Author: ChasW

S&P 500 Futures

Market Summary:

Copper consolidates for two days and runs again.  Gold keeps going to big round number of 4000.  Silver continues the move higher but now at the 48.50 target.

Crude move higher failed, now at support.  Natural Gas move up fails, looking for a move up off support.

The US 30yr Treasury up but still seeing resisitance.
The 10yr yields rise to the 4.20’s. The expected oversold level for the 10yr yield rises to 4.04%

The US Dollar rises and falls on rate moves.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures   #ESZ25

Monthly –Monthly bar trading again above the prior month high. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of September as bullish.  The 6800 price is the new adjusted high. The next target up is 6833. A close below 6489 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly bar continues to make new highs.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.  The next target up is 7029.  A close below 6605 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Flat. Still in uptrend, but near OB territory and 6761 short entry . Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 6822. The expected overbought level rises to 6749.

A close below 6761 would trigger a short entry.  The expected oversold level rises to 6605.

[OB/OS trend is rising.]

[10-7-25: Short from 6761. Set the SL at 6794.]

[10-8-25: Stopped out at 6794.]

__________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is rebalanced to start at $100,000 for the 2025 year.

These Navellier Top 5 portfolio stocks closed:
Down 35% for the 2022 Year.
    Up 17% for the 2023 Year.
   Up 42% for the 2024 Year.

Portfolio stock values for 2025. 
The portfolio value is up sharply for the last week, to $154,000.
The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is up 54%.

The S&P 500 YTD return is up 14.17%

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXZ25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend remains below resistance.  Trade pressures are now up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Long. In the uptrend , backtesting failed. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is the 98.35 resistance.  The expected overbought level decline to 98.55.

A close below 97.21 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 97.12.

[The OB/OS channel is narrowing. Sun Nite shows breaking to the upside.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ25

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures up but declining.  Volumes are now bullish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from 114-22 on 9/04. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bullish.

In a pullback from 118-16. Overbought levels decline to 118-04.

A close below 115-20 would signal lower.  Oversold levels rise to 116-10.

[Keep the SL at 115-20.]

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLX25

Weekly – In the June 2025 uptrend, still sideways. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily –Flat. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

Stopped out of the move down from 64.52 on 10/2. The expected oversold level decline to 60.01.

A close above 61.60 would signal higher. The expected overbought levels decline to 63.61.

[OB/OS channel is declining, be careful with any long entry.]

 

NAT GAS_ NGX25

Weekly – In the new July 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat, no trade. In the move down from 3.48 on 10/2. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 3.18. The expected oversold level rises to 2.99.

A close above 3.41 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 3.59.

[OB/OS channel now rising]

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGZ25

Weekly – In a new October 2025 uptrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. Broke up an out of the pullback at 4.89 on 10/2. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now bullish.

The next target up is 5.16. The expected overbought levels rise to 5.05.

A close below 4.98 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 4.68.

{Set the SL at 5.00.]

 

GOLD_ GCZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up from the mid september pullback at 3721 on 9/22..  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 3952. The expected overbought level rises to 3909.

A close below 3876 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 3765.

[see Silver trade]

 

SILVER_ SIZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. Profit stop triggered at 47.41. Trade pressures are up but declining.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 48.50. Overbought levels rise to 48.34.

A close below 46.96 would signal lower. The oversold levels rise to 45.86.

 

S&P 500 Futures

Market Summary:

Copper spikes on mine accident.  Gold consolidating at the highs.  Silver continues the move much higher.

Crude breaks higher in the bear channel.  Natural Gas fails, rally turns into consolidation.

The US 30yr Treasury up but seeing resisitance.
The 10yr yields rise to the 4.20’s. The expected oversold level for the 10yr yield moves down to 4.01%

The US Dollar rises on higher rates.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures   #ESZ25

Monthly –Monthly bar trading again above the prior month high. Trade pressures are up. Volumes closed the month of August as bullish.  The 6756 price is the new adjusted high. The next target up is 6776. A close below 6446 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly bar continues to make new highs.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain barely bullish.  The next target up is 6776.  A close below 6426 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Flat. stopped out at 6675. Trade pressures are down.  Volumes are bearish.

The next target up is 6776. The expected overbought level rises to 6699.

A close below 6641 would trigger a short entry.  The expected oversold level rises to 6554.

[OB/OS trend is rising.]

