Author: ChasW

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLX25

Weekly – In the June 2025 uptrend, but sideways. Trade pressures are up slightly. Volumes are bearish.

Daily –Short, In the new move down from 63.16 on 9/18.  Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 61.58. The expected oversold level stays at 61.88.

A close above 63.45 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels rise to 64.87.

[ Set the SL at 62.96.]

 

NAT GAS_ NGV25

Weekly – In the new July 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat, no trade. In the move down from 3.06 on 9/18. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are now bearish.

The next target down is 2.77. The expected oversold level declines to 2.85.

A close above 2.93 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 3.12.

— ( The OB/OS channel is now pointing down.)

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGZ25

Weekly – In the August 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures are rising toward the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Flat. In a new uptrend from 4.48. Trade pressures are down but rising.  Volumes are now neutral.

Need to hold this close above 4.60’s to enter another long trade.

The next target up is 4.70. The expected overbought levels declines to 4.71.

A close below 4.48 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 4.43.

[9-23-25: long at 4.65 , SL at 4.62.]
[9-24-25: Stopped out of the Long in front of the big move up.]

 

GOLD_ GCZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from 3422 on 8/22 and remains above median line support at 3639.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 3753. The expected overbought level declines to 3695.

A close below 3647 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 3600.

 

SILVER_ SIZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. The 9/19 breakout at 42.51 triggered the latest move up. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 44.03. Overbought levels rise to 43.76.

A close below 42.06 would signal lower. The oversold levels rise to 41.42.

[Set the SL at 42.84.]

[9-22-25: Raise the SL to 43.14.]

[9-25-25: Raise the SL to 43.99.]

[9-26-25: Raise the SL to 45.96]

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Summary:

Copper in a second leg up.  Gold long from the 8/22 breakout.  Silver breaks above 42 resisitance.

Crude another long.  Natural Gas continiues the move up.

The US 30yr Treasury up on FED meeting.
The 10yr yields in the 4.05’s. The expected oversold level for the 10yr yield is 4.06%

The US Dollar breaks the lower channel support anticipating lower rates. Recession fears?

_________________

S&P 500 Futures   #ESZ25

Monthly –Monthly bar trading again above the prior month high. Trade pressures rising above the neutral zone. Volumes closed the month of August as bullish.  The 6696 price is the new adjusted high. The next target up is 6687. A close below 6372 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly bar continues to make new highs.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.  The next target up is 6687.  A close below 6368 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Flat. Stopped out of the move up from 6465 on 8/26. Now oversold into the FED print. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The 9/6 selloff setup a new long entry at 6579 on 9/9.

The next target up is 6695. The expected overbought level rises to 6644.

A close below 6658 would trigger a short entry.  The expected oversold level rises to 6475.

[OB/OS trend now rising.]

__________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is rebalanced to start at $100,000 for the 2025 year.

These Navellier Top 5 portfolio stocks closed:
Down 35% for the 2022 Year.
    Up 17% for the 2023 Year.
   Up 42% for the 2024 Year.

Portfolio stock values for 2025. 
The portfolio value is up for the last two weeks, to $146,000.
The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is up 46%.

The S&P 500 YTD return is up 12.47%

 

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXZ25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend below resistance.  Trade pressures remain are down. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Short. Sharp drop below 97.08 support. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 96.01. The expected oversold levels decline to 96.79.

Need a close above 97.26 to start any long trade.  The expected overbought level stay at 97.98.

FED meets tomorrow. Expected rate cut built in. Price below OS levels. Perhaps short covering on any ratecut news?

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ25

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from 114-22 on 9/04. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The netx target up is 118-16. Overbought levels rise to 118-18.

A close below 116-29 would signal lower  Oversold levels rise to 115-06.

 

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLV25

Weekly – In the June 2025 uptrend, but sideways. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily –Long, In a new move up from 63.61 on 9/16.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target up is 67.04. The expected overbought levels decline to 64.56.

A close below 63.16 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 61.88.

[Set the SL at 63.01.]

 

NAT GAS_ NGV25

Weekly – In the new July 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat.  A second uptrend signaled from 3.03 on 9/15. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now neutral.

The next target up is 3.50. The expected overbought level rises to 3.17.

A close below 2.97 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 2.89.

— ( The OB/OS channel is now pointing up.)

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGZ25

Weekly – In the August 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In a new move up from 4.54 on 8/28, then stopped out. Trade pressures remain up.  Volumes are are now bullish.

