S&P 500 Futures

Market Summary:

Copper breaks down after the rally.  Gold continues lower. Silver fails at each rally attempt.

Crude watching the 88 support level. Natural Gas move up fails, and is below the  200 day MA.

The US 30yr Treasury – Oversold. A break above the downward channel boundary continues to be the objective, but no relief as the overbought levels continue to rise.
The 10yr yield at 5.27%. The expected overbought level for the 10yr yield at 5.40%.

The US Dollar – The USD moves even higher into OB.

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S&P 500 Futures   #ESZ26, #MESZ26

Monthly –Monthly bar level with the prior month. Trade pressures remain up,  Volumes closed the month of September as bullish.  The 7906 price remains the high.  The next target up is 8752.  A close below 7575 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – The weekly bar is below the prior week’s close.  Trade pressures remain up, but declining. Volumes are now bearish.  The next target down is the 7600 support level. A close below 7657 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Flat.  At the 7805 resistance line, lower highs Trade pressures are up,  Volumes are bullish.

A close above 7805 would confirm signal higher to 7907. The expected overbought level declines to 7789 (likely resistance),

A close below 7728 would signal lower. The expected oversold level rises to 7605. (important divergence)

[OB/OS channel is narrowing.]
The VIX closes below 19, at 15.3 indicating market remains investable.
The Hedgeye.com VIX risk range is 14.00 – 17.11.

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Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins each year at $100,000. The Top 5 Growth stocks are tracked throughout each year. This portfolio is reset to $100,000 for the 2026 year.

These Navellier Top 5 portfolio stocks closed:
Down 35% for the 2022 Year.
    Up 17% for the 2023 Year.
    Up 42% for the 2024 Year.
    Up 48% for the 2025 Year

Portfolio stock values for 2026. 
The portfolio value rises to $203,000.
The Year-to-Date portfolio performance is up 103%.

The Hedgeye.com GDP nowcast has GDP growth slowing and inflation rising (Quad 3) in the 3rd quarter, re-accelerating in the 4th quarter with both growth and inflation rising and slowing once again in the 1st quarter of 2027.

6/26 – Now all cash for the summer; re-entering late July or early August, or re-entering if Navellier adds more defensive names.
7/25 – Quad shift (GDP and Inflation) to Quad 3 from a Quad 4 is likely in early August. Will look to re-enter positions.
8/2    – Re-entering the new Top 5 at the next open. CIEN, DINO, ENLT, MU, STX.
8/29  – replace Sinclair (DINO), Enlight Renewable Energy (ENLY), and Seagate Tech (STX) with Marathon Petro (MPC), PhillIps                 66 (PSX), and San Disk (SNDK) at the next open.
10/4  – Replace Ciena (CIEN) and Micron (MU) with Dell Tech (DELL) and Plains GP Holdings (PAGP), at the next open.

The S&P 500 YTD return is 11.99%