Author: ChasW

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGH21

Weekly – In the july move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Selling off to the first support line. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is the prior high at 3.64.

A close below 3.41 would signal lower.

 

GOLD_ GCG21

Weekly – Remains in the July move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish.

Daily  -Flat. In the new uptrend. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish.

A break down below the 200 Day MA sets up the 1734 downside target.

A close above the 1914 level starts a new move up.

 

SILVER_ SIH21

Weekly – Three weeks up after the test of support. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. Last weeks breakout attempt has resulted in a back test of the breakout. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral.

A breakdown of the support at 25.46 tests the 24.50 25×5 MA.

A close above 26.52 sets up a new move up.

 

 

Navellier Top 5 Stocks for January

The following is provided by Navellier with technical comment from South Ocean Management – pls do your own due diligence.
(For this 2021 year, SOM will track only the Top 5 Hi-Growth Investments.)

https://navelliergrowth.investorplace.com/

Navellier says,

High-Growth Investments

DocuSign, Inc.

DocuSign, Inc. (DOCU) offers a cloud-based platform that allows businesses and remote workers to develop, upload and send agreements virtually. The company’s eSignature technology has certainly been popular during the pandemic, as DocuSign has 100s of millions of users around the world and 745,000 paying customers.

As a result, DocuSign unveiled blowout results for its third quarter back on December 3. The company achieved third-quarter revenue of $382.9 million, or 53% year-over-year growth. That topped analysts’ expectations for $361.15 million. Third-quarter earnings per share soared 100% year-over-year to $0.22, smashing estimates for $0.13 per share by 69.2%.

The stock has grown more volatile in recent weeks, given the FDA approval of the COVID-19 vaccine and subsequent rollout here in the U.S. But here’s the truth: Remote work is here to stay. Companies have discovered that employees are more productive at home, and many are making remote work an ongoing option for many employees. So, the need for DocuSign’s cloud-based solutions will also persist.

And analysts agree: Fourth-quarter earnings estimates have been increased by 40% in the past month alone. Fourth-quarter earnings are now expected to jump 75% year-over-year, while revenue is forecast to grow 48.3% year-over-year. DOCU is a Moderately Aggressive buy below $268.

SOM Technicals:

6-26-20: Closed at 177.58. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. This spike up is not likely to continue in the face of the sell off.

7-4-20: Closed at 190.99. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. This parabolic move is very uncomfortable.

7-10-20: Closed at 210.11. Trade pressures are up but reversing. A close below 210 would signal lower.

7-18-20: Closed at 196.42. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 217.

7-24-20: Closed at 190.95. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 172.23.

7-30-20: Closed at 217.45. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 257.20.

8-7-20: Closed at 205.00. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. Dropped thru two downside targets this week. The next target down is 185.06.

8-15-20: Closed at 199.71. Trade pressures are neutral. Volumes are neutral also. Traded down near the 185.06 target and now has moved higher. At the 25×5 MA and looks lower. The next target don is the 185.91 Target.

8-21-20: Closed at 210.18. Trade pressures are up but showing reversal. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 221.00.

8-29-20: Closed at 215.24. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. resistance here at the 217.23 level, which is also the new long entry.

9-5-20: Closed at 216.26: Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. Sitting on the 25×5 MA support at 216.

9-12-20: Closed at 197.94. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. A close below 196.53 triggers a new short entry.

9-19-20: Closed at 194.42. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 173.35.

9-26-20: Closed at 212.36. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 173.35.

10-11-20: Closed at 225.80. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. A close above 240 would signal higher.

10-17-20: Closed at 234.60. Trade pressure are up. Volume are bullish. The next target up is 300.00.

10-24-20: Closed at 219.82. Trade pressures are down but reversing. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 195.29.

10-30-20: Closed at 202.25. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. the next target down is 195.29.

11-07-20: Closed at 231.69. Trade pressures are up but reversing. Volumes are bearish. Resistance at 246 held. the next target down is the 195 prior target.

11-14-20: Closed at 205.70Trade pressures are now up but reversing again. Volumes are bearish. The 195 level was touched then rallied to the close.