__________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is rebalanced to start at $100,000 for the 2025 year.

These Navellier Top 5 portfolio stocks closed:
Down 35% for the 2022 Year.
    Up 17% for the 2023 Year.
   Up 42% for the 2024 Year.

Portfolio stock values for 2025. 
The portfolio value is down for the last week, to $149,000.
The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is up 49%.

At the next open Agnico Eagle (AEM), Kinross Gold (KGC), and Sea Ltd, (SE) will be replace by Amer Sports Inc. (AS), GE Veranova (GEV), and Robinhood (HOOD).

The S&P 500 YTD return is up 12.29%

US$$

#usdollarfutures #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXZ25

Weekly –  In the March 2025 downtrend below resistance.  Trade pressures are now up. Volumes remain bullish.

Daily –Long. In the uptrend , backtesting the BO at 97.82. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is the 98.39 resisitnace.  The expected overbought level rise to 98.75.

A close below 97.72 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels decline to 96.48.

[9-29-25: stopped out of Long trade at 97.72.]

 

US30YR T-BOND_ USZ25

Weekly – In the April 2025 uptrend.  Trade pressures up but declining.  Volumes are bearish.

Daily  – Long. In the move up from 114-22 on 9/04. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are neutral.

At the next target up of 118-16. Overbought levels rise to 119-04.

A close below 115-20 would signal lower.  Oversold levels rise to 115-16.

[Set the SL at 115-20.]

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLX25

Weekly – In the June 2025 uptrend, but sideways. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily –Flat, . Trade pressures are up but turning down.  Volumes remain are bullish.

Stopped out of the move down from 63.16 on 9/18. Then the close above 63.45 on 9/24 signaled higher. The expected overbought levels rise to 65.92.

A close below 64.52 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 62.38.

[9-26-25: Set the SL at 64.52.]

[9-29-25: Short from the 64.52 entry. set the SL at 64.72]

[9-30-25: Lower SL to 63.52.]

[10-2-25: Lower SL to 61.87.][10-2-25: Buy to Cover at new oversold level of 60.70 stop.] [Stop executed]

 

NAT GAS_ NGX25

Weekly – In the new July 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures remain down.  Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat, no trade. In the move down from 3.23 on 9/18 (november contract). Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 2.99. The expected oversold level declines to 2.70.

A close above 3.22 would signal higher. The expected overbought level rises to 3.14.

 

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGZ25

Weekly – In the August 2025 downtrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish.

Daily – Flat. In a pull back from 4.83, after the spike up from the mine accident. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are now neutral.

A close above 4.70 would signal higher. But the OB level is near by; so, no trade.

The next target up is 4.95. The expected overbought levels rise to 4.79.

A close below 4.80 would signal lower. The expected oversold levels rise to 4.55.

 

GOLD_ GCZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from 3422 on 8/22 and remains above median line support at 3639.  Trade pressures are up.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 3838. The expected overbought level rises to 3797.

A close below 3727 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 3645.

 

SILVER_ SIZ25

Weekly – In the December 2023 uptrend. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

Daily – Long. The 9/19 breakout at 42.51 triggered the latest move up. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 48.50. Overbought levels rise to 47.15.

A close below 46.01 would signal lower. The oversold levels rise to 44.99.

[9-26-25: Raise the SL to 45.96]

[9-29-25: Raise the SL to 46.43.] [Profit stop at 47.41.]

Navellier Top 5 Stocks for October

High-Growth Investments

Amer Sports, Inc.

Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) was a new addition to the High-Growth Investments Buy List in the September Monthly Issue. If you recall, Amer Sports aims to be a leader in premium sports and outdoor brands, as it currently offers several iconic brands, including Arc’teryx, Salomon, Wilson, Atomic, ATEC, Armada, DeMarini, EvoShield and Peak Performance.

Strong demand for the company’s brands has continued to add to its top and bottom lines. In the second quarter, revenue rose 23% year-over-year to $1.25 billion, with technical apparel revenue accounting for $509 million and outdoor performance revenue totaling $141 million.

Adjusted second-quarter earnings increased 46% year-over-year to $36 million, or $0.06 per share, which crushed analysts’ expectations for only $0.02 per share by a whopping 200%. Amer Sports has now posted four-straight quarters of positive earnings surprises – and given recent analyst revisions, the company is likely gearing up for a fifth-straight earnings surprise.

