – Long. The close above 128-08 confirms the long entry. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 131-05. Overbought levels are 137-02.

A close below 125-13 would signal lower.  USE 125-10 as the SL. The expected oversold level is 123-20.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLU23

Weekly – Remains in the July 2022 downtrend. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Short. In the new move down from 70.31 on 6-20. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral.

The  next target down is 68.25. The expected oversold levels are now 66.90.

a close above 75.59 would signal higher. The next overbought level is 73.51. Set the SL at 72.38.

[6-21-23: Stopped out at 72.38 for a loss.]

 

NAT GAS_ NGN23

Weekly – In the December 2022 downtrend; holding at long term support. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – long. broke above the 2.51 resistance on 6/15.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 3.33. The expected overbought level is 2.70.

A close below 2.41 would signal lower. The expected oversold level is 2.16.

Too much volatility, Stay Away.