11-20-20: Closed at 221.59. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.  The next target up is 241.70.

11-29-20: Closed at 226.87. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 241.70.

12-05-20: Closed at 243.22. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is 298.04.

12-11-20: Closed at 225.49. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. the next target down is 203.56.

12-19-20: Closed at 241.00. Trade pressures are up but reversing. Volumes are bullish. Support is at 225.00.

12-26-20: Closed at 244.93. Trade pressures are up but reversing. Volumes are neutral. Support is at 230.00.

01-01-21: Closed at 222.30. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 203.50. Support is at 222.00.

01-08-21: Closed at 244.54. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 249.63.

01-16-21: Closed at 249.28. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is the 236.78 short entry.

01-22-21: Closed at 255.15. Trade pressures are neutral. Volumes are neutral. The next target down is 236.78. A break above 258 would signal higher.

 

Logitech International SA

Logitech International SA (LOGI), as we discussed earlier, is benefiting from the surge in online gaming and folks’ efforts to set up home offices. Logitech’s products include keyboards, mice, iPad and tablet accessories, smartphone accessories, headsets, webcams, home security cameras, smart home devices, video conferencing tools and speakers, as well as advanced gaming gear.

During the company’s second quarter in fiscal year 2021, gaming product sales accounted for $182 million. Keyboards, video collaboration tools and pointing devices accounted for $145 million, $130 million and $120 million, respectively. Total second-quarter revenue soared 75% year-over-year to $1.26 billion. That crushed estimates for $834.55 million.

Thanks to strong demand for its products and the better-than-expected quarterly results, Logitech upped its outlook for fiscal year 2021. The company expects full-year revenue between 35% and 40%, compared to previous forecasts for 10% to 13%. Analysts have also upped earnings estimates for full-year 2021 by 72.4% in the past three months. LOGI is a Conservative buy below $103.

SOM Technicals:

12-19-20: Closed at 94.85. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. In the move up from 86.80. The next target up is 99.86.

12-26-20: Closed at 92.96. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. The next target up is the prior high at 95.94.

01-01-21: Closed at 97.19. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 99.86.

01-08-21: Closed at 104.85. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. Zipped thru the 99.86 level; at the 105.70 target. Expect some retracement.

01-16-21: Closed at 100.91. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. Now in the new short. The next target down is 97.12 which is also a support level.

01-22-21: Closed at 104.20. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. Testing the 105 highs.

 

Novavax, Inc.

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) develops vaccines for the toughest viruses in the world by utilizing its proprietary technology that uses genetic engineering and Matrix-M to boost biologic functions and create a positive immune response. The company’s COVID-19 vaccine is in Phase 3 clinical trials in the U.K. and late-stage trials are anticipated in the U.S. in the coming weeks.

While it appears that Novavax is falling behind other vaccine companies like Pfizer and Moderna, here’s what sets it apart: Novavax is also developing a vaccine for seasonal influenza, Nanoflu, and it’s currently in Phase 3 clinical trials. If approved by the FDA, Nanoflu could be combined with the company’s COVID-19 vaccine so folks would only need one shot during flu season. That could be a huge win for Novavax and a big step towards profitability for the company. NVAX is an Aggressive buy below $198.

SOM Technicals:

9-26-20: Closed at 113.56. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 129.69.

10-11-20: Closed at 111.12. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are buillish. The next target up is 129.00. 

10-17-20: Closed at 107.04. Trade pressures are down. volumes are bearish. A close below 101 would signal lower.

10-24-20: Closed at 93.13. Trade pressures are down and trending. Volumes are bullish. the next target down is 73.45.

10-30-20: Closed at 80.71. Trade pressures are down but rising. The next target down is 73.45. A close above 117.39 would start a new move up.

11-07-20: Closed at 89.86. Trade pressures are up but reversing. Volumes are bullish. Need a close above the 25×5 at 98 to restart the move up.

11-14-20: Closed at 96.60. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. A close above 100 would signal higher.