For the third quarter, the current consensus estimate calls for earnings of $0.24 per share on $1.73 billion in revenue. That represents 71.4% year-over-year earnings growth and 27.7% year-over-year earnings growth. Analysts have increased earnings estimates by 20% in the past two months. AS is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $41.

SOM Technicals:

9-26-25: Closed at 34.48. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. The next target up 35.07.

10-5-25: Closed at 34.36. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 38.80.

10-11-25: Closed at 30.76: Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. the next target down is 28.57.

10-17-25: Closed at 30.63. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. volumes are bearish. The next target down is 28.90.

 

Elbit Systems Ltd.

Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) continues to earn a spot in the Top Stocks list this month, as the Israeli defense contractor continues to boast robust forecasted earnings and sales growth, as well as benefits from positive analyst revisions. The fact is that Elbit Systems has secured new contracts that have boosted its backlog to $23.8 billion. Clearly, demand for its advanced defense systems and solutions remains strong.

Third-quarter revenue is forecast to grow 15.5% year-over-year to $1.98 billion. Earnings are expected to increase 23.5% year-over-year to $2.73 per share.

Analysts have upped earnings estimates slightly in the past month, which bodes well for a fifth-straight quarterly earnings surprise. Elbit Systems has posted a positive earnings surprise of 18.8%, 36.4%, 24.8% and 25.7% in the past four quarters, respectively. ESLT is a Conservative buy below $530.

SOM Technicals:

6-27-25: Closed at 434.10. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 444.93.

7-11-25: Closed at 447.42. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 463.46.

7-29-25: Closed at 453.83. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 463.46.

8-2-25: Closed at 465.01. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. The next targetup is 476.04. 

8-9-25: Closed at 449.44. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 412.87.

8-16-25: Closed at 464.00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 412.87.

8-23-25: Closed at 450.85. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 416.63.

8-29-25: Closed at 480.21. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 469.43.

9-16-25: Closed at 509.92. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 511.60.

9-20-25: Closed at 487.97. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 460.24.

9-26-25: Closed at 493.57. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 513.04.

10-5-25: Closed at 514.99. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 506.68.

10-11-25: Closed at 491.47. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. Thenext target down is 479.65.

10-17-25: Closed at 480.00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 479.65. resisitance at 501.00.

 

GE Vernova, Inc.

GE Vernova, Inc. (GEV) was originally part of General Electric, but it was formed when General Electric spun off its energy businesses and merged them into one entity. Today, GE Vernova operates three main divisions – power, wind and electrification – and it generates about 25% of the world’s total electricity. We added the stock to the Buy List in the September Monthly Issue.

The company’s wind and power divisions struggled in the second quarter; however, its power division saw orders increase 44% to $7.1 billion, which helped offset the declines. GE Vernova’s backlog grew to $5.2 billion. As a result, second-quarter revenue rose 11% year-over-year to $9.11 billion.

Its operating earnings grew 47% year-over-year to $770 million, or $1.86 per share, which topped analysts’ expectations for $1.50 per share by 24%.

In the wake of the second-quarter results, the analyst community increased third-quarter earnings estimates by 7% in the past three months. Third-quarter earnings are now forecast to surge to $1.70 per share, compared to a $0.04 per share loss in the same quarter a year ago. As you know, positive analyst revisions typically precede future earnings surprises. GEV is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $683.

SOM Technicals:

9-26-25: Closed at 605.17. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 576.55.

10-5-25: Closed at 594.99. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 556.63.

10-11-25: Closed at 603.21. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 577.08.

10-17-25: Closed at 600.00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 555.63.

 

Palantir Technologies, Inc.

Palantir Technologies, Inc. (PLTR) is the biggest AI applier out there right now, as its platforms integrate, manage and secure data that’s then layered with applications for human-driven, machine-assisted analysis. And the U.S. government is one of its top customers, given that it’s helping to make the U.S. government overall more efficient, as well as making the Department of Defense smarter.

Second-quarter revenue rose 48% year-over-year to $1 billion, and adjusted earnings grew 47% year-over-year to $404.55 million, or $0.16 per share. The consensus estimate called for revenue of $939.47 million and adjusted earnings of $0.14 per share.

Looking forward to the third quarter, analysts have increased earnings estimates over the past two months. Third-quarter earnings are now expected to jump 70% year-over-year to $0.17 per share. Revenue is forecast to grow 50.5% year-over-year to $1.09 billion. PLTR is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $208.