Look for a pullback into the low 4.60’s to enter another long trade. The next target up is 4.80. The expected overbought levels rises to 4.76.

A close below 4.63 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 4.46.

 

GOLD_ GCZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend with support at 3259.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from 3422 on 8/22 and remains above median line support at 3639.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 3756. The expected overbought level rises to 3716.

A close below 3682 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 3557.

 

SILVER_ SIZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. The 9/11 breakout at 40.12 triggered the latest move up. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 44.03. Overbought levels rise to 42.57.

A close below 42.57 would signal lower. The oversold levels rise to 41.42.

 

 

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Summary:

Copper is a new long.  Gold long from the 8/22 breakout.  Silver breaks above 40.

Crude a new long, remains near OB levels.  Natural Gas breaks out of the move down.

The US 30yr Treasury down on an uptick in inflation projections.
The 10yr yields stay in the 4.20’s. The expected oversold level for the 10yr yield is 4.19%

The US Dollar breaks the lower channel support. Tariffs are the new question?

_________________

S&P 500 Futures   #ESU25

Monthly –Monthly bar trading again above the prior month high. Trade pressures rising just above the neutral zone. Volumes closed the month of July as bullish.  The 6523 price is the new adjusted high. The next target up is 6630. A close below 6212 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly bar continues to make new highs.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.  The next target up is 6630.  A close below 6325 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Long. In the new move up from 6465 on 8/26.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 6526. The expected overbought level rises to 6534.

A close below 6459 would trigger a short entry.  The expected oversold level rises to 6348.

[OB/OS trend now rising. But reaction to tariff court decision will be important.

[8-31-25: Raise the SL to 6460.]

[9-1-25: sun session. Stopped out at the 6460 SL.]

__________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is rebalanced to start at $100,000 for the 2025 year.

These Navellier Top 5 portfolio stocks closed:
Down 35% for the 2022 Year.
    Up 17% for the 2023 Year.
   Up 42% for the 2024 Year.

Portfolio stock values for 2025. 
The portfolio value is up for the last week, to $138,000.
The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is up 38%.

The S&P 500 YTD return is up 10.55%

Carpenter Tech (CRS) and Howmet Aerospace (HWM) will be replaced by Kinross Gold (KGC)  and Sea Ltd (SE) at the next open.

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXZ25 [rollover to DEC on the 1st]

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend below resistance.  Trade pressures remain are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily –Flat. Sharp drop after FED signals lower rates. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 96.97. The expected oversold levels decline to 97.55.

Need a close above 97.56 to resume the long trade.  The expected overbought level stay at 98.63.

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USU25 [USZ on Sept 1]

Weekly – In a new April 2025 uptrend and moving up off support.  Trade pressures remain in the neutral zone.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily  – Flat. In the move down from 114-18 on 8/29. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 113-20.  Oversold levels decline to 111-27.

Stopped out of the prior long trade. A close above 114-22 would signal higher. Overbought levels decline to 116-11.

 

 

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLV25

Weekly – In the June 2025 uptrend, but declining. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

Daily –Flat, Back above the 200 Day MA at 63.66, remain near OB.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 67.04. The expected overbought levels rise to 65.32.

A close below 63.02 would signal lower. The expected oversold level declines to 61.85.

 

NAT GAS_ NGV25

Weekly – In the new July 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat.  A new uptrend from 2.90 on 8/28. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target down remains at 2.57. The expected oversold level declines to 2.64.

A close above 2.86 would signal higher. The expected overbought level declines to 3.02.
( again, no upside follow thru likely with the OB/OS channel pointing down.)

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGZ25

Weekly – In the August 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain neutral.

Daily – Long. In a new move up from 4.54 on 8/28. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are are now bullish.

The next target up is 4.60. The expected overbought levels rises to 4.60.

A close below 4.53 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 4.40.

[9-3-25: Raise SL to 4.57.]

[9-4-25: Stopped out at 4.57.]

 

GOLD_ GCZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend with support at 3193.  Trade pressures are up slightly.  Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from 3422 on 8/22.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 3602. The expected overbought level rises to 3425.

A close below 3380 would signal lower. The expected oversold level declines to 3300.

[Original trade was stopped out.]

 

SILVER_ SIZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long, In the move up from the breakout on 8/22 from 38.22. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 41.33. Overbought levels rise to 41.80.

A close below 40.10 would signal lower. The oversold levels rise to 38.95.

[Missed this trade]