11-20-20: Closed at 86.60. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. At resistance. The next target down is 73.45. A break of the resistance would signal higher to 117.39.

11-29-20: Closed at 126.20. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. Thru the 117 target and now at the 123 target. The next target up is 160.90.

12-05-20: Closed at 126.25. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are neutral. In a retracement inside the move up. The next target down is 94.06.

12-11-20: Closed at 124.88. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. The next target up is 162.34.

12-19-20: Closed at 124.85. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. Need a break above the 136.00 level to establish a new long.

12-29-20: Closed at 129.34. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. A close above 133.09 would signal a new move up. 

01-01-21: Closed at 111.54. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. Closed below the 25×5 MA . The next target down is 94.09.

01-08-21: Closed at 121.69. Trade pressures are up but reversing. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 94.09.

01 -16-21: Closed at 127.43. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. Have closed above the upper median line. the next target up is the prior high at 150.50.

01-22-21: Closed at 126.98. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. Support is 105.70.

 

United Microelectronics Corporation

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) develops and manufactures integrated circuits (ICs), with a specific focus on logic and specialty technologies. As a result, its wafers are utilized by every corner of the electronics industry. It has 12 fabrication facilities throughout Asia and manufactures more than 750,000 eight-inch wafers monthly.

In November, the company achieved sales of NT$14.73 billion, or a 6% year-over-year increase. For the first 11 months of 2020, UMC reported total sales for NT$161.53 billion, up nearly 20% from the NT$134.83 billion reported in the first 11 months of 2019. So, it’s not too surprising that the company is expected to post strong results for the fourth quarter and full year 2020.

For the fourth quarter, earnings are forecast to grow 20% year-over-year to $0.06 per share and sales are expected to rise 14.4% year-over-year to $1.57 billion. For full-year 2020, analysts are looking for earnings of $0.31 per share on $6.01 billion in revenue, which represents 138.5% annual earnings growth and 25.2% annual revenue growth. UMC is an Aggressive buy below $10.

SOM Technicals:

12-19-20: Closed at 8.13. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. Support is at 7.69.

12-26-20: Closed at 8.29. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are neutral. Support is at 7.69. 

01-01-21: Closed at 8.43. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are neutral. Support is now 7.90.

01-08-21: Closed at 8.52. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. Support is now 7.90.

01-16-21: Closed at 8.78. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish. Sharp pull back off the 9.64 high. The next target down is 8.43.

01-22-21: Closed at 10.27. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 10.77.

 

Zoom Video Communications, Inc.

Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (ZM) rounds out the Top 5 Stocks list for the seventh-straight month. The reality is that Zoom will continue “zooming” in the New Year, as folks continue to work from home and connect via the company’s online communication platform. During the third quarter alone, the company had 433,700 customers with 10 or more employees, or a 485% year-over-year increase.

With the work-from-home trend expected to persist for the foreseeable future, even more individuals and businesses are set to utilize the company’s video communication tools for meetings and to collaborate with fellow employees. As a result, Zoom looks for even more customers to purchase monthly subscriptions in the coming months.

For the fourth quarter in fiscal year 2021, Zoom expects these new subscriptions to be a big addition to its top and bottom lines. Fourth-quarter revenue is expected to come in between $806 million and $811 million, up from $188.25 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Fourth-quarter earnings per share are forecast to surge to between $0.77 and $0.79, compared to $0.15 per share in the same quarter a year ago. ZM is an Aggressive buy below $483.

SOM Technicals:

7-30-20: Closed at 253.91. Trade pressures are down but rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 209.79.

8-7-20: Closed at 258.73. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are Bearish. The next target down is 239.12.

8-15-20: Closed at 244.91. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. Rising into net bearish volumes after reaching the 227.53. target. Need to get thru the 25×5 MA at 254.63, otherwise more downside.

8-21-20: Closed at 289.68. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are bullish. The resistance was non- existent. A new long entry was triggered at 271.00.

8-29-20: Closed at 299.27. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 314.82.

9-5-20: Closed at 369.89. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone. Volumes are bullish. The next target down is 314.78 which would close the gap up. 

