Author: Charlie

Metals

GOLD – the long downmove has met the 1316 target.  the next target down is 1243.
But the trade presssures indicate over sold and the time pressures are up.

the next move is likely up.

The daily long entry has been signaled at 1335 to 1376.
a move down thru the 1308 low will put 1304 and 1274 back into the projections.

COPPER – Looks very much like the S&P 500.
long term, the interim resistance at 4.44 is being tested for these last 4 weeks.
nearing the end of the downward time pressures. trade pressures are down.

the daily downside target of 4.20 has been met. the next downside target is 4.02.
But the trade pressures are up and the time pressures are turning up now.
a trade thru 4.42 signals a new long entry to 4.64. the recent high of 4.498 will act as resistance.

SLW –  the final downside 28.38 target was almost met.  trade and time pressures are turning up this week.
the daily long entry 31.81 is met today with a first target to 36.15, then to 40.67.

S&P Futures

All the commodities and the dollar currencies have time pressures turning up near the end of January.

No change in the longer term upside targets of 1346.
weekly trade pressures are up and time pressures are down thru March 11.

Daily –  time pressures turn up on Jan 31st.  Trade pressures are down.
the short entry price of 1277 was met last week.  1257-1248 is the next target area down.
1299 will start the move up.

US$ (DX)

seems to be setting up for a rally.

long term trade pressures are over sold.

Daily – next target down is 76.95 which should complete this down move.
a move up thru 79.58 starts the move up.

Trade pressures  are up.  time pressures turn up on the 1st of Feb.

Crude Oil

Crude, while in a longer cycle move, is now in a move down to the 84.56 with support at 87.97.

the move down not yet complete.  the down cycle ends Feb 7th.

a move up thru 91.77 should restart a move up.

Metals

Gold – in a retracement of the long term uptrend. The downside target is 1241.25 with support at 1314.
But the trade pressures are extended down suggesting a move up off the support level.

Next target down on the daily is 1310.  1364 would start a move up.
time pressures are up. trade pressures are fully over sold.

Copper -weekly is consolidating rather than making a retracement move down from its 4.43 target.
the daily cycle is down thru the end of January and trade pressures are oversold.  the 4.21 short cycle downside target was almost met.

a move above 4.44 should start a move up.

SLW  [the silver proxy] – still in the same longer term move up from 25.55. with a sharp daily cycle correction down to the Nov low of 30.52.
failure to hold takes SLW to 28.38.
need a trade thru 33.38 to restart the daily move up.
trade pressures are up and time pressures turn up the 27th of Jan.

S&P Futures

the long term targets remain the same at 1345.

[Apple is down 3% on the Steve Jobs medical leave notice. but the dow and the s&p are up.]

the daily move is up. the time pressures are down and trade pressures are up and extended.
the next target up is 1310.
a trade down thru 1273 will start the move down to 1216 with support at 1245.

 

US$ (DX)

the long term move is up with the next target of 82.15.

The daily is in a retracement move down to 76.95; testing the 78.74 support levels now.
time and trade pressures are down.
a move above 80.59 should restart the move up.

Crude Oil

Crude has ranged between 88 and 92 since early December 2010.

the long term move is down to 83.63,
but the retracement move up inside that trade is trying to take out the 92.58 high which will void the down move.

the Daily long entry price of 90.15 has been met and 93.05 is the next target.
time pressures are turning down and trade pressures are overbot.

Metals

The dollar DX is flirting with the year 2010 support levels and the metals are rallying.

Gold – long term cycles are in the down move to 1241, with support at 1314.
the daily has met its 1354 target and is oversold and ready for consolidation.
a move thru 1383 is required to restart the move up.
time pressures are at then end of the down cycle and the trade pressures are fully over sold.

Copper – long term still in the move up. at a 4.4398 target, with downward time pressures and overbot trade pressures.
the daily cycle is ending at the end of the month and the trade pressures have turned up. a move thru 4/46 should start a new move up.

SLW the silver proxy. up 1.23 today as it approaches the new long entry price of 33.87.
the time pressures turn up on the 27th of Jan and trade pressures are showing positive divergence now.