SOM Technicals:

4-26-25: Closed at 112.70. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 118.66.

5-2-25: Closed at 124.28. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 131.06.

5-10-25: Closed at 116.72. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up down is 95.62.

5-17-25: Closed at 125.60. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volmes are bullish. The next target down is 118.67.

5-24-25: Closed at 123.31. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 103.85.

6-1-25: Closed at 131.78. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 133.49.

6-7-25: Closed at 127.72. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 105.64.

6-14-25: Closed at 137.60. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 152.16.

6-21-25: Closed at 137.50. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 130.04.

6-27-25: Closed at 130.74. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 118.58.

7-11-25: Closed at 141.95. Trade pressure are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 148.22.

7-29-25: Closed at 156.24. Trade presures are up but showing some divergence. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 162.93.

8-2-25: Closed at 155.15. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 146.07.

8-9-25: Closed at 188.96. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 200.00.

8-16-25: Closed at 177.28. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 160.36.

8-23-25: Closed at 158.74. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 164.54.

8-29-25: Closed at 156.46. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 136.16.

9-16-25: Closed at 170.16. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 171.53.

9-20-25: Closed at 182.39. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 190.04.

9-26-25: Closed at 177.57. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 171.38.

10-5-25: Closed at 173.07. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 165.50.

10-11-25: Closed at 175.07. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 165.50.

10-17-25: Closed at 178.15. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 165.90. A close above 184.00 would signal higher.

 

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) was our third addition to the High-Growth Investments Buy List in the September Monthly Issue. The company’s platform for trading stocks grew in popularity during 2020, as it helped “empower a new generation of investors” who used their free time during the pandemic to dabble in the financial markets.

What’s interesting about Robinhood’s platform is that it also enables folks to trade all of the popular cryptocurrencies at the lowest cost on average in the U.S. So, it’s benefiting from the Trump administration’s efforts to make the U.S. a cryptocurrency trading leader.

During the second quarter, Robinhood noted that its monthly active users increased to 12.8 million – which, in turn, boosted its top and bottom lines.

Second-quarter revenue jumped 45% year-over-year to $927 million, while earnings more than doubled year-over-year to $386 million, or $0.42 per share. Adjusted earnings were $0.50 per share, which beat the consensus estimate of $0.35 per share by 42.9%.

I should add that analysts have increased third-quarter earnings estimates by 54.5% in the past two months alone. Third-quarter earnings are now forecast to soar 96.2% year-over-year to $0.51 per share, compared to $0.26 per share in the same quarter a year ago. HOOD is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $149.

SOM Technicals:

9-26-25: Closed at 121.78. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 113.85.

10-5-25: Closed at 148.67. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 183.70. A close below 139.56 signals lower.

10-11-25: Closed at 139.66. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The net target down is 130.84.

10-17-25: Closed at 129.91. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 116.61.

 

S&P 500 Futures

Market Summary:

Copper grinding higher in the narrow channel.  Gold long from the 8/22 breakout.  Silver closes the week with a break higher.

Crude a short.  Natural Gas fails to rally.

The US 30yr Treasury down after FED meeting.
The 10yr yields rise to the 4.10’s. The expected oversold level for the 10yr yield remains 4.06%

The US Dollar rises after the rate cuts.

_________________

S&P 500 Futures   #ESZ25

Monthly –Monthly bar trading again above the prior month high. Trade pressures rising above the neutral zone. Volumes closed the month of August as bullish.  The 6731 price is the new adjusted high. The next target up is 6776. A close below 6420 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly bar continues to make new highs.  Trade pressures are up. Volumes remain bullish.  The next target up is 6776.  A close below 6400 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Long. From the 9/9 entry at 6579. Trade pressures are up.  Volumes remain bullish.

The next target up is 6776. The expected overbought level rises to 6675.

A close below 6658 would trigger a short entry.  The expected oversold level rises to 6475.

[OB/OS trend now rising.]

[Set the SL at 6675.]
[9-25-25: Stopped out.]

__________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is rebalanced to start at $100,000 for the 2025 year.

These Navellier Top 5 portfolio stocks closed:
Down 35% for the 2022 Year.
    Up 17% for the 2023 Year.
   Up 42% for the 2024 Year.

Portfolio stock values for 2025. 
The portfolio value is up for the last week, to $150,000.
The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is up 50%.

The S&P 500 YTD return is up 12.76%