9-12-20: Closed at 383.00. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are bearish. A close below 376 would signal a new leg down.

9-19-20: Closed at 438.73. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. In the new move after a back test to try to close the gap at 345. The next target up is 470.76.

9-26-20: Closed at 496.50. Trade pressures are up but declining. Volumes are now neutral. The next target down is 452.23.

10-11-20: Closed at 492.41. Trade pressures up Volumes are bullish. The next target up is the 529.74  prior high.

10-17-20: Closed at 559.00. Trade pressures are up and trending. Volumes are bullish. the next target up is 594.76.

10-24-20: Closed at 511.52. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 487.96.

10-30-20: Closed at 460.91. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 446.50.

11-07-20: Closed at 500.11. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. Need to clear the 25×5 resistance at 501.00.

11-14-20: Closed at 403.68. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 357.00.

11-20-20: Closed at 439.60. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are now bullish. The next target up is resistance at 470.00.

11-29-20: Closed at 471.61. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. At the 470.75 target.  The next target up is 505.88.

12-05-20: Closed at 410.01. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. At lower wedge support. The next target down is a retest of the prior low at 366.28.

12-11-20: Closed at 397.01. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 357.46.

12-19-20: Closed at 406.01. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish. Need a break above the 25×5 MA to restart the move up. 

12-26-20: Closed at 375.17. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is 357.04.

01-01-21: Closed at 337.32. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is the 200 day MA at 308.06.

01-08-21: Closed at 349.61. Trade pressures are rising into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish. The next target down is the 200 day MA at 313 which should act as support.

01-16-21: Closed at 384.53. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bearish. Support is at 339, the lower median line.

01-22-21: Closed at 383.40. Trade pressures are down.Voumes are bullish. The next target up is 462.81.

 

 

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures_

Copper continues the rally. Gold broke above the resistance as did silver.

Crude oil continues the rally. Natural gas is testing a new long entry level.

The US 30yr Treasuries are in a move lower.

The US dollar futures continue lower.

________________________

S&P 500 Futures_

Monthly – Breaks above the long term trend line to new highs. Trade pressures are up. Volumes clsoed the month of November as bullish. The next target up is 3916. A close below 3370 would confirm ant weekly move lower.

Weekly – In the move up from the 3550 new long entry. Trade pressures are down into the neutral zone but rising. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 3871. A close below 3436 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Flat. In the new move up from the 3533. Trade pressures are up but reversing. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 3909. The Sept line of resistance at 3723 has been tested three times now. A close below 3638 would signal lower. A break out of this Sept line would also be significant.

________________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2020 year.

The portfolio stocks were neutral for the week and are remain valued at approximately $116,000, up 16% for the YTD. The March-April 2020 down move of 32% has been completely reversed.

JD.com (JD) and Quidel Corp (QDEL) will be replaced with Logitech (LOGI) and United Microelectronics (UMC) at the open on Monday.

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

US$$

#usdollarfutures  #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_  DXH21

Weekly – the grind lower continues. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish. The next weekly target down is 89.33.

Daily – In the move down from the October short entry at 92.51. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

The next target down is 89.07.

A close above 90.40 would signal a retracement higher to perhaps the 25×5 MA resistance at 91.53.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH21

Weekly – Third week in the new downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. Showing lower with the break below the lower median line. Trade pressures are down, but extended. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 171-22.

A close above the 174-23 downtrend resistance would signal higher.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLM21

Weekly – The weekly breakout continues. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the November 42.50 long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 52.77.

A close below 45.44 would signal lower.

 

NAT GAS_ NGH21

Weekly – In the downtrend. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are neutral.

Daily – Flat. Retracing upward inside the move down. Trade pressures are up but reversing.  Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 2.72 and the downtrend resistance at 2.79.

at the 25×5 MA resistance. A close back below 2.59 would signal a resumption of the move down.

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGH21

Weekly – In the June move up. Trade pressure are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the 3.04 August long entry. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 3.81.

A close below 3.42 would signal lower.

 

GOLD_ GCG21

Weekly – In the July move up. Trade pressures are rising in the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Retracing inside the move down. Trade pressures are up and extended. Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 1740.

A close above 1914 would signal higher.

 

SILVER_ SIH21

Weekly – After nearing the support levels at 21.00, price has moved higher. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Long. In the move up after breaking the 25.52 short resistance. Trade pressures are up and extended. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 26.74.

A close below 24.59 would signal lower.

[12-21-20: raise stops to the uptrend support line at 26.28] -> [The afternoon spike down takes the position out at 26.28.]

S&P 500 Futures

#emini #spfutures #SP500 #ES

Market Pressures_

Copper has had a big rally from the Aug long entry. Gold looks lower still. Silver is basing and could break out above 25.

Crude oil is in the move up. Natural gas is basing.

The US30 year Treasury Bonds are in a trading channel.

The US Dollar is testing $90.00 but could have a retracement rally soon.

________________________

S&P 500 Futures_ ESH21

Monthly – In the April uptrend. Trade pressures remain up. Volumes closed the month of November as bullish. The next target up is 3918. a Close below 3344 would confirm any weekly move lower.

Weekly – In the November move up from the 3550 entry. Trade pressures are in the neutral zone and rising. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 3871. a close below 3440 would confirm any daily move lower.

Daily – Flat. In the November move up from the 3533 long entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish. The next target up is 3909. A close below 3579 would signal lower and put the 3403 target in play. If the weekly trade pressures rise out of the neutral zone and the daily has a bullish reversal; then expect a retest of the channel high at 3713.

Brexit and the US stimulus talks may drive events. Perhaps lower before higher.

________________________

Navellier Top 5 Stocks – This Top 5 model portfolio begins the year at $100,000. Only the Top 5 Growth stocks will be tracked this 2020 year.

The portfolio stocks were down for the week and are now valued at approximately $116,000, up 16% for the YTD. The March-April 2020 down move of 32% has been completely reversed.

 

[The author may have long or short positions in any of the securities mentioned.]

 

 

US$$

#usdollarfutures  #ustreasurybondfutures

USD_ DXH21

Weekly – Grinding lower in the July downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – In the move down from the October 92.61 short entry. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

The next target down is 90.18.

A close above 91.15 could signal a small retracement back to 93 inside the down move.

 

US 30YR T-BONDS_ USH21

Weekly – 2nd week of the new downtrend. Trade pressures are down and moving side ways. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the August downtrend. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 170-16.

A close above 175-03 would signal a new move up.

Oil & Gas

#crudeoilfutures #naturalgasfutures

CRUDE_ CLM21 (June Contract)

Weekly – Moving up to test the downtrend resistance line at 49.85. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily  -Flat. Stopped out of the November long trade at 47.50. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

The next target up is 52.77. Need a daily bullish reversal to re-enter the long trade.

A close below 45.64 would signal lower.

 

NAT GAS_ NGH21

Weekly – In the downtrend. Trade pressures are down. Volumes remain bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the November 3.27 short entry. Trade pressures are now up. Volumes are neutral.

The next target down is 1.835.

A close above 2.63 would signal higher. (Need a bullish reversal in the weekly to confirm.)

Metals

#copperfutures #goldfutures #silverfutures

COPPER_ HGH21

Weekly – In the move up. Trade pressures are up. Volumes are bullish.

Daily – Flat. In the move up from the August 3.03 long entry. Trade pressures have made a bullish reversal. Volumes are neutral.

The next target up is 3.79.

A close below 3.41 would signal lower.

 

GOLD_ GCG21

Weekly – Testing the support of the uptrend. Trade pressures are down but rising. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the November 1917 short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are bullish.

The next target down is 1740.

A close above 1914. would signal higher.

 

SILVER_ SIH21

Weekly – Also testing the uptrend support line at 20.28. Trade pressures are up into the neutral zone. Volumes are bearish.

Daily – Flat. In the move down from the November 24.39 short entry. Trade pressures are down. Volumes are now neutral.

The next target down is 21.54.

A close above 25.15 would signal higher